2025 Super Bowl Odds: Chiefs, Lions Back as Favorites After Eagles, Bills Slip in Week 16
After a few weeks of dramatic movement in the Super Bowl odds, the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions are back as title favorites in Las Vegas and across our best Super Bowl betting sites - seizing the lead from the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles in Week 16.
The Chiefs got a head start on Saturday with a 27-19 win over the Houston Texans, while the Detroit Lions blew out the Chicago Bears on Sunday to earn the respect of our best sportsbooks after losing their previous spot as Super Bowl favorites.
That came before the Philadelphia Eagles lost in stunning fashion to the Washington Commanders, and the Buffalo Bills struggled to beat their rival New England Patriots behind a quiet game from Josh Allen, who still leads the NFL MVP odds after Week 16.
Here's our latest Super Bowl odds analysis as we look ahead to the NFL Week 17 odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Live updated Super Bowl odds from our best live betting sites after Week 16.
- The Chiefs took care of business Saturday with a win over the Texans to extend the NFL's best start (14-1) entering the final two weeks
- The Lions enjoyed another statement win over the Bears to return to the top of the NFC leaderboard amid the best season in franchise history
- The Bills were favored last week across our best sportsbooks but saw their odds dip after struggling against the lowly Patriots at home
- The Eagles had won 10 straight games entering Sunday, though a 36-33 loss to the Commanders knocked them down a peg in the title odds
- The Ravens kept rolling Saturday with a win over the Pittsburgh Steelers to remain in the top five ahead of the final two weeks
2025 Super Bowl odds favorites
Super Bowl odds courtesy of our best sports betting apps.
Chiefs (+450)
It's been a while since the Chiefs were priced as the Super Bowl favorites, even though they've owned the NFL's best record all season long.
They enjoyed a blowout win two weeks ago and were in full control on Saturday against the Texans to remain in control for the AFC's No. 1 seed, which is of extra importance given the injuries across Kansas City's roster.
Speaking of which, that scary ankle injury for Patrick Mahomes? It wasn't an issue in Week 16, and he looks like a quarterback ready to lead his third straight title run.
If that happens, a $10 bet at BetMGM would return a $45 profit.
Best odds: +450 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 18.18%
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Lions (+480)
The Lions were consensus favorites just two weeks ago, but a tough loss against the Bills knocked them back into the "second tier" despite a record-setting season.
Detroit is back on top across some of our best sports betting apps, and it owns the shortest odds of any NFC team after the Eages stumbled against the rival Commanders. The Lions had no such issues in a 34-17 win in Chicago.
There's an outside chance the Minnesota Vikings or Green Bay Packers catch the Lions in the NFC North standings, but this still looks like the best team in the NFC and one that is well-positioned to secure a first-round bye.
That's crucial given the mounting injuries for Detroit, which is a concern heading into the postseason. Still, it's hard to ignore these odds at FanDuel, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $48 profit.
Best odds: +480 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 17.24%
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Bills (+500)
It's tough to stay at the top, and the Bills learned that on Sunday when they beat the rival Patriots but still saw their Super Bowl odds lengthen across our best NFL betting sites.
Don't read too much into a one-week blip for Buffalo and its NFL MVP odds favorite in Allen, who only threw for 154 yards but didn't need anything more with running back James Cook enjoying another 100-yard performance on the ground.
That balance will prove crucial in the postseason, especially if the Bills' defense can continue its opportunistic play and Allen can put on his cape when his team needs it most.
It's easy to understand why Buffalo was the title favorite just one week ago, and a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $50 profit if this team wins it all.
Best odds: +500 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Eagles (+650)
I went into detail about the Eagles Super Bowl odds immediately after their loss to the Commanders, so I won't repeat myself too much here.
In short: I wouldn't worry about this group even after its 10-game win streak was snapped, assuming that Jalen Hurts (concussion) is healthy enough to return for the postseason. This team remains hard to stop when he's on the field, and the defense is better than what it showed on Sunday.
That's why I would be tempted to bet their +650 odds at FanDuel, which would turn a $10 bet into a $65 profit if the Eagles go all the way.
Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.33%
Ravens (+750)
Another week, another win for the Ravens, who seem to have solved their lingering issues in the bye week and have come out with a vengeance since then.
Snapping a miserable run against the Steelers is a good start, but this team is built to win in the postseason with the way that Jackson is playing under center and the turnaround from a defense that had a whole host of problems earlier this year.
This might be the most complete roster in the NFL, even though Baltimore is catching the fifth-best odds in the market. A $10 wager at BetMGM would return a $75 profit if Jackson can finally capture his first Super Bowl ring.
Best odds: +750 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 11.76%
2025 Super Bowl odds contenders
Vikings (+1300)
I highlighted the Vikings as my "team to watch" last month, and they keep stacking wins as they quietly stalk the Lions in the NFC North standings.
It feels like the market is still sleeping on this group, which is one of the best teams in the NFL with an offense full of star power behind two of the league's best play-callers in head coach Kevin O'Connell and defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
Minnesota hasn't lost a game since October as it extended its eight-game win streak with a win Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks behind another masterful performance from QB Sam Darnold (246 yards, 3 TDs) and a swarming defense.
There's an outside chance that the Vikings can win the NFC North and capture the No. 1 seed. If that happens, I'd be shocked if these +1300 odds - which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $130 profit - would last into the postseason.
Best odds: +1300 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 7.14%
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Packers (+1400)
I bet on the Packers as long shots earlier this year, and even I'm tempted by these odds on one of the most dangerous teams in the NFC field.
Jordan Love has proven himself as perhaps the best deep-ball merchant in the league with an array of capable receivers at his disposal, while Jeff Hafley's opportunistic defense is the type of unit that can swing games in the postseason.
We saw both of things on display last week, when Love showed off his brilliant arm and Green Bay's defense wreaked havoc on Geno Smith and Sam Howell in a 30-13 road win over the Seahawks. And I'd expect a similar showing as Monday Night Football odds favorites to close Week 16.
We've seen this group go toe-to-toe with some of the best teams in the NFL, and a $10 bet at ESPN BET would return a $140 profit if the Packers win it all.
Best odds: +1400 via ESPN BET | Implied probability: 6.67%
My Super Bowl odds contender to watch
Rams (+3500)
Remember when the Rams appeared left for dead after injuries and bad breaks relegated them to a 1-4 start?
They've ripped off eight wins in 10 games since their bye week and now hold the inside track to win the NFC West after a 19-9 win over the New York Jets on Sunday - the second straight game allowing fewer than 10 points for Los Angeles.
I love betting on long shots with a proven coach and quarterback, and it's hard to find a better duo than Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford, who have already hoisted the Lombardi Trophy once before. If they do it again, a $10 wager would return a $350 profit at DraftKings.
Best odds: +3500 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 2.78%
Super Bowl 2025 info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Detroit Lions (+275 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: John Batiste
Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +280 | 26.32% | $28 |
| Chiefs | +440 | 18.52% | $44 |
| Bills | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| Eagles | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Ravens | +975 | 9.30% | $98 |
| Packers | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Steelers | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Vikings | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Chargers | +3100 | 3.13% | $310 |
| Broncos | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
We're still awaiting the latest odds from Circa Sportsbook after Week 16, which saw a major shift atop the title odds for the top favorites.
Expect the Chiefs and Lions to reclaim their spot as the Super Bowl favorites in Las Vegas after tough showings by the Eagles and Bills this week.
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Super Bowl point spread
We're still awaiting the point spread for Super Bowl 2025. Though if history is an indication, it'll likely open at shorter than a field goal.
Dating back to 2011, 10 of the last 14 matchups have featured a point spread of 3 points or shorter. That includes the last two seasons, when the Kansas City Chiefs won as short underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) and San Francisco 49ers (-2.5).
The last time the Super Bowl point spread exceeded a touchdown was 2008, when the undefeated New England Patriots were 12-point favorites to beat the New York Giants. That famously didn't end well for the Patriots, who suffered a 17-14 defeat.
Overall, favorites have posted a 29-24-2 record against the spread (54.7%) while winning 37 of 57 matchups straight up (64.9%). That doesn't include the 2015 Super Bowl, when the Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in a pick 'em.
Super Bowl moneyline odds
Updated Super Bowl moneyline odds via DraftKings.
| AFC | NFC |
|---|---|
| -115 | -115 |
While we still don't know the teams involved, you can already bet on the Super Bowl 2025 moneyline odds based on which conference will win it.
The AFC has won two straight thanks to the Chiefs' dominant run, which extended a 7-3 stretch for the conference over the last 10 years. Three of the five favorites to win this year's Super Bowl hail from the AFC.
The NFC had won four of five Super Bowls before that span. The NFC champion has also entered the Big Game as the outright favorite in three straight years, so don't be surprised if the pendulum swings in that direction before long.
The AFC and NFC have each won 29 games straight up while posting an identical 28-28-2 record against the spread across the 58-year history of the Super Bowl.
Super Bowl O/U total
Once again, we'll likely need to wait until closer to the matchup being determined to bet on the Super Bowl total, which has been trending higher and higher in recent years.
Five of the last eight Super Bowls have featured a betting total of at least 50 points, which had only happened nine times in the previous 50 years. Last year's total of 46.5 was the lowest since 2016, though the Over cashed by 0.5 points after the Chiefs scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime.
That marked the second straight time the Over hit during the Super Bowl, which ended a successful four-year run for Under bettors. The Over has cashed 29 times compared to 28 wins for the Under throughout Super Bowl history.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Super Bowl odds history
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +450 odds, which implies a 18.18% chance they'll win their third straight Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
What will be the Super Bowl matchup?
The Super Bowl matchup isn't yet decided and won't be until after the AFC and NFC championship games. The Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) lead the AFC and the Detroit Lions (13-2) lead the NFC entering Week 16.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is the 2025 Super Bowl?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who will perform the Super Bowl 2025 halftime show?
Grammy Award-winning artist Kendrick Lamar will perform at the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously performed in the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show.
Who will sing the Super Bowl national anthem?
R&B artist John Batiste will sing the 2025 Super Bowl national anthem.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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