NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2025: O’Connell the Favorite, Way Ahead of Campbell at Season’s End
While losing to Dan Campbell and the Detroit Lions in the season finale certainly didn't help Kevin O'Connell's quest to win Coach of the Year, it didn't really hinder either, according to the NFL Coach of the Year odds.
O'Connell's odds decreased slightly but not enough to cause the Vikings' head coach any sleepless nights. We'll leave that up to the Los Angeles Rams.
O'Connell finished the regular season as the prohibitive favorite to win the award, with an implied win probability of 88% at DraftKings.
While Campbell is deserving of the honor, especially with the litany of injuries his team has suffered, he'll have to settle for the dubious bridesmaid tag if the votes pan out the way the odds suggest. That won't matter to him if his Super Bowl odds favorite Lions go all the way.
NFL Coach of the Year odds 2025
| Coach | Odds (DraftKings) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin O'Connell | -750 | 88.24% | $1.33 |
| Dan Campbell | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Sean Payton | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Dan Quinn | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Jim Harbaugh | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Andy Reid | +10000 | 0.99% | $1000 |
Some other newsworthy tidbits:
- O'Connell's odds lengthened from -1000 to -750 after the Vikings' Week 18 defeat in Detroit
- Campbell's odds shortened from +550 to +400 after clinching the NFC North over Minnesota
NFL Coach of the Year odds favorite
Kevin O'Connell Coach of the Year odds (-750)
O'Connell's Vikings may be the most underappreciated team in the NFL this season. They won nine of the last 10 to finish the season, losing in decisive fashion in Detroit to lose their grasp on the NFC North.
That loss didn't damage O'Connell's Coach of the Year odds, though, and he's the formidable favorite to win. At 14-3, the Vikings exceeded all expectations. O'Connell spearheaded one of the greatest revivals in the sport, propping Sam Darnold to unexpected heights.
Best odds: -750 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 88.24%
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Dan Campbell Coach of the Year odds (+400)
Campbell is unapologetically himself. He lives by the sword and dies by it while also admitting when he's wrong. And he got it wrong against the Buffalo Bills in the pivotal Week 15 clash. His infamous decision, I'm sure, sent many of our minds back to the NFC Championship Game when his decision-making was left wanting.
However, his team bounced back in a big way in the last three games, taking the NFC North and returning to their perch as Super Bowl odds favorites despite a rash of injuries to key players on both sides of the ball throughout the season. It probably won't be enough, though.
Best odds: +400 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 20%
NFL Coach of the Year opening odds
NFL Coach of the Year opening odds via DraftKings on June 11.
- Jim Harbaugh, Chargers: +600
- Matt LaFleur, Packers: +900
- Matt Eberflus, Bears: +1200
- Raheem Morris, Falcons: +1200
- DeMeco Ryans, Texans: +1200
- Shane Steichen, Colts: +1400
- Dave Canales, Panthers: +1800
- Dan Campbell, Lions: +2500
- Jonathan Gannon, Cardinals: +2500
NFL Coach of the Year odds history
| Year | Coach | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +3000 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | +1400 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | +2500 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +2000 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | +2800 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | +875 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | +5000 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | +2800 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera | Panthers | +4000 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians | Cardinals | OFF |
How to bet on NFL Coach of the Year
When betting on NFL Coach of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different coaches; for example, if Jim Harbaugh is at +500 and Matt Eberflus is at +800, Harbaugh is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh at +500 and he wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the coaches' teams perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember, with odds movement in future markets, it's pretty heavily impacted by wins and perception. If a coach overcomes adversity, their odds will improve. Conversely, their odds will worsen if they underperform or fall short of expectations.
Public betting trends are important, too - if many people are betting on one coach, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
How to read NFL Coach of the Year odds
Reading NFL Coach of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a coach winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on team performance, overcoming injuries, and betting patterns.
For example, if Jim Harbaugh has +500 odds and Matt Eberflus has +800 odds, Harbaugh is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
How NFL Coach of the Year voting works
A panel of sportswriters who cover the NFL vote on the individual awards, including NFL Coach of the Year. There are typically 50 votes available, with the coach who receives the largest share of first-place votes deemed the winner.
That winner is then unveiled during the NFL Honors awards ceremony, which is set to take place during Super Bowl week on Feb. 6 at 9 p.m. ET on FOX and NFL Network.
NFL Coach of the Year FAQs
Who is favored to win NFL Coach of the Year?
Kevin O'Connell is the favorite to win 2024 NFL Coach of the Year honors at the end of the regular season. His odds are trading at -750 through DraftKings, which implies a 88.24% win probability, according to our odds calculator.
Who was the NFL Coach of the Year last year?
Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski won the NFL Coach of the Year award last season.
Who votes for the NFL Coach of the Year?
The NFL Coach of the Year is voted on by the Associated Press and is awarded to the coach who is judged to "have had the most outstanding season."
Who won the NFL's first Coach of the Year Award?
Detroit Lions head coach George Wilson won the first Coach of the Year Award, handed out in 1957.
Who won the most Coach of the Year Awards?
Don Shula won Coach of the Year four times, three with the Baltimore Colts (1964, 1967, 1968) and one with the Miami Dolphins (1972).
How many coaches won Coach of the Year more than once?
Thirteen coaches won the award at least twice, with Shula (4), Bill Belichick (3), and Chuck Knox (3) the only bench bosses to win three or more.
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