Lions vs. Bears Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction
Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions look to complete the season sweep of Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears when they meet on Sunday at Soldier Field.
Williams threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns the first time these two teams met, while Goff threw for 221 and two scores. How will these performances impact our best Lions vs. Bears player prop picks for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET (FOX) game from Chicago?
Despite nearly blowing a 16-point lead in the first game and dealing with a slew of injuries, the Lions are favored by 6.5 points at the best NFL betting sites. How will the offense perform without David Montgomery and can the Bears take advantage of a depleted defense?
Lions vs. Bears NFL player prop picks: Sunday
Odds as of Saturday and subject to change.
- Jahmyr Gibbs touchdown prediction: 2+ touchdowns (+175 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caleb Williams Under 212.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tim Patrick Over 2.5 receptions (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Lions vs. Bears touchdown prediction
Jahmyr Gibbs 2+ touchdowns (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +175 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 36.36%
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There is no question who will get the goal line carries this week with Montgomery sidelined. Gibbs is coming off a two-touchdown performance against the Buffalo Bills, and he's now scored 14 touchdowns this season. He has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five.
The only time he failed to find the end zone recently was against the Bears.
But the Lions were just two-of-five in the red zone in that game as they abandoned the run and looked to throw. I believe they'll keep it simple this week as they look to notch their 13th win. After all, the Bears allow 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game, and they’ve given up five rushing touchdowns in their last two.
The price of this prop isn’t great, but BetMGM is offering the best one. The +175 odds presented by the sportsbook are significantly better than the worst price, which is +140 our other best sportsbooks.
Best Lions vs. Bears prop picks
Caleb Williams Under 212.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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The first time these two teams met, Williams threw for 256 yards. However, he had less than 40 passing yards at halftime and did almost all of his damage in the second half with his team trailing by multiple scores.
The Lions will be without Carlton Davis III in this game, but they were also without him in the first meeting. As long as the visitors can avoid in-game injuries, they should be able to keep Williams in check. After all, most of his success in the first meeting came after the Lions suffered injuries.
Williams has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in his last two games, despite playing the fourth-worst passing defense in football last week. 212.5 isn’t the highest number available right now for his yardage total, but bet365 offers the best price for the Under, so I’ll wager there.
Tim Patrick Over 2.5 receptions (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Tim Patrick has caught at least three passes in four of his last five games, and in the one game where failed to hit that number, he caught two balls for 48 yards.
Last week, Patrick was targeted a season-high eight times, and in the week prior, he caught six of his seven targets for two touchdowns.
The Bears only allow 19.1 completions per game, but they’re allowing 21.7 over their last three. Patrick will continue to do what he’s been doing for over a month with Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams drawing attention elsewhere.
Our best sports betting apps have this total set at 2.5. DraftKings has the price set at -110, compared to three of the five major sportsbooks (-125).
Lions vs. Bears game info
- When: Sunday, Dec. 21
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Soldier Field (Chicago)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 34 degrees, 5% chance of precipitation, wind 13 mph S
- Favorite: Lions -6.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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