Dolphins vs. Packers Parlay Picks & Predictions: Thursday Night Football SGP Odds for Thanksgiving
As the two sides gear up for prime time on Thanksgiving night, the Packers hold something the Dolphins are still chasing: a victory over a team with a winning record. Green Bay enters sitting seventh in the Super Bowl odds while getting highly favorable NFL playoff odds.
Our Dolphins vs. Packers TNF parlay based on the best Thursday Night Football odds predicts a strong performance from the home team against the weaker Dolphins for one of your NFL Thanksgiving picks.
The Packers (-3.5) host the Dolphins at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI on Thursday at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC).
Dolphins vs. Packers parlay predictions: Thursday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Packers -3.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Under 47.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jayden Reed Over 50.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +575 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 14.81%
Terms and conditions apply.
SGP predictions for Dolphins vs. Packers
Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Packers -3.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though the Dolphins are riding into Thanksgiving on a three-game winning streak, their opponents from those games registered a combined record of 10-24, and none boast a winning record.
- The Packers have proven themselves while compiling an 8-3 record against the league’s eight-ranked strength of schedule
- The Dolphins are below .500 despite facing the NFL’s 32nd-ranked strength of schedule, and they haven’t beaten a winning team
- Green Bay’s 4-1 home record has come against teams with a combined record of 42-26
FPI shows the Packers fourth with an expected points margin of plus-5.7 against an average opponent on a neutral field. Now Green Bay benefits from facing Miami at home, as the Dolphins are right in the middle of the league in FPI.
Under 47.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though we opened the week wondering if the market was overreacting to weather concerns as this total was bet down, it's now easier to imagine a lower-scoring affair on Thanksgiving night. That falls in line with season-long trends for both teams.
- The Dolphins are 1-4 to the Over this season on the road, while the Packers are 2-3-1 to the Over at home
- The Dolphins' defense has given up only 19.0 points per game on the road, while the Packers allow a mere 18.3 at home
- For both squads, seven of the last 11 games have finished below 47.5 points
This number sits at 47.5 across all of our best NFL prop betting sites, though DraftKings and FanDuel offer slightly less value on the Under with -112 odds instead of the -110 elsewhere.
Rod Villagomez outlines why the Dolphins' quarterback could contribute to the Under hitting in his Tua Tagovailoa TNF player prop bets.
Jayden Reed Over 50.5 receiving yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jayden Reed has hit 50-plus receiving yards in six of his 11 games this season, but he’s looking to bounce back after missing the mark the past couple of weeks.
Our Phil Wood thinks Reed's quarterback will help plenty in his Dolphins vs. Packers TNF player prop bets, as does Gabe Henderson in his Jordan Love TNF player prop bets.
Meanwhile, our Mike Spector is eyeing another Packers pass-catcher in his Dolphins vs. Packers prediction.
- Those recent quiet outputs for Reed came with Love only attempting 40 total passes across two games
- Love’s passing attempts line is being set at 31.5 at most of our best NFL parlay betting sites, which suggests more opportunities lie ahead for Green Bay receivers
- With Romeo Doubs ruled out, we like the Green Bay passing game to consolidate around Reed more than it has in recent weeks
FanDuel offers an edge on Reed’s line at 48.5 yards instead of 50.5 yards, but that book's overall parlay odds of +517 aren’t nearly as attractive as other spots. DraftKings leads the way at +575, so we’ll play our parlay there.
A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $57.50 for one of your NFL Week 13 predictions.
Dolphins vs. Packers odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Dolphins vs. Packers
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
- How to watch: NBC
- Weather: 26 degrees, 42% chance of precipitation, wind 14 mph WNW
- Favorite: Packers -3.5 (-102 via FanDuel)
NFL betting odds pages
Here are our best NFL betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
