2025 Super Bowl Odds Entering Week 12: Lions Favorites for 1st Time as Chiefs, Ravens Lose
For the first time all season, there's a new team leading the 2025 Super Bowl odds in Las Vegas and elsewhere.
The Detroit Lions have the shortest odds across our best Super Bowl betting sites entering Week 12 after trouncing the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday - extending the NFL's longest win streak to eight games amid their best start in 90 years.
The Lions are priced just ahead of the Kansas City Chiefs, who lost to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday but still feature shorter odds than their longtime AFC rivals. Those two teams sit just ahead of the Baltimore Ravens, who also lost Sunday to the rival Pittsburgh Steelers.
Buffalo's odds saw the most dramatic positive shift this week, which we broke down in detail with our look at the Bills Super Bowl odds ahead of their bye week.
Here is a look at the latest 2025 Super Bowl odds as we look ahead to the NFL Week 12 odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Latest Super Bowl odds from our best NFL betting sites; last updated Nov. 18 and subject to change.
Super Bowl favorites
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Chiefs | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| Bills | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Eagles | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Ravens | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| 49ers | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
| Texans | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
| Packers | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Steelers | +2100 | 4.55% | $210 |
| Vikings | +2100 | 4.55% | $210 |
| Chargers | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
- Lions (+350): Detroit is favored for the first time all season after scoring 50 points for the second time in four weeks
- Chiefs (+500): Kansas City is no longer undefeated after Sunday's loss to the Bills, but it still owns the shortest odds of any team in the AFC
- Bills (+650): Buffalo demands your attention after snapping the Chiefs' perfect start to extend a six-game winning streak
- Ravens (+800): Baltimore's odds dipped after an ugly loss to the rival Steelers, which also hurt Lamar Jackson's NFL MVP odds
Super Bowl contenders
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +3800 | 2.56% | $380 |
| Falcons | +3800 | 2.56% | $380 |
| Cardinals | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Broncos | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Dolphins | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Rams | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Seahawks | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Bengals | +9000 | 1.10% | $900 |
| Colts | +12000 | 0.83% | $1,200 |
| Buccaneers | +13000 | 0.76% | $1,300 |
- Commanders (+3800): Washington's odds have plummeted after two straight losses, but this team still looks like a strong bet to crash the postseason
- Cardinals (+5000): Arizona is the surprising leader of the NFC West after the Seahawks (+7000) beat the 49ers (+1400) on Sunday; Arizona and Seattle play twice in the next three weeks
- Bengals (+9000): Cincinnati's odds lengthened from +5000 to +9000 after the Sunday Night Football loss to the Chargers; the Bengals are 4-7 and have a bye before playing the Steelers twice in their last six games
Super Bowl long shots
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +34000 | 0.29% | $3,400 |
| Jets | +55000 | 0.18% | $5,500 |
| Bears | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Browns | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Cowboys | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Giants | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Jaguars | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Panthers | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Patriots | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Raiders | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Titans | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
- Saints (+34000): It felt like New Orleans was waving the white flag after firing head coach Dennis Allen; two wins later, the division title is still (barely) within reach
- Bears (+100000): Chicago has lost two games in excruciating fashion over the last few weeks. Could a late-season surge still be in the cards?
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Lions (+350)
Earlier this month, I broke down the Lions Super Bowl odds and argued that they were the best team in the NFL. Two weeks later, the market has finally caught up.
Detroit left no doubt on Sunday with a 52-6 win over the Jaguars that was only shocking if you haven't been following along. Wins like this have become routine for the Lions, who did the same to the Tennessee Titans three weeks earlier.
In between were gutsy wins over the Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans - two legitimate contenders across our best sportsbooks - amid an eight-game win streak that doesn't look like it'll end anytime soon.
This is clearly the best team in the NFC, and that alone means Detroit is a compelling value to reach the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.
We already know the Lions will be contenders in their messy conference, and a $10 bet right now at bet365 would return a $40 profit if they finish the job.
Best odds: +400 via bet365 | Implied probability: 20%
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Chiefs (+500)
I've sung the praises of the Chiefs all season long dating back to my preseason Super Bowl predictions, even as they continue to stack one-possession victories and comeback wins en route to a 9-0 start.
Their luck finally ran out Sunday against a familiar foe in the Bills, who forced multiple turnovers and frustrated Kansas City's defense time and time again behind Josh Allen's dual-threat brilliance.
Still, this Chiefs team looks like a better version of the one that won the Super Bowl last year, especially once running back Isiah Pacheco comes back and receiver DeAndre Hopkins shows more continuity within this offense.
After seeing Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid, Steve Spagnuolo, and Co. flip the switch in the postseason the last two seasons, I'm done doubting them after a blip in the regular season.
If that happens again, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $50 profit.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Bills (+650)
I broke down the Bills' Super Bowl odds in great detail in my feature story on Buffalo this week, so I'd recommend checking that out if you haven't already.
In short, this team hasn't lost a game since trading for receiver Amari Cooper, whose mere presence has clearly unlocked a new gear for Allen and this offense - which ranks second in points and passing yards per game since the trade.
When Allen is making plays like this, though, it hardly matters who is on the field around him.
We've become accustomed to Buffalo challenging Kansas City and Baltimore for supremacy in the AFC, and it doesn't look like this season will be any different. If you haven't bought in by now, I'm not sure what else to tell you.
After Sunday's big win over the Chiefs, a $10 bet on the Bills to win it all would return a $70 profit at BetMGM.
Best odds: +700 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 12.50%
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Ravens (+800)
Baltimore has looked like the best team in the NFL at times this season. It's also looked like a fringe contender (or worse) far too often.
The latter version showed up on Sunday, when Jackson completed fewer than 50% of his passes and the Ravens offense turned it over three times while its defense allowed six field goals in an 18-16 loss.
Even with the loss, most of our best sports betting apps didn't move the Ravens' title odds all that much, which speaks to how entrenched they are among the league's elite and the expectation that they'll be in the mix in January.
Still, the road to the Super Bowl will be a lot tougher if Baltimore loses the AFC North crown to the Steelers and is forced to play away from M&T Bank Stadium. That's to say nothing of the defensive issues that remain for this group.
If this team sorts all that out and wins it all, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $90 profit in February.
Best odds: +900 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 10%
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My Super Bowl pick to watch
Vikings (+2100)
As the season wears on, we're running out of value plays to win the Super Bowl as the market pounces on the teams with a legitimate championship upside.
That's why I'm a bit puzzled why the Vikings are still dealing at such a long price just a few weeks after trading among the favorites to win it all.
Yes, a bet on Minnesota is a bet on Sam Darnold in the postseason. But I still believe in this defense, which remains one of the truly elite units in football under renowned coordinator Brian Flores.
Don't forget that the Vikings also boast perhaps the best offensive player in football in Justin Jefferson with a high-level offensive play-caller in Kevin O'Connell and a clear path to the postseason in the shallow NFC field.
You won't find better value than these +2500 odds via BetRivers, which would turn a $10 bet into a $250 profit if Minnesota wins it all.
Best odds: +2500 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 3.85%
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Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +355 | 21.98% | $36 |
| Chiefs | +395 | 20.20% | $40 |
| Bills | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| Eagles | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Ravens | +825 | 10.81% | $83 |
| Packers | +1750 | 5.41% | $175 |
| Steelers | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
| 49ers | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Vikings | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Texans | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
After a fairly static oddsboard at Circa Sportsbook over the last few weeks, we finally saw some major changes after a consequential Week 11.
The Lions are now the Super Bowl favorites in Las Vegas ahead of the Chiefs, while the Bills are in the third spot and the Ravens dropped all the way back to fifth.
Perhaps the biggest move of all? The 49ers went from +850 last week to +1900 this week after a loss to the Seahawks, dropping them into a tie for second place (which is also last place) in the crowded NFC West.
AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC even after Sunday's loss to Buffalo. The Ravens are right behind them while the Bills keep stacking victories.
(AFC Conference odds via FanDuel)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +220 |
| Bills | +290 |
| Ravens | +390 |
| Texans | +900 |
| Steelers | +950 |
| Chargers | +1300 |
| Broncos | +3300 |
| Dolphins | +3700 |
| Bengals | +4800 |
| Colts | +5000 |
| Jets | +34000 |
| Titans | +85000 |
| Browns | +100000 |
| Jaguars | +100000 |
| Patriots | +100000 |
| Raiders | +100000 |
NFC championship odds
The Lions are the clear favorites to win the NFC after another blowout win. The Eagles are right behind them, while the 49ers have dropped to fifth with a .500 record through 11 weeks.
(NFC Conference odds via FanDuel)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lions | +160 |
| Eagles | +350 |
| Packers | +950 |
| Vikings | +1000 |
| 49ers | +1100 |
| Commanders | +1500 |
| Falcons | +1500 |
| Cardinals | +1900 |
| Rams | +3500 |
| Seahawks | +3600 |
| Buccaneers | +5000 |
| Saints | +14000 |
| Bears | +29000 |
| Cowboys | +50000 |
| Giants | +100000 |
| Panthers | +100000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Super Bowl past winners
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Detroit Lions are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with odds as high as +400, which implies a 20% chance that they'll win their first Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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