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Oilers vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Game

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: November 18, 2024 3:54 PM EST • 2 min 50 sec read.

Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid (97) reacts after being called for a minor penalty as we look at our Oilers vs. Canadiens prediction.
Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid (97) reacts after being called for a minor penalty. Photo Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images.

Teams at either end of the Stanley Cup odds spectrum clash at the Bell Centre on Monday when the Edmonton Oilers face the Montreal Canadiens. The puck drops at 7:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video). 

The Oilers, entering the contest as prohibitive -260 favorites, have won three of their last four games and seven of 11. The Canadiens have won two of their last three after losing six straight. 

Our Oilers vs. Canadiens prediction is banking on the visitors to continue a recent trend that has seen them score 17 goals in the last four games. Plus, we provide a Connor McDavid prop pick. 

Oilers vs. Canadiens prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best bet: Oilers Over 3.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -160 via Betway | Implied probability: 38.46%

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The Oilers have created chances at will for most of the season but are finally, albeit gradually, starting to get their just desserts. They have the third-most expected goals (44.78) but the third-worst goals for above expected (-11.78). 

While it's taking longer than expected, the contrast between those stats is becoming less severe. The Oilers scored three goals on 2.58 expected goals in Toronto on Saturday, netted three times on 3.21 expected goals against Nashville on Thursday, and lit the lamp four times on 4.15 expected goals against the New York Islanders on Nov. 12.

If that almost one-to-one trend continues against the Canadiens, I expect to see them score at least four. 

Their recent uptick in offensive production is mostly due to McDavid, who has tallied 11 points (four goals and seven assists) in the last four games.

His partner in crime, Leon Draisaitl, has chipped in with eight points (four goals and four assists) during the same stretch. He also scored the equalizer in Toronto with 1:29 remaining in the third period.  

Plus, the Oilers' power play has scored a goal in three of the last four tilts.

Montreal Canadiens' NHL-worst defense

Don't let the Canadiens' recent defensive improvements confuse the matter. Montreal is tied with the Anaheim Ducks for allowing the fifth-most goals per game on home ice (3.56).

They also allow the most goals per 60 minutes 5-on-5 (3.53). While the Oilers scored seven against the Vancouver Canucks recently, they're due for another explosive offensive performance. 

And I don't see Montreal's defense or goaltending holding up well for this one. 

Prior to the last two games, Sam Montembeault allowed at least four goals in three straight and four of six. A winning $10 bet will profit $6. The steep odds and lower profit margin are why this is a three-star play. 

Oilers vs. Canadiens player prop bet

NHL picks made Monday; odds subject to change.

Connor McDavid: Anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +105 via Betway | Implied probability: 48.78%

I'm sticking with the hottest hand for this prop. The price for any McDavid prop entering Monday's game against the Canadiens is about as short as Danny DeVito, but I feel the +105 odds for scoring a goal offer the best value. 

McDavid has scored a goal in four straight games and four of five since he returned from his ankle injury. He's certainly making up for lost time. And when McDavid is in this irrepressible mood, I jump all over the bandwagon.

A winning $10 bet will yield a $10.50 profit. 

Oilers vs. Canadiens live odds & info

  • When: Monday, Nov. 18
  • Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bell Centre (Montreal, Quebec)
  • How to watch: Prime Video
  • Favorite: Oilers (-260 via Betway)

Oilers-Canadiens predictions made Monday at 4 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gary Pearson
Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.