Lamar Jackson TNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds
Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson literally couldn’t have been any better last week against the Denver Broncos, posting a perfect passer rating to become the favorite by the 2024 NFL MVP odds. It was Jackson's fourth perfect passer rating game, tying the NFL record.
As part of our NFL Week 10 predictions, our Lamar Jackson TNF player prop bets project him to pad his MVP case when Baltimore hosts the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday at M&T Bank Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime).
Read on to see why we’re backing the Over on two of Jackson’s passing props on the Thursday Night Football odds.
We're also expecting a big game from his counterpart with our Bengals vs. Ravens TNF prop bets and Joe Burrow TNF player prop bets.
And for a closer look at the game, check out our Bengals vs. Ravens prediction.
Lamar Jackson prop predictions for Thursday Night Football
- Lamar Jackson touchdown pick: Over 1.5 touchdown passes (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Over 227.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Under 9.5 rushing attempts (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
NFL odds as of Wednesday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
Lamar Jackson touchdown pick vs. Bengals
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 touchdown passes (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
After a slow start to the year, Jackson has thrown multiple touchdown passes in five of his last six outings — including 10 in his last three games. He’s also put up big passing touchdown numbers in his career versus Cincinnati, tossing four when these teams met last month and two-plus in six of eight meetings dating back to 2019.
The Bengals’ secondary has yielded just three passing touchdowns over its last four games, which is a big reason we’re able to get the Over 1.5 near even money. However, the opposing quarterbacks in those games included Daniel Jones, Deshaun Watson, and Gardner Minshew.
Facing Jackson will be a huge step up in class for Cincy’s defense, and I expect it to show. DraftKings and bet365 offered -115 odds on this Over, but FanDuel and Caesars’ -120 price are also solid options.
Rod Villagomez thinks one of Jackson's touchdown passes could go to Mark Andrews in his first touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football.
Brenden Schaeffer also believes there will be plenty of scoring in his Bengals vs. Ravens parlay picks.
Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.5%
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Lamar Jackson player props
NFL picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Lamar Jackson Over 227.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The desperate Bengals should give the Ravens all they can handle on Thursday. Baltimore typically leans on Jackson’s arm when games are tight. He's averaged nearly 38 pass attempts per game in Baltimore’s three losses, and he’s thrown for at least 247 yards in five of the Ravens’ six games this year that have been decided by a touchdown or less.
On Wednesday night, BetMGM was the clear choice of our best sports betting apps to bet the Over on Jackson’s passing yards. Their total of 227.5 was four yards lower than bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars and five yards lower than FanDuel.
Gary Pearson wrote about why he thinks Jackson's counterpart will be slinging it in his Bengals vs. Ravens prediction and Philip Wood shared that sentiment in his Bengals vs. Ravens player props.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.5%
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Lamar Jackson Under 9.5 rushing attempts (-130) ⭐⭐⭐
After running just three times for four yards last week against the Broncos, Jackson told reporters he didn’t feel a need to run since the passing game was working so well. However, it’s also possible Jackson’s more reluctant to run after missing multiple practices over the past two weeks due to back and knee issues.
Less rushing has been a trend for Jackson over the past month, who has been held to 46 rushing yards or less in three of his last four. Cincinnati has also done a solid job defending quarterback runs this year, allowing 4.6 yards per carry and limiting Eagles signal-caller Jalen Hurts to 37 yards two weeks ago.
You can find plus money (+106) on Jackson Under 8.5 rushing attempts at FanDuel, but I chose to pay a bit of juice for one extra carry at DraftKings.
Best odds: -130 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 56.5%
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Bengals vs. Ravens odds
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Bengals vs. Ravens
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 64 F, 0% chance of precipitation, 8 mph winds N
- Favorite: Ravens -5.5 (-110 via Caesars)
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