NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2024-25: O'Connell Leapfrogs Campbell Entering Week 16
Dan Campbell's high-reward, sometimes higher-risk decision-making cost him and his Detroit Lions in Week 15.
While we'll never know whether the Lions would have completed the fourth-quarter comeback against the Buffalo Bills, his decision to prematurely take an onside kick scuppered any chance of that occurring.
With his blunder, which he immediately regretted, and the Lions' subsequent loss, they lost their status as Super Bowl odds favorites, and Campbell's NFL Coach of the Year odds took a hit.
Meanwhile, Kevin O'Connell is the new Coach of the Year odds favorite entering Week 16 after his Minnesota Vikings brushed past the Chicago Bears on MNF. Sean Payton (+350), Dan Quinn (+550), and Mike Tomlin (+1200) round out the five favorties at DraftKings.
Here's how the NFL Coach of the Year odds after Week 15 stand at our best NFL betting sites.
NFL Coach of the Year odds
| Coach | Odds (DraftKings) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin O'Connell | +110 | 47.62% | $11 |
| Dan Campbell | +250 | 28.57% | $25 |
| Sean Payton | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Dan Quinn | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Mike Tomlin | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Andy Reid | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Sean McDermott | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Jim Harbaugh | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
| Sean McVay | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Nick Sirianni | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
Some other newsworthy tidbits:
- Campbell's odds lengthened with his team's home loss to the Bills, and the fact that his team continues to deal with serious injuries likely has our best NFL betting sites lengthening his odds further in anticipation of the Lions losing more games
- Following another big Vikings win, O'Connell is the favorite, and he's doing it all with the once-forgotten Sam Darnold
- Sean Payton's Denver Broncos continue to tick along with rookie QB Bo Nix, and they surpassed the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West heading into Week 16
- Rounding out the top five is Mike Tomlin, whose Pittsburgh Steelers were smashed by the Philadelphia Eagles
NFL Coach of the Year favorite
Kevin O'Connell (+110)
O'Connell's Vikings may be the most underappreciated team in the NFL this season.
At 12-2, they own the same record as the Lions and Eagles for the best mark in the NFC, and their only losses came in back-to-back weeks against Detroit and the Los Angeles Rams. Those defeats came all the way back in October, as Minny has won seven in a row.
In Week 15, the Vikings continued their winning ways by destroying the Bears at home, serving as really the only team on Monday night that felt like playing football.
O'Connell has his team clicking at the right time, and if it can steal the division from the Lions, this is his award to lose.
Best odds: +120 via bet365 | Implied probability: 45.45%
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My Coach of the Year candidate to watch
Dan Campbell (+250)
Campbell is unapologetically himself, and you have to love that about him. He lives by the sword and dies by it while also admitting when he's wrong.
And he got it wrong against the Bills in the pivotal Week 15 clash. His infamous decision, I'm sure, sent many of our minds back to the NFC Championship Game when his decision-making was left wanting.
However, he is one week removed from making a brazen fourth-down call against the Green Bay Packers, which paid off.
Campbell has led his team to a nearly flawless record while playing in one of the league's toughest divisions, and he's doing it while putting immense trust in his players to execute. He's also dealing with a rash of injuries, the latest of which resulted in David Montgomery being ruled out for the rest of the season.
His odds decreased from lengthened from to +340 after Week 15, which means now is the time to buy if you believe in him and his style.
Best odds: +340 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 22.73%
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NFL Coach of the Year odds over time
Odds via DraftKings
| Coach | June 11 | Aug. 22 | Dec. 3 | Dec. 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Harbaugh | +600 | +800 | +600 | +1800 |
| Matt Eberflus | +1200 | +1000 | OFF (Fired) | OFF (Fired) |
| DeMeco Ryans | +1200 | +1200 | +25000 | +30000 |
| Matt LaFleur | +900 | +1000 | +1800 | +4000 |
| Raheem Morris | +1200 | +1200 | +20000 | +100000 |
| Jonathan Gannon | +2500 | +1400 | +2500 | +5000 |
| Dan Campbell | +2500 | +2500 | +120 | +250 |
| Shane Steichen | +1400 | +1400 | +20000 | +30000 |
| Dave Canales | +1800 | +1800 | +100000 | +100000 |
Past NFL Coach of the Year winners
| Year | Coach | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +3000 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | +1400 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | +2500 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +2000 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | +2800 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | +875 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | +5000 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | +2800 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera | Panthers | +4000 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians | Cardinals | N/A |
How to bet on NFL Coach of the Year
When betting on NFL Coach of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different coaches; for example, if Jim Harbaugh is at +500 and Matt Eberflus is at +800, Harbaugh is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh at +500 and he wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the coaches' teams perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember, with odds movement in future markets, it's pretty heavily impacted by wins and perception. If a coach overcomes adversity, their odds will improve. Conversely, their odds will worsen if they underperform or fall short of expectations.
Public betting trends are important, too - if many people are betting on one coach, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
How to read NFL Coach of the Year odds
Reading NFL Coach of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a coach winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on team performance, overcoming injuries, and betting patterns.
For example, if Jim Harbaugh has +500 odds and Matt Eberflus has +800 odds, Harbaugh is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Coach of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year?
Kevin O'Connell is the favorite to win 2024 NFL Coach of the Year honors. His odds are trading at +110 through DraftKings, which implies a 47.62% win probability, according to our odds calculator.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in February 2025.
Who was the NFL Coach of the Year last year?
Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski won the NFL Coach of the Year award last season.
Who votes for the NFL Coach of the Year?
The NFL Coach of the Year is voted on by the Associated Press and is awarded to the coach who is judged to "have had the most outstanding season."
Who won the NFL's first Coach of the Year Award?
Detroit Lions head coach George Wilson won the first Coach of the Year Award, handed out in 1957.
Who won the most Coach of the Year Awards?
Don Shula won Coach of the Year four times, three with the Baltimore Colts (1964, 1967, 1968) and one with the Miami Dolphins (1972).
How many coaches won Coach of the Year more than once?
Thirteen coaches won the award at least twice, with Shula (4), Bill Belichick (3), and Chuck Knox (3) the only bench bosses to win three or more.
When was the last back-to-back Coach of the Year winner?
Joe Gibbs was the last back-to-back Coach of the Year winner. He won the award in 1982 and 1983 as Washington's head coach.
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