NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2024-25: Barkley Closes as Overwhelming Favorite
There was a battle between Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds early in the 2024-25 NFL season. Then quickly the latter sprinted far, far away.
The rumbling ball of fury for the Philadelphia Eagles finished as the overwhelming favorite in this market as a result. Our best NFL prop betting sites have since removed all Offensive Player of the Year odds now that the regular season has reached its conclusion.
Let's take a look at the closing odds.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds 2025
Closing NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds from our best NFL betting sites.
- Barkley is one of the most influential reasons the Philadelphia Eagles are among the Super Bowl odds front-runners, and he closed as the dominant favorite at -5000 odds
- That leads to an implied probability of a whopping 98.04% for Barkley, which is miles ahead of Ja'Marr Chase in second, whose +3000 translates to a probability of 3.23%
- There's then a gap after Chase to Lamar Jackson at around +3500, Joe Burrow and Josh Allen at +4000, and Derrick Henry getting +6000
- The next tier begins with Justin Jefferson getting +15000
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorites 2025
Saquon Barkley Offensive Player of the Year odds (-5000)
Barkley's closing odds of -5000 through DraftKings actually represented a bargain of sorts if you squinted enough, as he was commonly as long as -10000 elsewhere among our best sportsbooks.
He became just the ninth player in NFL history to record 2,000-plus rushing yards, finishing with 2,005 even while sitting out the final game. Barkley also came just 100 yards shy of matching Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record.
The tailback put his final stamp on a stellar OPOY effort while posting 150 and 167 rushing yards over his final two games before sitting out Week 18. He was an NFL MVP odds candidate for a while due to his continued heroics, though eventually the three-time Pro Bowler faded from that picture.
His grip on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award is firm, though, and a winning $10 bet on his best final odds would have led to only a 20-cent profit.
Best odds: -5000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 98.04%
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Ja'Marr Chase Offensive Player of the Year odds (+3000)
Chase did everything he possibly could while pursuing Barkley and ended up becoming just the sixth receiver in league history to take the triple crown at the position. The superstar led the league in receptions (127), receiving touchdowns (17), and receiving yards (1,708).
But that still almost certainly won't be enough to catch Barkley, which says less about Chase and more about the Eagles running back and his absurd season.
Still, in the unlikely event that Chase's dazzling 2024-25 season can convince enough voters, a $10 bet at these +3000 odds from ESPN Bet would lead to a $300 payout.
Best odds: +3000 via ESPN Bet | Implied probability: 3.23%
How to bet NFL Offensive Player of the Year futures odds
Betting on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year typically involves wagering on which player will be awarded the league's Offensive Player of the Year title at the end of the regular season. Here are steps to bet on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the Offensive Player of the Year. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial. Consider running backs and wide receivers primarily.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the season, keep an eye on odds fluctuations and player performances. As the season progresses, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the season progresses and the player's performance, you can decide to cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the season to see if your chosen player wins the Offensive Player of the Year.
Remember, betting on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' performances throughout the season.
How to read NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds
Reading NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a player winning the Offensive Player of the Year. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, and betting patterns.
If Tyreek Hill gets +500 odds and Christian McCaffrey gets +1000, Hill is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Hill and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year opening odds
NFL Offensive Player of the Year opening odds from bet365 as of Sept. 4
- Tyreek Hill: +700
- Christian McCaffrey +750
- CeeDee Lamb: +800
- Justin Jefferson: +1000
- Ja'Marr Chase: +1100
- Breece Hall: +1400
- Bijan Robinson: +1400
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: +1600
- Saquon Barkley: +2200
- Jonathan Taylor: +2200
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds history
| Season | Player | Preseason odds | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | +1500 | 49ers | RB |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | +1200 | Vikings | WR |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | +8000 | Rams | WR |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | NA | Titans | RB |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | NA | Saints | WR |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | NA | Chiefs | QB |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | NA | Rams | RB |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | NA | Falcons | QB |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | NA | Panthers | QB |
| 2014 | DeMarco Murray | NA | Cowboys | RB |
How NFL Offensive Player of the Year voting works
A panel of sportswriters who cover the NFL vote on the individual awards, including NFL Offensive Player of the Year. There are typically 50 votes available, with the player who receives the largest share of first-place votes deemed the winner.
That winner is then unveiled during the NFL Honors awards ceremony, which is set to take place during Super Bowl week on Feb. 6 at 9 p.m. ET on FOX and NFL Network.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year?
Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is the 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorite with his -5000 odds implying a 98.04% probability that he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator.
Who was the NFL Offensive Player of the Year last year?
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey was crowned the 2023-24 NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
Who has won the most Offensive Player of the Year Awards?
Marshall Faulk and Earl Campbell are tied for the most Offensive Player of the Year wins with three each.
Who was the last back-to-back Offensive Player of the Year winner?
Marshall Faulk was the last player to win consecutive OPOY Awards. He won three in a row from 1999 to 2001.
Who won the most consecutive Offensive Player of the Year Awards?
Faulk (1999, 2000, 2001) and Earl Campbell (19778, 1979, 1980) won three consecutive OPOY Awards.
When was the first Offensive Player of the Year Award?
Washington running back Larry Brown won the first OPOY Award in 1972.
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