Ravens vs. Giants Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction
The Baltimore Ravens’ visit to the New York Giants on Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS) is shaping up to be one of the largest mismatches in recent NFL history. If the early 16-point spread in the NFL odds for Week 15 holds, New York will be the biggest home underdog in more than three years.
Fortunately, betting can make any game interesting, and we’re here to help with our Ravens vs. Giants player prop picks.
The blowout potential makes us nervous about backing Overs on Baltimore player props, but we see some opportunity to cash in on two Giants playing increased roles.
The Ravens enter the matchup sitting fifth in the Super Bowl odds, while the Giants are on the other end and eyeing who's leading the NFL draft odds.
Ravens vs. Giants NFL player prop picks: Sunday
Odds as of Thursday and subject to change.
- Daniel Bellinger touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown (+950 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 28.5 receiving yards (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Derrick Henry Under 20.5 rushing attempts (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Ravens vs. Giants touchdown prediction
Daniel Bellinger anytime touchdown (+950) ⭐⭐
Best odds: +950 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 9.5%
Terms and conditions apply.
New York’s usage of its tight ends has been flying under the radar for most of the season. Theo Johnson went Over his receptions and receiving yards props seven straight times before being placed on the injured reserve.
Now Bellinger is playing a significant role while being on the field for 78% of the Giants’ snaps last week versus New Orleans and catching five balls for 45 yards.
Meanwhile, Baltimore has been struggling to contain opposing tight ends while allowing the fifth-most yards and seventh-most completions to that position. The Ravens have also permitted three tight ends to score touchdowns over their last six games, including one to Dallas Goedert in the team's most recent outing.
Not all of our best NFL prop betting sites were featuring Bellinger touchdown props as of Friday morning, but the +950 at DraftKings was enough to get me to pull the trigger. Make sure to shop around, as Caesars was paying just +800 for one of your NFL Week 15 predictions.
Best Ravens vs. Giants prop picks
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 18.5 receiving yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -120 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 54.5%
New York’s rookie back has been getting increased passing-game usage since the G-Men cut ties with Daniel Jones last month.
Tracy has racked up 11 catches for 99 yards over three games with Tommy DeVito or Drew Lock under center. His 11 targets last week versus the New Orleans Saints tied him for the team high.
We should see more of the same against the Ravens, especially if Tracy can't get much going on the ground against Baltimore’s top-ranked run defense. The Giants are likely to be playing from behind throughout most of the game too, creating more opportunities for DeVito to drop back and look for his checkdown target.
I chose to play the Over on 18.5 yards at -120 through DraftKings. But you can also bet Over 19.5 yards at nearly even odds (-103) through Caesars.
Derrick Henry Under 20.5 rushing attempts (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.5%
Henry prides himself on being a workhorse. But the level of volume needed to cash the Over here seems like a bit much, even if the Ravens are playing with a lead throughout and exploiting New York’s leaky run defense. He’s carried the ball fewer than 20 times in three of the Ravens’ last four games and in five of the team's previous seven.
With Saquon Barkley more than 200 yards ahead of Henry for the league rushing lead and a stretch of three games in 11 days upcoming, it won’t be surprising to see Henry on the bench if the Ravens build a significant advantage.
Henry was once a stronger contender in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, but he's since fallen far behind Barkley.
Ravens vs. Giants game info
- When: Sunday, December 15
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: 38 degrees, 8% chance of precipitation, winds 5 mph E
- Favorite: Ravens -16 (-110 via BetMGM)
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