Super Bowl Odds Entering NFL Divisional Round: Odds for All Remaining Playoff Teams
The NFL's divisional round is often when the competition tightens after lesser teams were chopped from the playoff field on Wild Card Weekend.
But if the Super bowl odds entering the divisional round are any gauge, we could be in for a few more lopsided affairs.
The hours are now ticking down to the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs beginning the festivities at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. That game is one of two with a spread of at least 8.5 points, with the Los Angeles Rams-Philadelphia Eagles affair at a touchdown.
Only the clash of MVP candidates when the Buffalo Bills host the Baltimore Ravens sits at less than a field goal, with the Ravens a -1.5 favorite.
But as we discussed in our divisional round upset picks, even among the favorites there are still weaknesses to exploit. Let's dive further into the odds.
Super Bowl odds entering NFL divisional round
Super bowl odds via our best NFL prop betting sites. See our NFL player prop odds tool for the latest odds on any player.
Detroit Lions (+295 Super Bowl odds)
2024 regular-season record: 15-2
The Lions' league-best offense averaged 33.2 points per game, which plays a significant role in Detroit being listed as the only team currently with Super Bowl odds below +300, and leading our Super Bowl picks as a result. The top five contenders are clustered together tightly, but there's still a notable gap between the Lions at +295 and the +550 that BetMGM is giving Buffalo.
The weak link for the Lions is a vulnerable pass defense that Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels could pick apart during the divisional round. However, the game script might not give him enough time to do that if a steamrolling Lions rushing offense pushes around the league's 30th-ranked run defense.
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Kansas City Chiefs (+350 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 15-2
The Chiefs have been hovering right at the top of the Super Bowl odds all campaign after being the preseason favorites while getting +500 odds from our best NFL prop betting sites then.
They seem to annually reach another gear when it matters most. Travis Kelce averaging 88.8 receiving yards across four playoff games last year (355 total yards) after 65.6 yards per game during the regular season is a prime example.
However, 11 of their 15 wins this year came by one score, including five by a field goal or less. That's led to at least some eyebrows still raised as the competition heightens in January.
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Philadelphia Eagles (+425 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 14-3
The Eagles-Rams tilt is getting the second-lowest total of the week from our best NFL parlay betting sites.
Philly relying on its brute-force running game and NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds shoo-in Saquon Barkley is contributing to that low total, as is the Eagles simply not needing to ask for much out of Jalen Hurts recently.
Hurts remains a force as a rusher, but the signal-caller has averaged a mere 165.2 passing yards over his last five full games.
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Baltimore Ravens (+475 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 12-5
The Ravens have spent the entire season hovering in the top tier of the Super Bowl odds. However, as the divisional round looms their price has shrunk dramatically from +1000 during the preseason to a market-best +475 now through DraftKings, implying a 17.39% probability.
The league's third-ranked offense features a combination of athletically dazzling feats from Lamar Jackson, and bruising tank imitations from Derrick Henry. However, the flaw is on the other side of the ball, and Josh Allen could expose a pass defense that gave up the second-most regular-season yards per game.
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Buffalo Bills (+550 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 13-4
There's an ocean between the Bills and Rams below them by the odds, with Buffalo getting an implied probability of 15.38%, and the Rams way down at 4.76%.
However, Buffalo is bringing up the rear of the main top contenders, albeit while sitting only narrowly behind the Ravens and Eagles. Like their opponent this weekend, the Bills boast an NFL MVP odds front-runner at quarterback, though the NFL MVP odds ahead of Ravens vs. Bills show a somewhat foggy picture for that race.
Nonetheless, Allen is fully capable of winning a shootout, as we saw during the regular season when the Bills scored 40-plus points four times, with two of those outbursts coming over their final five games.
Los Angeles Rams (+2000 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 10-7
The ancient adage about a team getting hot at the right time applies to the Rams this year. They seemed adrift after starting out the season 1-4. But they've gone 9-3 since a Week 6 bye, a run that included a victory over the powerhouse Buffalo Bills.
Washington Commanders (+3000 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 12-5
Unlike the Texans (more on them in a moment), this is probably the place for your likely donation if you can't resist putting a little fun money on a deep long shot.
The Commanders' odds remain comparably long next to the field, but their Super bowl odds are down dramatically from a preseason price of +12000. Washington faces a significant challenge against the Detroit Lions during the divisional round and their top-ranked buzzsaw offense.
But the Lions' defense is susceptible against the pass, and we saw what NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds favorite Jayden Daniels was able to do under the playoff spotlight against the equally poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers' secondary.
Houston Texans (+5500 Super Bowl odds)
2024 team record: 10-7
At first this might feel like the place to put your messing around money if you're itching to bet a few bucks on a long shot heading into the divisional round.
The Texans are getting by far the longest Super Bowl odds entering the divisional round, with their +5500 leading to an implied probability of just 1.79%. They're steep 8.5-point underdogs to the two-time defending champion Chiefs in the divisional round odds, though Kansas City struggled to power past nearly any team throughout the season.
But the problem with backing Houston is simple: Trust.
It's difficult have much of it with the Texans, regardless of the odds. The team's defense remains stout, but the Texans come in with a 19th-ranked regular-season offense, and two top contenders easily handled them down the stretch. That includes a 31-2 thumping from the Ravens, and a 27-19 loss to the Chiefs.
Divisional round expert picks
- NFL MVP odds ahead of Ravens vs. Bills
- Divisional round picks and preview
- Divisional round upset picks
- Divisional round picks against the spread
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