Ravens vs. Bills Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: NFL Divisional Round
The Buffalo Bills will look to avenge a 35-10 loss to the Baltimore Ravens during Sunday's divisional-round matchup.
When making the best Ravens vs. Bills player prop picks, it’s hard to ignore how dominant the Ravens were when these two teams met in September. They outgained the Bills 427-236, with Derrick Henry rushing for 199 yards.
But this week’s 6:30 p.m. ET (CBS/Paramount+) game will be played at Highmark Stadium, a place where the Bills haven’t lost yet this season. Yet the Ravens are still the one-point favorite.
Can Lamar Jackson lead his team to another AFC Championship Game? Or will Josh Allen and Co. avenge the Week 4 loss?
Ravens vs. Bills NFL player prop picks: Divisional Round
Odds as of Saturday and subject to change.
- Keon Coleman touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown scorer (+270 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Derrick Henry Over 96.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Under 220.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Ravens vs. Bills touchdown prediction
Keon Coleman anytime touchdown scorer (+270) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +270 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 27.03%
Picking a touchdown prop for this game is tough for a few reasons.
First, Henry scoring at any time is set at -200 or worse through all of our NFL prop betting sites. Secondly, James Cook has been a stud this season, but the Ravens haven’t allowed a rushing touchdown in three games.
With the two main players off the board, I’m going to take a bit of a chance with Coleman. He finished the regular season tied for the second-most receiving touchdowns on the team. Coleman only caught one pass for five yards last week, but he was on the other end for a successful two-point conversion, amplifying how important the big-bodied wideout is around the end zone.
The Ravens’ pass defense has been playing well lately, but the unit was burned for two 30-plus-yard touchdown passes last week. Coleman has recorded three 40-plus-yard plays this season, so he may be able to take advantage of blown coverage if the red-zone opportunities aren’t there for him.
Best Ravens vs. Bills prop picks
Derrick Henry Over 96.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Henry has rushed for at least 138 yards in four consecutive games, averaging 5.4-plus yards per carry in each contest. He's averaging 5.9 yards per carry this season.
While the Bills’ run defense finished the season ranked 12th, a lot of the unit's success came because the team was winning. The opposition was successful when it used the run, with the Bills ranking 19th in yards allowed per attempt.
Though the Bills’ rush defense is much better than it was when these two teams met earlier this season, Henry is playing on another level right now.
He averaged 8.3 yards per carry in the first meeting. He won’t hit that number this week, but it’s hard to imagine a Bills defense that sits in the bottom half of the league holding him under his season average of 5.9.
Lamar Jackson Under 220.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
Jackson threw for just 156 yards during the first meeting between these squads. While he’s enjoyed some massive passing games this year, the signal-caller has thrown for fewer than 220 yards in four consecutive outings.
The Bills’ pass defense finished the regular season ranked 24th, but the Ravens are a run-first team. Plus, the Bills completely shut down Bo Nix last week, holding him to just 144 passing yards.
The best price for this prop is available at bet365. However, that sportsbook is setting the total at 217.5. Because Jackson could produce a huge day, I’ll take three extra yards for a slightly worse price while making one of my divisional round predictions.
Ravens vs. Bills predictions
- Ravens vs. Bills prediction
- Ravens vs. Bills player props picks
- Ravens vs. Bills parlay picks
- Ravens vs. Bills anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Josh Allen player props
- Lamar Jackson player props
Ravens vs. Bills game info
- When: Sunday, Jan. 19
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
- How to watch: CBS/Paramount+
- Weather: 21 degrees, 25% chance of precipitation, wind 9-mph NNE
- Favorite: Ravens -1 (-110 via Caesars)
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