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Lamar Jackson Player Props vs. Bills: Divisional Round Prop Bet Odds & Predictions

Mike Spector

Last Updated: January 19, 2025 10:30 AM EST • 1 min 52 sec read.

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson warms up before an AFC wild-card game against the Pittsburgh Steelers as we look at our Lamar Jackson player prop picks.
Pictured: Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson warms up before an AFC wild-card game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Photo by Mitch Stringer/Imagn Images.

First-team All-Pro quarterback Lamar Jackson looks to prove why he is deserving of the NFL MVP when he leads his Baltimore Ravens into a road divisional round matchup against the Buffalo Bills.

The Ravens are 1.5-point road favorites at Highmark Stadium, where the Bills are 9-0 this year. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET, airing on CBS and Paramount+.

Our Jackson player prop picks analyze his performance in a 35-10 Week 4 win against Buffalo and explains what will be different this time around. The picks below are part of our divisional round predictions. 

Lamar Jackson player prop odds vs. Bills 

Lamar Jackson player prop predictions vs. Bills

Lamar Jackson Under 220.5 passing yards

Jackson has stayed under this projected total in four consecutive games, and totaled 156 passing yards on a modest 18 attempts in the Week 4 matchup against Buffalo.

Jackson has faced a Sean McDermott-coached defense four times in his career and never topped 162 yards in those games. Plus, the Ravens should have sky-high confidence in a running game that churned out 299 yards against Pittsburgh last week.

This line was as high as 226.5 earlier in the week, but we are still backing the Under given the frigid cold temperatures and threat of snow.

Lamar Jackson Over 54.5 rushing yards

Baltimore is the NFL’s top-ranked team in terms of Offensive Efficiency.

The wild-card game against Pittsburgh should indicate how Baltimore will use Jackson this postseason. His 15 carries last week were his second-most of the season, and he has exceeded this projected total in five of the last six.  In Jackson’s seven career postseason games, he has run for 54-plus yards six times.

Lamar Jackson regular season stats

  • Games: 17
  • Passing yards: 4,172
  • Rushing yards: 915
  • Touchdowns: Passing (41), Rushing (4)

Ravens vs. Bills predictions

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”