Super Bowl MVP Odds, Predictions 2025: Can Mahomes Become First to Win 3 Straight?
Four teams remain in the NFL playoffs and Patrick Mahomes' Super Bowl MVP odds have shortened to +275 as he seeks an unprecedented third straight championship game honor.
The Kansas City Chiefs trail the Philadelphia Eagles by the Super Bowl odds entering the AFC and NFC championships. That's not hurting Mahomes' position on the Super Bowl MVP oddsboard, with his best odds of +275 representing an implied win probability of 26.67%.
2025 Super Bowl MVP odds
Super Bowl MVP odds favorites
Patrick Mahomes MVP odds: +275
Best odds: +275 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 26.67%
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Mahomes gradually slipped down the NFL MVP odds during the regular season despite leading his team to a 15-1 record before sitting out Week 18. It was an underwhelming statistical campaign - by his own standards - for Mahomes, who finished the regular season with 3,928 passing yards and 26 touchdowns against 11 interceptions.
Still, if last year taught us anything, it's that the regular season means almost nothing for the juggernauts from Kansas City. The two-time defending champions play a different brand of football in January, and our best NFL betting sites have long expected that we'll see them play once again in February.
Mahomes will be the poster boy for an unprecedented third straight Lombardi Trophy win, and the Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC championship.
Josh Allen MVP odds: +300
Best odds: +300 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 25%
Allen was at the helm of the most impressive playoff win for any team to date, as the Bills toppled the Baltimore Ravens in the divisional round. Allen threw for just 127 yards but scored two rushing touchdowns in what was a minor upset by the home team.
Allen will need to be better than that if the Bills hope to replicate their 30-21 win over the Chiefs in the regular season with the championship game at Arrowhead Stadium.
Jalen Hurts MVP odds: +550
Best odds: +550 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 15.38%
The Eagles are the Super Bowl favorites entering the NFC championship against the Washington Commanders. Hurts' position at third on this oddsboard has more to say about the internal competition he faces from running back Saquon Barkley (+550 Super Bowl MVP odds) than it does about his own merits.
Though Hurts hasn't seemed at his best since returning for the playoffs from a late-season injury. He completed just 13 of 21 passes for a meager 131 yards against the Green Bay Packers, but he tossed two touchdowns with no interceptions.
Other Super Bowl MVP prop bet markets
Closer to the 2025 Super Bowl, many more MVP-related betting markets will be released. Here are some examples of what was available in 2024 ahead of the Chiefs meeting with the 49ers.
Who will the MVP thank first?
| 1st mentioned in MVP speech | FanDuel |
|---|---|
| God/religious figure | -125 |
| Teammates | +260 |
| Family | +600 |
| Fans | +1000 |
| Coach | +1600 |
| Team/organization | +3500 |
Super Bowl MVP position
DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars simplified the Super Bowl MVP market by asking which position would win.
| Position | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | -265 ❄️ | -200 🔥 | -210 | -250 |
| Running back/full back | +380 | +380 | +350 | +375 |
| Wide receiver | +800 | +1300 | +850 | +800 |
| Tight end | +900 | +1200 | +900 | +900 |
| Defensive lineman | +1600 | OFF | +1800 | +1800 |
| Linebacker | +3500 | OFF | +4000 | +4000 |
| Cornerback | +5000 | OFF | +5000 | OFF |
| Safety | +8000 | OFF | +8000 | OFF |
| Defensive Back | OFF | OFF | OFF | +4000 |
| Kicker/punter/long snapper | +15000 | +16000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Offensive lineman | +25000 | +25000 | +10000 | +25000 |
| Any defensive player | OFF | +1700 | OFF | OFF |
Position vs. the field
FanDuel and bet365 offered variations on this type of wager.
FanDuel listed the wager as "QB vs. Any Other Position."
| Position | Yes | Any Other Position |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | -200 | +160 |
| Running back, full back, wide receiver, tight end | +195 | -250 |
FanDuel gets further in-depth, listing odds for each individual quarterback. However, for whatever reason, its odds on Mahomes were shorter than those in the normal MVP market.
| Quarterback | Yes | The Field |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +145 | -180 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +220 | -280 |
bet365's variant of the same question was a simple "Yes/No." Will a quarterback win the MVP? Yes (-320) or No (+235) were the two options in this market. Several other position groups were covered, too.
| Position | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | -270 | +210 |
| Running Back | +375 | -550 |
| Wide Receiver | +1400 | -4000 |
| Tight End | +1000 | -2000 |
| Defensive Player | +2200 | -25000 |
Super Bowl MVP opening odds
Super Bowl MVP opening odds via DraftKings from January 6.
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs: +400
- Jared Goff, QB, Lions: +450
- Josh Allen, QB, Bills: +700
- Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens: +800
- Jalen Hurts, QB, Eagles: +1300
- Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Lions: +1700
- Sam Darnold, QB, Vikings: +2200
- Saquon Barkley, RB, Eagles: +2500
- Jordan Love, QB, Packers: +3000
- Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers: +3500
- Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers: +3500
- Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs: +4500
- Derrick Henry, RB, Ravens: +4500
- Jayden Daniels, QB, Commanders: +5500
- David Montgomery, RB, Lions: +5500
- Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams: +6000
- Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Lions: +7500
- James Cook, RB, Bills: +7500
- Justin Jefferson, WR, Vikings: +8000
- Bo Nix, QB, Broncos: +8000
- Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs: +9000
- C.J. Stroud, QB, Texans: +10000
- Josh Jacobs, RB, Packers: +10000
- A.J. Brown, WR, Eagles: +10000
- Russell Wilson, QB, Steelers: +12000
- Zay Flowers, WR, Ravens: +15000
- Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers: +15000
- Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs: +20000
- Aaron Jones, RB, Vikings: +20000
- Jameson Williams, WR, Lions: +20000
Super Bowl MVP betting history
| Season | Player | Team | Position | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +145 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +130 |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | Rams | WR | +600 |
| 2020 | Tom Brady | Buccaneers | QB | +190 |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +105 |
| 2018 | Julian Edelman | Patriots | WR | +2500 |
| 2017 | Nick Foles | Eagles | QB | +460 |
| 2016 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +125 |
| 2015 | Von Miller | Broncos | LB | +2500 |
| 2014 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +200 |
How to bet Super Bowl MVP futures odds
Betting on the Super Bowl MVP involves wagering on which player will be awarded the MVP title at the end of the championship game. Here are steps to bet on the Super Bowl MVP:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the Super Bowl MVP. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season and playoffs. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial. Seven of the last 10 winners have been quarterbacks due to their impact on the game.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the postseason, monitor odds fluctuations and player performances. As the playoffs progress, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring in their respective positions. These factors can significantly impact a player's chances of winning the MVP.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the postseason progresses and the player's performance, you can cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the postseason to see if your chosen player wins the MVP.
Remember, betting on the Super Bowl MVP requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' impacts on their teams' success.
How to read Super Bowl MVP odds
Reading Super Bowl MVP odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a player capturing the Super Bowl MVP. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, trades, and betting patterns.
If Patrick Mahomes gets +500 odds and Brock Purdy gets +1000, Mahomes is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Mahomes and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
Super Bowl MVP FAQs
Who is favored to win Super Bowl MVP?
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is the 2025 Super Bowl MVP favorite with betting odds of +275 representing an implied win probability of 26.67% according to our odds converter.
Who won last year's Super Bowl MVP?
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was named the 2024 Super Bowl MVP.
When will the Super Bowl MVP be decided?
The next Super Bowl MVP will be decided after the conclusion of this season's championship game on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl LIX will be held at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, which is home to the New Orleans Saints.
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