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Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels celebrates while leaving the field after the beating the Atlanta Falcons at Northwest Stadium as we break down the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds.
Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels celebrates while leaving the field after the beating the Atlanta Falcons at Northwest Stadium. Photo by Geoff Burke via Imagn Images

The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds stopped showing anything resembling an actual race a while back, with Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels leaving everyone else far in the distance.

Daniels had been a heavy favorite for a while, and he closed as a near lock to take the honors. Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers and Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix challenged him earlier in the campaign, but they both faded significantly down the stretch.

Our best sports betting sites removed Offensive Rookie of the Year odds at the conclusion of the regular season, so let's take a look at just how much of an advantage Daniels held by the odds.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2025

Closing NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from our best NFL betting sites.

  • Daniels' odds shortened from -10000 to -20000 following the final week of the regular season
  • Bowers' odds moved from +3000 to +2200 after breaking three records in Week 17, but he reverted back to around +2500 to close out
  • The best odds for Bo Nix were down to +6000 after Week 17, but then he went back to +10000
  • There's a wide chasm after Nix, with Bucky Irving of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers the next closest at +30000, which is why some of our best sportsbooks removed this market even before the conclusion of the regular season

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds favorite 2025

Jayden Daniels Offensive Rookie of the Year odds (-20000)

The Washington Commanders pulled Daniels at halftime of their eventual Week 18 win over the Dallas Cowboys.

They trailed at the time and had the chance to improve their playoff seeding. But the move was surely done out of an abundance of caution as Daniels dealt with seemingly minor leg soreness, and with Washington having already clinched a playoff spot.

The conclusion to Daniels' rookie season may have been anticlimactic then, but the rest was very much the opposite. He put an exclamation mark on his surely award-winning campaign with 127 rushing yards during an overtime win against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 17.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles. Photo by Peter Casey/Imagn Images.

That outburst secured him the rookie quarterback single-season rushing yards record (he eventually finished with 891 yards on the ground). His eruption against Atlanta came right after a remarkable five touchdown tosses during a narrow win over the division-rival Philadelphia Eagles.

The brilliance from Daniels is a key reason why the Commanders are heading to the playoffs for just the second time since 2015, and they won their final five games of the season.

Best odds: -20000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 99.50%

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How to bet on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

When betting on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.

Check out the odds for different players; for example, if Jayden Daniels is at -400 and Caleb Williams is at +950, Daniels is favored to win.

Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Daniels at -400 and he wins, you’ll get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the rookies perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.

But remember with odds movement in future markets it's all about performance and perception. If a rookie has a standout game, their odds will improve. Conversely, if they underperform or get injured, their odds will worsen.

Team success can also influence a player's odds; rookies on winning teams might see better odds. Public betting trends are important too - if a lot of people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.

Expert analysis and predictions also play a role as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.

How to read NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

Reading NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.

For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.

These odds also reflect the implied probability of a player winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns.

For example, if Jayden Daniels has -400 odds and Caleb Williams has +950 odds, Daniels is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Daniels and he wins, you’d get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Meanwhile, a winning $100 bet on Williams would return $1,050 in total ($950 profit + $100 stake).

Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year opening odds

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year opening odds from bet365 as of Sept. 4

  • Caleb Williams: +120
  • Jayden Daniels: +450
  • Marvin Harrision Jr.: +600
  • Bo Nix: +800
  • Drake Maye: +1400
  • Malik Nabers: +1400
  • Xavier Worthy: +1800
  • Brian Thomas Jr.: +3000
  • Brock Bowers: +3500

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds history

SeasonPlayerTeamPositionPreseason odds
2023C.J. StroudTexansQB+850
2022Garrett WilsonJetsWR+2000
2021Ja'Marr ChaseBengalsWR+1800
2020Justin HerbertChargersQB+3000
2019Kyler MurrayCardinalsQB+150
2018Saquon BarkleyGiantsRB+155
2017Alvin KamaraSaintsRB+5000
2016Dak PrescottCowboysQB+900
2015Todd GurleyRamsRB+1350
2014Odell Beckham Jr.GiantsWR+2500

How NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year voting works

A panel of sportswriters who cover the NFL vote on the individual awards, including NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. There are typically 50 votes available, with the player who receives the largest share of first-place votes deemed the winner.

That winner is then unveiled during the NFL Honors awards ceremony, which is set to take place during Super Bowl week on Feb. 6 at 9 p.m. ET on FOX and NFL Network.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQs

Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels is the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite, with his -20000 odds implying a 99.50% chance he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator

Who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year last year?

Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award last year after throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns with just five interceptions.

Has a team ever had both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year?

With C.J. Stroud winning OROY and Will Anderson winning DROY for the Houston Texans last season, it marked the fourth time in league history that both winners were on the same team.

The previous three times were with the New York Jets in 2022 (Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner), New Orleans Saints in 2017 (Alvin Kamara, Marshon Lattimore), and the Detroit Lions in 1967 (Mel Farr, Lem Barney).

Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP? 

Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win NFL MVP. He won both Offensive Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957 for the Cleveland Browns after leading the league with 942 rushing yards. 

NFL betting odds pages

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