2025 Super Bowl Odds: Eagles Favorites in NFC, Chiefs Edge Out Bills in AFC
The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs will headline the NFL Conference Championship round, but the Philadelphia Eagles are the favorites by the Super Bowl odds.
The Eagles outlasted the Los Angeles Rams in the snow on Sunday to set up a matchup with the upstart Washington Commanders, who shocked the top-seeded Detroit Lions on Saturday to make their first NFC Championship appearance since 1991.
The Bills pulled off a minor upset against the Baltimore Ravens to set up a star-studded AFC Championship with the Chiefs, who are favored by the early NFL Conference Championship odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Live updated Super Bowl odds from our best Super Bowl betting sites.
2025 Super Bowl odds favorites
Super Bowl odds courtesy of our best NFL betting sites.
Eagles Super Bowl odds: +185
The Eagles' path to the Super Bowl became a little easier on Saturday when the top-seeded Detroit Lions fell to the underdog Washington Commanders, whom Philadelphia has beaten already earlier this season.
The Commanders got revenge for that with a 36-33 win late in the year that saw QB Jalen Hurts leave with a head injury. He came back in the postseason but appeared to sustain a leg injury in the divisional round - his health, which we discuss in our Commanders vs. Eagles early picks and predictions, could prove to be the difference-maker on whether the Eagles can cash these short Super Bowl odds.
If they do, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $18.50 profit.
Best odds: +185 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 35.09%
Chiefs Super Bowl odds: +240
Did you really think the Chiefs' divisional round game would transpire differently?
Kansas City did what it always does and is one win away from appearing in its third straight Super Bowl and fifth in the last six seasons. Its victory over the Texans certainly wasn't pretty, carrying on from a win-ugly, win-lucky narrative in the regular season.
But that won't matter to Andy Reid and Co. as their odds improved from +370 to +240 after the Commanders shocked the Lions in Detroit. A winning $10 bet on a third straight Super Bowl would return a $24 profit at BetMGM.
Best odds: +240 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 29.41%
Bills Super Bowl odds: +260
The Buffalo Bills were briefly Super Bowl favorites earlier this season, and they proved their might in the divisional round by outlasting the Ravens in a 27-25 win.
Josh Allen looked every bit like a deserving NFL MVP odds favorite as he and James Cook powered a dominant Buffalo run game all the way to the AFC Championship. Standing in the Bills' way is a familiar foe in the Chiefs, who have ended Allen's postseason three times.
If Buffalo prevails this time and wins it all, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $27 profit.
Best odds: +260 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 27.28%
Commanders Super Bowl odds: +750
Nobody expected the Commanders to reach this point - but here they are, anyway, behind an absolutely brilliant display from rookie QB Jayden Daniels in his first two playoff starts against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the top-seeded Lions.
The first-year passer completed 22 of 31 passes for 299 yards and two touchdowns without an interception while adding 51 yards on the ground to lead Washington to its first NFC Championship appearance since 1991, and you can still earn a $75 bet on a $10 wager at Caesars to win the Super Bowl entering next weekend.
Best odds: +750 via Caesars | Implied probability: 11.76%
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Super Bowl 2025 info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Detroit Lions (+275 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: John Batiste
Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Eagles | +202 | 33.11% | $20.20 |
Chiefs | +230 | 30.30% | $33 |
Bills | +230 | 30.30% | $33 |
Commanders | +705 | 12.42% | $70.50 |
The latest odds from Circa Sportsbook have the Eagles favored to win the Super Bowl with the Chiefs and Bills owning identical odds out of the AFC.
The Commanders are the clear long shots to win it all, though they have already won twice as underdogs in the NFL playoffs to reach this point.
Super Bowl point spread
We're still awaiting the point spread for Super Bowl 2025. Though if history is an indication, it'll likely open at shorter than a field goal.
Dating back to 2011, 10 of the last 14 matchups have featured a point spread of 3 points or shorter. That includes the last two seasons, when the Kansas City Chiefs won as short underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) and San Francisco 49ers (-2.5).
The last time the Super Bowl point spread exceeded a touchdown was 2008, when the undefeated New England Patriots were 12-point favorites to beat the New York Giants. That famously didn't end well for the Patriots, who suffered a 17-14 defeat.
Overall, favorites have posted a 29-24-2 record against the spread (54.7%) while winning 37 of 57 matchups straight up (64.9%). That doesn't include the 2015 Super Bowl, when the Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in a pick 'em.
Super Bowl moneyline odds
Updated Super Bowl moneyline odds via DraftKings.
AFC | NFC |
---|---|
-115 | -115 |
While we still don't know the teams involved, you can already bet on the Super Bowl 2025 moneyline odds based on which conference will win it.
The AFC has won two straight thanks to the Chiefs' dominant run, which extended a 7-3 stretch for the conference over the last 10 years. Three of the five favorites to win this year's Super Bowl hail from the AFC.
The NFC had won four of five Super Bowls before that span. The NFC champion has also entered the Big Game as the outright favorite in three straight years, so don't be surprised if the pendulum swings in that direction before long.
The AFC and NFC have each won 29 games straight up while posting an identical 28-28-2 record against the spread across the 58-year history of the Super Bowl.
Super Bowl O/U total
Once again, we'll likely need to wait until closer to the matchup being determined to bet on the Super Bowl total, which has been trending higher and higher in recent years.
Five of the last eight Super Bowls have featured a betting total of at least 50 points, which had only happened nine times in the previous 50 years. Last year's total of 46.5 was the lowest since 2016, though the Over cashed by 0.5 points after the Chiefs scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime.
That marked the second straight time the Over hit during the Super Bowl, which ended a successful four-year run for Under bettors. The Over has cashed 29 times compared to 28 wins for the Under throughout Super Bowl history.
Super Bowl opening odds for all 32 teams
Preseason Super Bowl odds via DraftKings:
- Chiefs: +500
- 49ers: +600
- Ravens: +1000
- Lions: +1200
- Bengals: +1300
- Eagles: +1400
- Bills: +1600
- Texans: +1600
- Packers: +1800
- Jets: +1900
- Cowboys: +1900
- Dolphins: +2200
- Rams: +3000
- Falcons: +3000
- Bears: +3500
- Browns: +4000
- Chargers: +4500
- Steelers: +5000
- Jaguars: +5000
- Seahawks: +6500
- Colts: +7500
- Buccaneers: +8000
- Vikings: +8000
- Cardinals: +10000
- Saints: +10000
- Raiders: +10000
- Commanders: +12000
- Titans: +15000
- Giants: +20000
- Broncos: +20000
- Panthers: +25000
- Patriots: +35000
2026 Super Bowl odds
Opening 2026 Super Bowl odds from DraftKings as of Monday, Jan. 20:
- Chiefs +600
- Bills +600
- Ravens +700
- Lions +800
- Eagles +850
- Commanders +1500
- 49ers +1800
- Bengals +1800
- Packers +2200
- Chargers +2500
- Rams +2800
- Texans +3000
- Broncos +3000
- Buccaneers +4000
- Vikings +4000
- Seahawks +5000
- Falcons +5000
- Steelers +6000
- Dolphins +6000
- Cowboys +6000
- Bears +6000
- Cardinals +6000
- Patriots +8000
- Colts +8000
- Panthers +8000
- Jaguars +9000
- Jets +10000
- Raiders +10000
- Browns +10000
- Saints +12000
- Titans +15000
- Giants +15000
Super Bowl betting history
Year | Team | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|
2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
2022 | Rams | +1200 |
2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
2019 | Patriots | +600 |
2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
2017 | Patriots | +600 |
2016 | Broncos | +900 |
2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
Team | Appearances | Wins |
---|---|---|
Patriots | 11 | 6 |
Steelers | 8 | 6 |
49ers | 8 | 5 |
Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
Broncos | 8 | 3 |
Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
Giants | 5 | 4 |
Packers | 5 | 4 |
Commanders | 5 | 3 |
Raiders | 5 | 3 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl?
The Philadelphia Eagles are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +185 odds, which implies a 35.09% chance they'll win the Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
What will be the Super Bowl matchup?
The Super Bowl matchup isn't yet decided and won't be until after the AFC and NFC championship games. The Eagles host the Commanders in the NFC Championship, and the Chiefs host the Bills in the AFC Championship.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is the 2025 Super Bowl?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who will perform the Super Bowl 2025 halftime show?
Grammy Award-winning artist Kendrick Lamar will perform at the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously performed in the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show.
Who will sing the Super Bowl national anthem?
R&B artist John Batiste will sing the 2025 Super Bowl national anthem.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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