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Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens as we look at the NFL Conference Championship betting trends.
Pictured: Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens. Photo by Gregory Fisher via Imagn Images.

Three more games. That's all that remains of the NFL betting season. Fortunately, for our purposes, they're the biggest three games of the season. To help prepare, we're rounding up the top NFL betting trends for the AFC and NFC Championships.

These betting trends and notes can help you get the most out of your NFL picks this weekend as the Washington Commanders play the Philadelphia Eagles, and the Buffalo Bills visit the Kansas City Chiefs hoping to advance to the 2025 Super Bowl at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans on Sunday, Feb. 9.

Betting trends from BetMGM and reported by John Ewing unless noted otherwise.

NFL betting trends: NFC Championship

Game pick notes

  • Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are 4-0 straight up, and 3-1 against the spread, at home in the playoffs
  • Jayden Daniels is the sixth rookie quarterback to make a conference championship game; all others combined to go 0-5 straight up
  • Daniels has been an underdog in eight games, winning five of them; Washington is 5-2-1 ATS in those games

Player prop notes

  • Eagles running back Saquon Barkley has had at least one rush of 21 or more yards in 12 of 18 games this season; 99% of the money is on Over 20.5 yards for his longest rush on Sunday
  • The Over on Eagles receiver A.J. Brown's receiving yards line of 55.5 yards is the most-bet player prop this weekend
  • Jayden Daniels is the most-bet QB to throw an interception on Sunday with 94% of the money backing Daniels Over 0.5 interceptions
  • Austin Ekeler Over 21.5 receiving yards is the most-bet player prop by tickets, followed by Dallas Goeder Over 39.5 receiving yards and Saquon Barkley Over 21.5 yards longest rush

Follow the latest betting action and line movement via our Commanders vs. Eagles matchup page.

Commanders vs. Eagles expert picks & predictions

NFC Championship odds

NFL betting trends: AFC Championship

Game pick notes

  • The Under is 42-27-1 (61%) in Chiefs home games during Patrick Mahomes' career
  • This is the fourth playoff game in which Mahomes has been a favorite of 3 or fewer points; Kansas City won each of the other three games
  • Mahomes is 3-0 straight up and ATS against Josh Allen in the postseason
  • At DraftKings, 63% of the bets and 67% of the money is on the Bills +1.5
  • Kansas City moved from -115 to -130 to beat the Bills despite only 32% of the money backing the Chiefs
  • Underdogs are 10-3 ATS in playoff games officiated by Clete Blakeman

Player prop notes

  • Allen (+100) is the most-bet player to score an anytime touchdown this weekend
    • Travis Kelce (+130), Xavier Worthy (+200), and James Cook (+140) are next

Follow the latest betting action and line movement via our Bills vs. Chiefs matchup page.

AFC Championship odds

NFL Conference Championship betting notes

  • Underdogs are 7-3 ATS during the 2025 NFL playoffs

Here are the most popular game picks in terms of betting tickets:

  1. Commanders moneyline (+240)
  2. Bills moneyline (+110)
  3. Commanders spread (+6)
  4. Bills spread (+2)
  5. Commanders vs. Eagles Over 47.5
  6. Bills vs. Chiefs Over 47.5

Here are the most popular player props by tickets:

  1. Curtis Samuel Over 1.5 receptions
  2. Dallas Goedert Over 39.5 receiving yards
  3. Noah Gray Over 13.5 receiving yards
  4. Dalton Kincaid Over 31.5 receiving yards
  5. Amari Cooper Over 1.5 receptions

NFL Conference Championship expert picks

Super Bowl betting trends

  • The Commanders opened at +15000 to win the Super Bowl, becoming the fourth team to open with Super Bowl odds at least that long to make the Conference Championship; the 1999 St. Louis Rams were the only such team to win the Big Game

NFL betting odds pages

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

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