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Patrick Mahomes Player Props vs. Texans: Divisional Round Prop Bet Odds & Predictions

Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 18, 2025 9:00 AM EST • 1 min 54 sec read.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes warms up before the game between the Cleveland Browns and the Chiefs as we look at our Patrick Mahomes player props.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes warms up before the game between the Cleveland Browns and the Chiefs. Photo by Ken Blaze/Imagn Images.

Patrick Mahomes will look to lead his Kansas City Chiefs past the Houston Texans and to another AFC Championship Game on Saturday.

When making the best Patrick Mahomes player props picks, it’s important to remember how much better the three-time champion played at the end of the season compared to the beginning. He’s thrown 11 touchdown passes and zero interceptions over his last six games and is the Super Bowl MVP odds favorite.

Mahomes being under center is a significant reason why the Chiefs are the 8.5-point favorites prior to Saturday’s game at 4:30 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC/ESPN+) from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Will he continue his solid play? Or will the Texans’ defense pick up where it left off in the wild-card round?

Patrick Mahomes player prop odds vs. Texans

Patrick Mahomes player prop predictions vs. Texans

Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 interceptions

Mahomes hasn’t thrown an interception since Nov. 17. Though he hasn’t played since Christmas, Mahomes has clearly broken out of whatever funk he was in to start the year.

And while the Texans averaged 1.3 interceptions per game this season, they were unable to pick him off in their meeting earlier this season.

Mahomes' Chiefs enter the weekend among the Super Bowl odds favorites, and he should enjoy a clean game to help keep it that way.

Patrick Mahomes Over 247.5 passing yards

The Texans are only allowing 201.6 passing yards per game, but Mahomes threw for 260 against them earlier this campaign.

Mahomes has thrown for 260-plus yards in four of his last six outings. The Texans have shown they can keep it close with the Chiefs, which means Mahomes will be throwing for all four quarters. Take him to go Over this number as part of your divisional round predictions.

Patrick Mahomes regular-season stats

  • Games: 16
  • Yards: 3,928
  • Pass attempts: 581
  • Interceptions: 11

Texans vs. Chiefs expert picks & predictions

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.