EPL Title Odds 2024-25: Liverpool Manage Late Victory, Become Bigger Favorites
Liverpool nearly stumbled again in Gameweek 22 before Darwin Nunez saved the day to defeat Brentford, while Arsenal drew to fall six points behind the league leaders with an extra game played. As a result, Liverpool are big favorites to win the league by the latest Premier League title odds.
Arne Slot's men haven't lost a league fixture since Sept. 14, 2024 (1-0 to Nottingham Forest), but they've played to more draws than they'd probably like to this point. That nearly happened again this past week before they scored in the 92nd minute (and one again in the 94th) to win.
Meanwhile, Arsenal continue to be ravaged by injuries and could continue to suffer unfavorable results.
Manchester City won big against one of the league's worst sides, and they remain the third-biggest favorites.
There is a dark horse among these teams, though, and its +15000 odds are fairly enticing.
Premier League title odds
Premier League favorite
Liverpool Premier League odds (-400)
Liverpool continue to tick along, as even a draw at Brentford would have been a fine result - though a bit disappointing by the Reds' high standards.
The Reds have personified dominance thus far with 15 wins, five draws, and one loss through 21 matches. They've scored a league-high 50 goals while conceding the fewest (20).
Mohamed Salah is a significant reason for Liverpool's success this season. The Egyptian leads the Golden Boot race with 18 goals and is on track to receive the Playmaker Award for the most assists (13). If the 32-year-old can pull off the trophy double, he'd become just the fourth player in Premier League history to achieve the feat and the first since Harry Kane in 2020-21.
The Reds' odds peaked at +800 in Matchweek 4, and they've been climbing rapidly ever since. Liverpool were -200 to win the Premier League at our best sportsbooks on Dec. 23. They now sit at -400.
That price carries an implied probability of 80%.
Best odds: -400 via bet365 | Implied probability: 80%
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My Premier League team to watch
Newcastle Premier League odds (+15000)
I picked the worst time to back Newcastle, as the hottest team in England immediately suffered an embarrassing defeat at home to Bournemouth. That's Premier League football, folks.
Newcastle had won nine straight matches across all competitions prior to that, and they look much more like the team that finished fourth in the league two years ago rather than the one that struggled to find its footing last season.
However, if they suffer one more defeat like that one, it'll be time to give up on them. But at this point, with Newcastle and Manchester City sitting level in the table but trading at drastically different odds, I'll continue to monitor the former.
Best odds: +15000 via Caesars | Implied probability: 0.66%
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Past Premier League champions
| Team | Year | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| Man City | 2024 | -150 |
| Man City | 2023 | -140 |
| Man City | 2022 | -145 |
| Man City | 2021 | +150 |
| Liverpool | 2020 | +300 |
| Man City | 2019 | -150 |
| Man City | 2018 | +175 |
| Chelsea | 2017 | +600 |
| Leicester | 2016 | +500000 |
| Chelsea | 2015 | +185 |
How to read Premier League title odds
Premier League title odds reflect the probability of each English Premier League team winning the championship and are typically presented in American odds format (+XXX). Lower odds signify favoritism, while higher odds indicate underdog status.
A team with +750 odds to win the Premier League is given an 11.76% implied probability of doing so with a $10 bet returning a $75 profit with a victory. A team with +1500 odds would have higher or longer odds, and a lower implied probability of 6.25%, but a win on a $10 bet would return a profit of $150.
Bettors should consider team performance, roster strength, injuries, and historical trends when assessing odds. By comparing odds across sportsbooks, individuals can make informed betting decisions during the Premier League season.
Premier League title FAQs
Who are the premier league favorites?
Liverpool are the 2024-25 Premier League title favorites with odds of -400 via bet365. Those odds imply a 80% win probability.
Who won the Premier League last year?
Man City are coming off four successive Premier League titles and will seek a fifth consecutive championship in 2025.
When will the Premier League start in 2024-25?
The 2024-25 Premier League season got underway on Aug. 16.
Who was promoted to the Premier League in 2024-25?
Leicester City, Ipswich Town, and Southampton joined the Premier League for this season after earning promotion via the EFL Championship. They replaced Luton Town, Burnley, and Sheffield United.
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