NFL MVP Odds: Allen the Clear Favorite as Barkley Climbs, Jackson Falls in Week 13
After a two-week hiatus, Josh Allen reminded everyone why he was the NFL MVP odds favorite. And it doesn't look like he'll relinquish that anytime soon.
The Buffalo Bills star combined for three touchdowns on Sunday Night Football - including one that was both a passing and receiving TD to himself - to establish himself as the prohibitive -200 favorite across our best NFL betting sites.
He's pulling away from running back Saquon Barkley (+500), who scored the game-sealing touchdown for the Philadelphia Eagles to beat reigning MVP winner Lamar Jackson (+1300) and the Baltimore Ravens in a potential Super Bowl odds preview.
Here is a look at the latest NFL MVP odds and favorites as we look ahead to the NFL Week 14 odds.
NFL MVP odds
NFL MVP odds via our best NFL prop betting sites entering Week 14. See our NFL player prop odds tool for the latest odds on any player.
Josh Allen, QB, Bills (-200)
2024 stats: 2,691 passing yards, 20 TDs, 5 INTs, 74.5 QBR (334 rushing yards, 6 TDs)
Allen doesn't lead the league in passing yards or touchdowns or QBR - but he has more "wow" plays than anyone for the newly minted AFC favorites after adding another ridiculous one on Sunday Night Football.
His penchant for highlight-reel plays, paired with his new aversion to turnovers and Buffalo's own win streak, should be enough to catapult him to his first MVP trophy as long as he and the Bills don't blow it over the next five weeks.
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Saquon Barkley, RB, Eagles (+500)
2024 stats: 246 carries, 1,499 rushing yards, 11 TDs (29 receptions, 267 yards, 2 TDs)
Barkley didn't set records like he did last week, but he still scampered for 107 yards and the game-clinching score against the NFL's top-ranked run defense.
It's been over a decade since a running back won this award, but Barkley's addition to this prolific Eagles rushing attack has proven to be the difference for a team that fell apart down the stretch last year. If Philly steals the No. 1 seed away from the Detroit Lions, he might actually have a real case for this award.
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Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens (+1300)
2024 stats: 3,290 passing yards, 29 TDs, 3 INTs, 73.4 QBR (678 rushing yards, 3 TDs)
Jackson looked like the clear MVP favorite through the first two months, but he's struggled as of late amid a down stretch for Baltimore overall.
The reigning winner still ranks among the league leaders in every major passing metric, but he couldn't make enough plays Sunday in a critical loss to Philly. That will serve as a death sentence if Allen continues to play well and Barkley - whose late score put the nail in the Ravens' coffin - continues to pace the red-hot Eagles.
Jared Goff, QB, Lions (+1400)
2024 stats: 2,982 passing yards, 22 TDs, 9 INTs, 57.6 QBR (40 rushing yards)
Goff isn't putting up otherworldy numbers like he was earlier this season, and his five-INT performance looked like it might kill his MVP candidacy in Week 10.
But he hasn't thrown a pick since, averaging 300.7 yards per game with a 71.7% completion rate for the best team in the NFL. It might be a compelling case in a year without a clear favorite, but Allen has since taken that mantle and doesn't look to be handing over the crown anytime soon.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (+2800)
2024 stats: 2,979 passing yards, 19 TDs, 11 INTs, 64.6 QBR (231 rushing yards, TD)
It feels nearly impossible that the Chiefs are tied for the NFL's best record given that 10 of their 12 wins have come by one score - many in the final seconds.
That run extended on Black Friday after the Las Vegas Raiders bungled a late snap to miss a chance at a game-winning field goal. Does Mahomes get credit for willing his team to the AFC's best mark, even with his otherwise pedestrian stats? I would be shocked, hence these long odds, but never say never with the modern GOAT.
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Jared Goff, QB, Lions (+1400)
2024 stats: 2,982 passing yards, 22 TDs, 9 INTs, 57.6 QBR (40 rushing yards)
Goff isn't putting up otherworldy numbers like he was earlier this season, and his five-INT performance looked like it might kill his MVP candidacy in Week 10.
But he hasn't thrown a pick since, averaging 300.7 yards per game with a 71.7% completion rate for the best team in the NFL. It might be a compelling case in a year without a clear favorite, but Allen has since taken that mantle and doesn't look to be handing over the crown anytime soon.
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