Super Bowl MVP Odds & Best Bets 2025: Mahomes the Favorite for 3rd Straight Award
Who's the favorite to win the 2025 Super Bowl MVP? Unsurprisingly, Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes. And not far behind, Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley and QB Jalen Hurts.
Looking at the 2025 Super Bowl MVP odds, we can see a big gap between the big three and the rest of the pack. Mahomes' best odds are +120, Barkley's are +250, and next on the oddsboard is Jalen Hurts at +375. Chiefs vs. Eagles gets underway from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX).
We've been monitoring the Super Bowl MVP odds in the lead-up to the Big Game, and we have some last-minute picks before kickoff.
Super Bowl MVP odds: Chiefs vs. Eagles
Here are the latest Super Bowl MVP odds; odds update in real time.
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2025 Super Bowl MVP best bets
Here are our best 2025 Super Bowl MVP prop bets for Chiefs vs. Eagles. We've already given you AI Super Bowl predictions, so here are some made by hand.
- Super Bowl MVP prediction: Patrick Mahomes (+120 via FanDuel)
- Super Bowl MVP prediction: Jalen Hurts (+375 via BetMGM)
- Super Bowl MVP prediction: Nolan Smith Jr. (+30000 via BetRivers)
Our NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best Super Bowl odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
Super Bowl MVP prediction: Patrick Mahomes (+120)
The value isn't the best with this pick, but if Kansas City wins the Super Bowl, Mahomes will almost certainly be the reason why. A Chiefs victory would make them the first team to win three straight titles in the Super Bowl era, and position Mahomes to become the first player to win three-straight Super Bowl MVP awards.
A $10 bet at FanDuel would return a profit of $12 if the Chiefs' QB wins the award. Our Phil Wood also featured Mahomes in his Super Bowl 2025 MVP predictions.
Super Bowl MVP prediction: Jalen Hurts (+375)
Barkley is the hottest name from the Eagles to win the MVP, but his quarterback is just as lethal of a scoring threat. If Hurts poaches a couple of touchdowns from the running back, suddenly all eyes will be on the signal-caller.
He's kept pace with Barkley in the scoring department all season, and quarterbacks are much more likely to be named the MVP than a running back (the last running back to win the MVP was Terrell Davis in 1998).
A winning $10 bet at BetMGM would provide a profit of $37.50.
Super Bowl MVP prediction: Nolan Smith Jr. (+30000)
A little off the board for our third pick, but it's possible that the Eagles' defense is a big reason they come out on top if they shut down the Chiefs like they have opponents all season. Smith has been on an absolute heater in the postseason, piling up four sacks and a forced fumble in three games.
A winning $10 bet at BetRivers would provide a profit of $3,000.
Super Bowl MVP trends & betting history
Fifty-eight Super Bowls in the books, fifty-eight Super Bowl MVPs named. And looking at the history can certainly tell you things about how the award will be handed out.
- Quarterbacks have won the award 33 times, with eight to wide receivers as the second-most awarded position; linebackers have four, leading all defensive positions
- Only once has a player from the losing team won the award, Dallas Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley in Super Bowl 5
- No player has won the award more than two seasons in a row (Bart Starr and Mahomes are the only two to win back-to-back)
- Tom Brady has captured the award five times, more than any other player (Joe Montana and Mahomes are tied in second with three Super Bowl MVPs)
Super Bowl MVP opening odds
Here were the Super Bowl MVP opening odds via DraftKings from Jan. 6.
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs: +400
- Jared Goff, QB, Lions: +450
- Josh Allen, QB, Bills: +700
- Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens: +800
- Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles: +1300
- Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Lions: +1700
- Sam Darnold, QB, Vikings: +2200
- Saquon Barkley, RB, Eagles: +2500
- Jordan Love, QB, Packers: +3000
- Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers: +3500
- Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers: +3500
- Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs: +4500
- Derrick Henry, RB, Ravens: +4500
- Jayden Daniels, QB, Commanders: +5500
- David Montgomery, RB, Lions: +5500
- Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams: +6000
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions: +7500
- James Cook, RB, Bills: +7500
- Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings: +8000
- Bo Nix, QB, Broncos: +8000
- Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs: +9000
- C.J. Stroud, QB, Texans: +10000
- Josh Jacobs, RB, Packers: +10000
- A.J. Brown, WR, Eagles: +10000
- Russell Wilson, QB, Steelers: +12000
- Zay Flowers, WR, Ravens: +15000
- Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers: +15000
- Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs: +20000
- Aaron Jones, RB, Vikings: +20000
- Jameson Williams, WR, Lions: +20000
Super Bowl MVP betting history
| Season | Player | Team | Position | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +145 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +130 |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | Rams | WR | +600 |
| 2020 | Tom Brady | Buccaneers | QB | +190 |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +105 |
| 2018 | Julian Edelman | Patriots | WR | +2500 |
| 2017 | Nick Foles | Eagles | QB | +460 |
| 2016 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +125 |
| 2015 | Von Miller | Broncos | LB | +2500 |
| 2014 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +200 |
Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl odds
Here are the latest NFL odds for Super Bowl 2025 from our best NFL betting sites.
What time is Super Bowl 2025 today?
- When: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-104 via FanDuel)
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