EPL Title Odds 2024-25: Liverpool Become Big Favorites With City's Loss
After losing again in Gameweek 11, Manchester City are no longer the favorites by the Premier League odds, as Liverpool shoot up the oddsboard thanks to a five-point lead in the table.
City suffered another brutal defeat, this time against Brighton. As a result, they're five points back of Liverpool.
Arsenal also can't seem to stop the bleeding, failing to take more than a point against Chelsea. They're nine points back of the leaders.
Liverpool continue to look like the most complete team in England with another win at home against Aston Villa. They've conceded an absurd six goals all season, and their odds have continue to shorten at our best sports betting apps as a result.
Premier League title odds
(Premier League odds from our best sports betting sites as of Nov. 10 | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Profit ($10) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | +125 | $12.50 | 44.44% |
| Man City | +220 | $22 | 31.25% |
| Arsenal | +320 | $32 | 23.81% |
| Chelsea | +1800 | $180 | 5.26% |
| Spurs | +8000 | $800 | 1.23% |
Premier League favorites
Liverpool (+125)
Liverpool just keep ticking along, winning again in Gameweek 11 over Aston Villa following a victory over Brighton, who just beat City.
The Reds continue to make the Gameweek 4 home defeat a distant memory as they progress, and the way they've responded is a testament to Arne Slot's influence at his new club.
Liverpool have played a noticeably different, more methodical style of football that resulted in six clean sheets through 11 games.
Their odds shortened from +800 to now this best price of +125 since Gameweek 4.
Best odds: +125 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 44.44%%
Man City (+220)
Last year, for the fourth straight season, City emerged as champions, clinching it on the final matchday as Arsenal took them to the wire.
City have looked very shaky, though, since the season-ending injury to world-class midfielder Rodri. They were just barely squeaking out results for weeks, and now they're unable to do even that.
There are definite cracks in the armor. The biggest crack to fill is, of course, the absence of Rodri. Can City bounce back from this spell of poor form, or will this be a theme for a large portion of the campaign?
Best odds: +220 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 31.25%
My Premier League team to watch
Arsenal (+320)
Arsenal have failed to capitalize on back-to-back strong seasons, finishing as the first runners-up behind City. However, the Gunners look to be in their best spot yet to win it all.
Arsenal are loaded with world-class talent, but they aren't quite rising to the occasion thus far.
The Gunners suffered an ugly defeat in Gameweek 8 and conceded twice against Liverpool without world-class centerback William Saliba. They then fell once again to a Newcastle side that had previously taken only two points from its last five matches.
They managed to take a draw against Chelsea, but Arsenal could be slipping out of contention.
Best odds: +400 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 22.22%
2024 Premier League odds over time
(Latest odds via FanDuel)
| Team | Opening odds (May 20) | Odds on Aug. 15 | Odds on Nov. 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | -125 | +137 | +220 |
| Arsenal | +300 | +162 | +320 |
| Liverpool | +800 | +700 | +120 |
| Chelsea | +1600 | +2000 | +1800 |
| Manchester United | +2000 | +2000 | +8000 |
| Newcastle | +3300 | +3300 | +12000 |
| Tottenham | +3300 | +2500 | +8000 |
| Aston Villa | +5000 | +6600 | +16000 |
| Brighton | +10000 | +15000 | +12000 |
| West Ham United | +15000 | +20000 | +19000 |
Past Premier League champions
| Team | Year | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| Man City | 2024 | -150 |
| Man City | 2023 | -140 |
| Man City | 2022 | -145 |
| Man City | 2021 | +150 |
| Liverpool | 2020 | +300 |
| Man City | 2019 | -150 |
| Man City | 2018 | +175 |
| Chelsea | 2017 | +600 |
| Leicester | 2016 | +500000 |
| Chelsea | 2015 | +185 |
How to read Premier League title odds
Premier League title odds reflect the probability of each English Premier League team winning the championship and are typically presented in American odds format (+XXX). Lower odds signify favoritism, while higher odds indicate underdog status.
A team with +750 odds to win the Premier League is given an 11.76% implied probability of doing so with a $10 bet returning a $75 profit with a victory. A team with +1500 odds would have higher or longer odds, and a lower implied probability of 6.25%, but a win on a $10 bet would return a profit of $150.
Bettors should consider team performance, roster strength, injuries, and historical trends when assessing odds. By comparing odds across sportsbooks, individuals can make informed betting decisions during the Premier League season.
Premier League title FAQs
Who are the premier league favorites?
Liverpool are the 2024-25 Premier League title favorites with odds of +125 at FanDuel. Those odds imply a 44.44 win probability, and a winning bet would pay $22.50 on a $10 wager for a profit of $12.50.
Who won the Premier League last year?
Man City are coming off four successive Premier League titles and will seek a fifth consecutive championship in 2025.
When will the Premier League start in 2024-25?
The 2024-25 Premier League season got underway on Aug. 16.
Who was promoted to the Premier League in 2024-25?
Leicester City, Ipswich Town, and Southampton joined the Premier League for this season after earning promotion via the EFL Championship. They replaced Luton Town, Burnley, and Sheffield United.
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