Steelers vs. Browns TNF Prop Bets, Odds: Thursday Night Football
The Cleveland Browns host the Pittsburgh Steelers in an AFC North Thursday night clash, and we expect big things from both running games.
With snow expected throughout this game, the latest Thursday Night Football odds have the Steelers favored by just 3.5 points despite being six games better than the Browns in the standings. How will the expected weather conditions affect the best Steelers vs. Browns TNF prop bets?
Russell Wilson’s passing yards total is set nearly 20 yards lower than his previous season-low for Thursday night’s 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video) game at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland.
If Wilson struggles, what does that mean for Najee Harris? And for the Browns, what should we expect from Nick Chubb?
We dive into the best props for all of those players as part of our NFL Week 12 predictions, which also include our Steelers vs. Browns prediction.
Steelers vs. Browns player props: Thursday Night Football
Odds as of Wednesday and subject to change.
- Najee Harris Over 66.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Russell Wilson Under 177.5 passing yards (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Nick Chubb anytime touchdown scorer (+155 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Najee Harris Over 66.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Harris has run for 63 or fewer yards in each of his last two games, averaging just 2.9 yards per carry during that stretch. The lackluster performances come after three consecutive 100-yard games. Overall, Harris has run for at least 67 yards in six of his 10 games this season.
The Browns rank 24th in the league against the run, allowing 131.7 rushing yards per game. Over their last three contests, they’ve allowed 144.7 rushing yards per game, and last week against the New Orleans Saints they allowed 214 yards. When you add sloppy field conditions to the mix, this is a great matchup for Harris.
Four of the five best sports betting sites have this number set at 66.5 yards, and no sportsbook is offering a better price than bet365. Considering Harris has run for more than 60 yards in seven of his 10 games, it’s great to get -110 for Over 66.5 yards in a matchup this favorable.
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Russell Wilson Under 177.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
In four games, Wilson has thrown for 942 yards, passing for at least 195 in every contest. Even in last week’s disappointing performance against the Baltimore Ravens, Wilson threw for 205 yards.
The Browns aren’t particularly great at defending the pass, either. They rank 16th in the league, allowing 211 yards per game. Over the last three weeks, they’re giving up an average of 256 passing yards per contest.
However, this feels like a total miss by bet365, which has the highest total by multiple yards. FanDuel has the line set at just 172.5, and it's asking -113 for the Over. Our best sports betting apps are expecting the weather to impact Wilson’s performance. I’ll side with them, but only with minor confidence.
Best odds: -120 via bet265 | Implied probability: 54.55%
Nick Chubb anytime touchdown scorer (+155) ⭐⭐⭐
With Jameis Winston under center, the Browns are a pass-first team. Winston has attempted at least 41 passes in each of his three games this season, including 46 in back-to-back weeks. And yet, with snowy weather expected to impact this game, Chubb could finally see himself as the offensive leader.
Chubb has carried the ball at least 11 times in each of his four games, but he’s scored only one touchdown. He’s averaging just 3.1 yards per carry, so he’ll likely need to score a red-zone touchdown to hit this prop. Lucky for him, the Steelers are allowing 1.4 red-zone touchdowns per game this season.
The Steelers are allowing 0.8 rushing touchdowns per game, but over their last three, they’re allowing an average of 1.7 per contest. It seems opponents have found a weakness in this Steelers’ run defense, so to get Chubb at +155 does provide a fair amount of value.
Best odds: +155 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 39.22%
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Steelers vs. Browns odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Steelers vs. Browns
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Huntington Bank Field (Cleveland)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 34 degrees, 60% chance of precipitation, wind 12 mph W
- Favorite: Steelers -3.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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