NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds 2024-25: Daniels Still Big Favorite, Nix Surging in Second
Bo Nix became the first rookie quarterback with four touchdown passes, no interceptions, and at least 300 passing yards in a game when he and his Denver Broncos terrorized the Atlanta Falcons in Week 11.
Unsurprisingly, Nix's Offensive Rookie of the Year odds improved substantially, moving from +1400 to +400 at FanDuel. Despite that unprecedented performance, he's still way behind prohibitive favorite Jayden Daniels, trading at -600.
Tight end Brock Bowers, wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., and wide receiver Malik Nabers are doing their utmost to stay relevant in the race at our NFL prop betting sites. Preseason favorite Caleb Williams has tumbled down the oddsboard.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2024-25
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds last updated Nov. 18 and subject to change. See our NFL player prop odds tool for the latest odds on any player.
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | -600 | 85.71% | $1.67 |
| Bo Nix | +400 | 20.00% | $40 |
| Brock Bowers | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Caleb Williams | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Malik Nabers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Drake Maye | +7500 | 1.32% | $750 |
| Ladd McConkey | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Tyrone Tracy | +12000 | 0.83% | $1,200 |
Here are the latest highlights entering Week 11:
- Daniels' odds lengthened from -900 to -600 after Nix's standout Week 11 performance
- Nix's odds have improved from +3000 to +400 since Nov. 7, an implied probability shift from 3.23% to 20%
- Brock Bowers' odds moved from +3300 to +2500 after he achieved a record for catches (13) by a rookie tight end against the Miami Dolphins in Week 11. He also had 126 receiving yards and a touchdown
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite 2024-25
Jayden Daniels (-600)
What more can you say about Daniels, who has galvanized the nation's capital while putting up MVP-level numbers as a rookie?
Daniels is still the easy choice to win this award, but his odds have been lengthening recently as his running work has slowed down due to an injury. In addition, Nix is putting up gaudy numbers in Denver, making life slightly more uncomfortable for the runaway leader.
Daniels' OROY odds are trading between -600 and -769 at our best NFL betting sites - even the best price at FanDuel results in only $1.67 on a $10 bet.
Best odds: -600 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 85.71%
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Bo Nix (+400)
Nix has led the Broncos to a 3-2 record over the last five games, which would have been 4-1 had their attempted game-winning field goal against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 10 not been blocked. While his performance against the Falcons was inarguably his best, Nix has ascended since Week 8.
He has nine touchdown passes and just one pick in the last four games, averaging 257 passing yards in that stretch. He also had a season-best 75 rushing yards in Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints.
If Nix continues on his current trajectory, which looks likely considering his composure in the pocket and Sean Payton's ability to play to his strengths, he could give Daniels a run for his money.
However, Daniels will line up against the Dallas Cowboys, Tennessee Titans, and New Orleans Saints in the next three weeks, while Nix faces a more difficult road against the Las Vegas Raiders, Cleveland Browns, and Indianapolis Colts.
bet365 offers the best price (+600), and a winning $10 bet would profit $60.
Best odds: +600 via bet365 | Implied probability: 14.29%
My NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate to watch
Brock Bowers (+2500)
At this point, even with Nix surging, it's hard to imagine anyone finishing with a better rookie resume than Daniels. That's why I'd only consider betting on a non-QB among the remaining long shots, and even that is a real stretch at this point.
Incredibly, the Las Vegas Raiders tight end is second in receptions (70) and first in receiving yards (706) at his position. He added to his tally with a dominant performance in a losing effort against the Dolphins, hauling in a tight end rookie record for catches (13). That was in addition to 126 yards and a touchdown.
Those are the sort of numbers that could give Bowers an outside chance to win an award like this, as it isn't a stretch to say he's been the best player at his position this year.
That isn't the case for Daniels, who isn't the best quarterback in the NFL. Ultimately, the odds are still stacked against Bowers, especially with Nix now in the running. If Daniels continues to slip, watch out for this sensational tight end, who plays well beyond what his 21 years suggest.
Best odds: +2500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 3.85%
How to bet on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
When betting on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different players; for example, if Jayden Daniels is at -400 and Caleb Williams is at +950, Daniels is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Daniels at -400 and he wins, you’ll get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the rookies perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember with odds movement in future markets it's all about performance and perception. If a rookie has a standout game, their odds will improve. Conversely, if they underperform or get injured, their odds will worsen.
Team success can also influence a player's odds; rookies on winning teams might see better odds. Public betting trends are important too - if a lot of people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
How to read NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds
Reading NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a player winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns.
For example, if Jayden Daniels has -400 odds and Caleb Williams has +950 odds, Daniels is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Daniels and he wins, you’d get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Meanwhile, a winning $100 bet on Williams would return $1,050 in total ($950 profit + $100 stake).
Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds over time
Latest odds via DraftKings
| Player | Opening odds (April 2) | Sept. 4 | Nov. 18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | +275 | +120 | +4000 |
| Jayden Daniels | +900 | +450 | -400 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | +600 | +600 | +7500 |
| Bo Nix | +3500 | +800 | +300 |
| Drake Maye | +1100 | +1400 | +2500 |
| Malik Nabers | +750 | +1400 | +5000 |
| Xavier Worthy | +4000 | +1800 | +10000 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | +2200 | +3000 | +5000 |
| Brock Bowers | +2000 | +3500 | +3000 |
Past NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners
| Season | Player | Team | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | C.J. Stroud | Texans | QB | +850 |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson | Jets | WR | +2000 |
| 2021 | Ja'Marr Chase | Bengals | WR | +1800 |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert | Chargers | QB | +3000 |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | Cardinals | QB | +150 |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley | Giants | RB | +155 |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara | Saints | RB | +5000 |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott | Cowboys | QB | +900 |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley | Rams | RB | +1350 |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr. | Giants | WR | +2500 |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position
| Position | OROY winners |
|---|---|
| Running back | 40 |
| Quarterback | 11 |
| Wide receiver | 11 |
| End | 4 |
| Tight end | 1 |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels is the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite with his -600 odds implying an 85.71%% chance he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year be announced?
The 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.
Who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year last year?
Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award last year, throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns with just five interceptions.
Has a team ever had both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year?
With C.J. Stroud winning OROY and Will Anderson winning DROY for the Houston Texans last season, it marked the fourth time in league history that both winners were on the same team.
The previous three times were with the New York Jets in 2022 (Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner), New Orleans Saints in 2017 (Alvin Kamara, Marshon Lattimore), and the Detroit Lions in 1967 (Mel Farr, Lem Barney).
Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?
Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win NFL MVP. He won both Offensive Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957 for the Cleveland Browns after leading the league with 942 rushing yards.
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