NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds 2024-25: Daniels Miles Ahead of Nix After TNF
Bo Nix's 263 passing yards and two touchdown passes in a losing effort against the Los Angeles Chargers on TNF did nothing to cut into Jayden Daniels' gigantic lead atop the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds leaderboard.
Entering the bulk of Week 16, Daniels' -1000 odds imply a 90.91% win probability.
Nix, meanwhile, is tied with Brock Bowers for the second-shortest odds, with their +2000 odds implying a 4.76% win probability.
Like Josh Allen in the NFL MVP odds race, Daniels continually improves. Next up for the runaway favorite is a behemoth contest at home against the Philadelphia Eagles, one of the Super Bowl odds front-runners.
Here are the OROY odds as we look ahead to the NFL Week 16 odds.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2024-25
Here are the latest highlights:
- Daniels' odds shortened from -220 to -750 following the Washington Commanders' victory over the New Orleans Saints, and then even further to -1000 by Thursday
- Despite his latest setback, Nix's odds have improved from +3000 to +2000 since Nov. 7. However, they dropped from +1200 to +2000 after Thursday's 34-27 defeat to the Chargers
- Bowers' odds moved from +4200 to +1200 after a monstrous Week 13 performance but remained relatively stable (+1300) after a comparatively quiet Week 14. He was held in check again on Monday Night Football during Week 15 (three catches for 35 yards), resulting in his odds lengthening to +2400. They've since improved to +2000
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite 2024-25
Jayden Daniels (-1000)
Daniels is the runaway favorite for various reasons. He's a formidable dual-threat quarterback with the second-most rushing yards at his position, trailing only Lamar Jackson.
It would take a monumental unraveling for Daniels to lose his lead atop the OROY oddsboard. He's on the cusp of leading the 9-5 Commanders to their first playoff berth since 2020. The NFL playoff odds show the Commanders hold a 65% chance of making the playoffs entering Week 16.
Most of Daniels' individual stats are head and shoulders above the competition, setting up what should be a glorious and historic few weeks for the rookie.
Caesars offers the best odds for Daniels, where a $10 bet would result in just a $1 profit. His odds are trading as long as -2000 at bet365, where a $10 wager would profit a minuscule $.50 if, more like when he wins.
Best odds: -1000 via Caesars | Implied probability: 90.91%
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My NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate to watch
Bo Nix (+2000)
Nix and the Broncos have been surprising the football world while going 9-5 through Week 15. However, they finally endured a setback, which came at a significant cost to Nix.
Barring a miracle, it appears the sun has finally set on his OROY quest.
Nix watched as his odds lengthened from +230 to +900 after throwing three interceptions against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 15. His odds took another hit on TNF in Week 16, moving from +1200 to +2000.
He leads rookie quarterbacks with 3,235 passing yards but has thrown 11 picks, equaling the combined total from Daniels and Caleb Williams.
Best odds: +2000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.76%
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How to bet on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
When betting on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different players; for example, if Jayden Daniels is at -400 and Caleb Williams is at +950, Daniels is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Daniels at -400 and he wins, you’ll get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the rookies perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember with odds movement in future markets it's all about performance and perception. If a rookie has a standout game, their odds will improve. Conversely, if they underperform or get injured, their odds will worsen.
Team success can also influence a player's odds; rookies on winning teams might see better odds. Public betting trends are important too - if a lot of people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
How to read NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds
Reading NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a player winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns.
For example, if Jayden Daniels has -400 odds and Caleb Williams has +950 odds, Daniels is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Daniels and he wins, you’d get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Meanwhile, a winning $100 bet on Williams would return $1,050 in total ($950 profit + $100 stake).
Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds over time
(Latest odds via bet365)
| Player | Opening odds (April 2) | Sept. 4 | Dec. 19 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | +275 | +120 | +30000 |
| Jayden Daniels | +900 | +450 | -2000 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | +600 | +600 | +40000 |
| Bo Nix | +3500 | +800 | +1000 |
| Drake Maye | +1100 | +1400 | +40000 |
| Malik Nabers | +750 | +1400 | +40000 |
| Xavier Worthy | +4000 | +1800 | OFF |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | +2200 | +3000 | +10000 |
| Brock Bowers | +2000 | +3500 | +1000 |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds history
| Season | Player | Team | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | C.J. Stroud | Texans | QB | +850 |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson | Jets | WR | +2000 |
| 2021 | Ja'Marr Chase | Bengals | WR | +1800 |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert | Chargers | QB | +3000 |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | Cardinals | QB | +150 |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley | Giants | RB | +155 |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara | Saints | RB | +5000 |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott | Cowboys | QB | +900 |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley | Rams | RB | +1350 |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr. | Giants | WR | +2500 |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position
| Position | OROY winners |
|---|---|
| Running back | 40 |
| Quarterback | 11 |
| Wide receiver | 11 |
| End | 4 |
| Tight end | 1 |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels is the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite, with his -1000 odds implying a 90.91% chance he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year be announced?
The 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.
Who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year last year?
Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award last year after throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns with just five interceptions.
Has a team ever had both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year?
With C.J. Stroud winning OROY and Will Anderson winning DROY for the Houston Texans last season, it marked the fourth time in league history that both winners were on the same team.
The previous three times were with the New York Jets in 2022 (Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner), New Orleans Saints in 2017 (Alvin Kamara, Marshon Lattimore), and the Detroit Lions in 1967 (Mel Farr, Lem Barney).
Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?
Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win NFL MVP. He won both Offensive Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957 for the Cleveland Browns after leading the league with 942 rushing yards.
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