Packers vs. Bears Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Will Moore Be More Involved?
A once-promising season has gone off the rails for the Chicago Bears (4-5), who haven’t scored a touchdown in 23 straight possessions. Chicago’s woes cost Shane Waldron his job this week as the Bears fired their first-year offensive coordinator and promoted passing game coordinator Thomas Brown to the role.
As part of our Week 11 NFL predictions, my Packers vs. Bears player prop bets and touchdown picks anticipate a couple of things will be different under Brown.
However, Chicago still faces an uphill battle Sunday at Soldier Field against the visiting 6-3 Green Bay Packers (1 p.m. ET, FOX), who have won and covered each of their last 10 meetings with their NFC North rivals.
Packers vs. Bears NFL player prop bets: Sunday
Odds as of Friday and subject to change.
- D.J. Moore touchdown pick: Anytime Touchdown (+340 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Caleb Williams Over 18.5 Completions (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Emanuel Wilson Anytime Touchdown (+550 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Packers vs. Bears touchdown pick
D.J. Moore Anytime Touchdown (+340) ⭐⭐⭐
Moore made no secret that he was unhappy in Waldron’s system, and with good reason. Since going off for 105 yards and two touchdowns versus the Carolina Panthers in early October, the talented wideout has caught just 13 passes in Chicago’s last four games. He’s been targeted only 24 times during that stretch after seeing 42 targets in his first five outings.
Expect Brown to look to get Moore more involved from the get-go, especially in a game Chicago will likely be trailing and forced to go to the air. Green Bay has allowed a passing touchdown in all but one game this year.
The value with this prop has never been better this season. FanDuel’s +340 odds on Moore to find the end zone are nearly double what he’s paid in any other game this year at Caesars, where Moore closed at +190 last week to score versus the New England Patriots.
Best odds: +340 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 22.7%
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Best Packers vs. Bears prop bets
Caleb Williams Over 18.5 completions (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Another adjustment we should see out of Brown is an emphasis on Williams getting rid of the ball quicker. The rookie has taken 21 sacks over Chicago’s last four games, including a whopping nine last week against New England.
Williams has acknowledged that he’s been holding the ball too long, so look for him to be more willing to check down to his running backs or tight end Cole Kmet. If he does that, we should see a few more completions than usual from the Bears passer, who has still completed at least 20 throws in three of his last five games and five of eight.
If you’re tailing this prop, FanDuel should be your first stop. They were offering this bet at nearly even odds (-102) while our other best sports betting apps have odds of -120 or higher.
Best odds: -102 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50.5%
Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown (+550) ⭐⭐
We’ll close out our Packers vs. Bears player props with another anytime touchdown bet, even if it’s a bit of a dart throw. With starting running back Josh Jacobs battling a lingering quadriceps injury and backup Marshawn Lloyd also dealing with ankle and hamstring ailments, Wilson could see more action than usual.
Whoever does carry the ball for Green Bay in the red zone should be primed for success. Chicago has been absolutely gashed on the ground in the past three games, allowing an average of 175 rushing yards during that span.
A safer way to attack this angle might be to bet the Over on Wilson’s rushing yards and attempts, but the uncertainty about Jacobs and Lloyd’s status meant oddsmakers hadn’t posted lines for those as of Thursday. Instead, I’ll sprinkle on the +550 Wilson anytime touchdown odds at FanDuel (DraftKings and BetMGM paid +500).
Best odds: +550 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.4%
Packers vs. Bears game info
- When: Sunday, Nov. 17
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Soldier Field (Chicago)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 55 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, 7 mph winds W
- Favorite: Packers -5.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
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