Eagles Super Bowl Odds & Why They'll Win
Two years after having their hearts broken by Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl, the Philadelphia Eagles are knocking on the door of the big game once again.
Our Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl odds analysis breaks down why we believe Nick Sirianni's squad can lift the Lombardi Trophy for the first time since 2018. Meanwhile, our C Jackson Cowart makes a case with his Commanders Super Bowl odds as the NFC East foes get ready to go to battle in the NFC Championship.
Our best NFL betting sites list Philadelphia as a 6-point favorite over Washington ahead of Sunday's 3 p.m. ET kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field.
Eagles Super Bowl odds
Best odds: +185 via bet365 | Implied probability: 35.09%
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Philadelphia is a near-touchdown favorite over its opponent in the NFC Championship, whereas Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite over Buffalo in the AFC Championship. As such, the Eagles are Super Bowl odds favorites heading into the penultimate round of NFL playoff action.
Most of our best sports betting sites have Philadelphia posted as +175 or +180 to win Super Bowl LIX. However, bet365 offers the best price on the market at +185. A $10 winning wager at this price would return $18.50 in profits.
Why the Eagles will win the Super Bowl
Hurts and his weapons
It's not a stretch by any imagination to suggest that Jalen Hurts could be the "worst" quarterback of the four remaining starters. Of course, this speaks more to the talent of the other three signal-callers, as opposed to Hurts' play.
The Alabama and Oklahoma product has already shown numerous times in his NFL career that he's capable of leading a team deep into the postseason. Hurts now has more weapons than ever before, which is exactly why the aforementioned argument doesn't matter in the slightest.
Howie Roseman made perhaps the single-most important offseason acquisition in the league when he signed NFL MVP odds candidate Saquon Barkley. Barkley has helped take some of the onus away from Hurts and the passing game, as he's rushed for over 2,300 yards and 15 touchdowns so far this season.
Factor in Philadelphia's incredible offensive line, a consistent tight end, and two wide receivers who would be the No. 1 option on a majority of NFL teams, and it's hard to find a weakness in the Eagles' offense.
Kellen Moore's unit averaged 27 points per game this year, good for seventh in the league. They've also crossed the 20-point threshold in 15 consecutive contests dating back to Sept. 29, which makes it incredibly tough to keep pace with the Eagles.
Defensive dominance
Philadelphia's offensive consistency is impressive, but Vic Fangio's defense sets the tone on this team.
The Eagles' defense has improved in all three phases since last season, as evidenced by the fact they rank No. 1 in myriad statistical categories. Perhaps the most important is points per game, though, where they top the league charts, allowing just 17.6 points per game.
Philadelphia's defense is allowing just -0.1 EPA/play. This is second only to Denver (-0.12) and easily the best of any team remaining in the playoffs. Buffalo (-0.01), Washington (0.01), and Kansas City (0.01) rank 13th, 16th, and 17th respectively in that category.
All in all, the main reason the Eagles can win the Super Bowl is because they are the most balanced team remaining. They have the fewest weaknesses and the easiest projected path to the big game, according to our Commanders vs. Eagles early picks and odds.
Eagles key contributors
- Jalen Hurts, QB: Hurts hasn't lit up the stat sheet this season, but he hasn't had to, either. He's taken care of the football with zero interceptions in his last eight games and allowed the skill players around him to carry the offense to victory.
- Saquon Barkley, RB: Barkley has been the best non-quarterback in the NFL this season without a shadow of a doubt. He leads the league with 2,638 yards from scrimmage on 435 touches, meaning he averages more than six yards per involvement. Barkley's putting up video game statistics against the best football players on the planet, and he's a huge reason for Philadelphia's offensive success.
- Zack Baun, LB: Baun has been a revelation at the heart of Philadelphia's defense this season. The fifth-year pro's stat line perfectly encapsulates his importance and versatility: 151 total tackles, 3.5 sacks, five forced fumbles, four pass deflections, and one interception.
- Quinyon Mitchell, CB: There were serious concerns about the Eagles' secondary coming into the season, but the rookie corner has eased those worries with his All-Pro-level play. Mitchell has been the definition of a lockdown corner opposite Darius Slay with an 88.7 passer rating allowed, a -3.4% catch-rate allowed over expected, and 12 pass deflections.
How the Eagles got here
- Record: 14-3
- Points per game: 27.1 (T-7th)
- Points against per game: 17.8 (2nd)
- Playoff wins: 22-10 (vs. Packers), 28-22 (vs. Rams)
Top to bottom, Philadelphia has the most complete roster of any team remaining, if not among all 32 NFL franchises. Nick Sirianni's squad is playing fantastic fundamental football and there's no two ways about it. If they keep leaning on their superstars and don't stray from that strategy, the sky is the limit for the Eagles.
Eagles odds vs. Commanders
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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