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New Jersey Devils center Jack Hughes plays the puck against the Seattle Kraken as we offer our Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction.
New Jersey Devils center Jack Hughes plays the puck against the Seattle Kraken. Photo by Ed Mulholland via Imagn Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs enjoy playing in New Jersey more than a child loves devouring soft-serve ice cream. They've won eight in a row there and look to extend that streak to a preposterous nine when they face the New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center on Tuesday (7 p.m. ET, Hulu/Disney+).  

However, the Maple Leafs haven't performed well on their travels this season, having the 10th-worst road points percentage (.455). 

The opposite is true for the Devils, whose sins at home are stacking up. Head coach Sheldon Keefe won't be boasting about his team's 19th-ranked home points percentage (.533). Despite their respective issues, both are among the Stanley Cup odds favorites. 

Our Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction leverages each team's situational struggles and expects them to bear down defensively. 

Today's Maple Leafs vs. Devils prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best pick: Under 6.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -125 via Betway | Implied probability: 55.56%

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The thought of Toronto winning its ninth straight in New Jersey seems too good to be true. If Craig Berube's squad were playing as well as they are at home, I would suggest backing them. Unfortunately, their road form doesn't exude confidence, so I'm unwilling to go that route. 

Instead, I'm turning to the Under. 

Toronto has the best defensive record at home but the seventh worst on the road, allowing 3.55 goals per game in enemy rinks. However, that stat is somewhat misleading as they have conceded five empty-netters in five regulation road losses and four in the last three. 

The Maple Leafs allow the fifth-fewest goals against per game (2.63) and the second-fewest per 60 minutes 5-on-5 (1.73). Excluding the contest against the Penguins in which they allowed two empty-netters, six of their last seven hit the Under. 

Defense of the Devils 

The Devils allow the sixth-fewest goals per game (2.73) and seven of their last 10 had six goals or fewer.

They're much better defensively on the road, but I expect an immeasurably better collective performance on home ice after getting shellacked there by the Colorado Avalanche (4-0). A winning $10 bet will profit $8. 

Maple Leafs vs. Devils player prop pick

NHL picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.

Jack Hughes prop pick: Over 0.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via Betway | Implied probability: 54.55%

Hughes was held off the scoresheet on Sunday for the first time in five games. Then again, the entire Devils team endured the same fate.

Hughes notched at least an assist in the previous four contests, racking up seven helpers. He has 24 assists in 30 games and offers a constant threat with his skill, speed, and shiftiness. 

New Jersey has the fourth-best power play on home ice (28.9%), and Hughes has 13 helpers with the man advantage. A winning $10 bet will yield an $8.33 profit. 

Maple Leafs vs. Devils live odds & info

  • When: Tuesday, Dec. 10
  • Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Prudential Center (Newark, N.J.)
  • How to watch: ESPN+
  • Favorite: Devils (-140 via Betway)

Maple Leafs vs. Devils injuries

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