Caleb Williams NFL Player Prop Predictions for Monday Night Football: Week 15 vs. Vikings
Caleb Williams may not have lived up to preseason expectations as the favorite by the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, but he’s still shown glimpses of why the Chicago Bears took him first overall in the 2024 draft.
Can Chicago’s prized rookie shake off an ugly performance last week and help the Bears snap a seven-game losing streak tonight? Our Caleb Williams player prop predictions break down the Monday Night Football odds for the Bears’ visit to U.S. Bank Stadium to face the Minnesota Vikings at 8 p.m. on ESPN.
Caleb Williams MNF player prop picks
NFL odds as of Sunday. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
- Caleb Williams prop pick: Over 217.5 Passing Yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caleb Williams prop pick: Over 20.5 Completions (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caleb Williams prop pick: Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (+182 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
Caleb Williams player prop odds
Live odds from our best NFL prop betting sites.
Caleb Williams prop predictions vs. Vikings
NFL picks made Sunday. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Caleb Williams Over 217.5 Passing Yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Williams threw for just 134 yards last week in San Francisco, but I’m giving him and the Bears a pass for mailing one in after enduring a series of heartbreaking losses and a coaching change.
In his other three games since Chicago replaced former offensive coordinator Shane Waldron with Thomas Brown in early November, Williams has thrown for 256, 340, and 231 yards - and his best of those efforts came against these very Vikings.
It was hardly the first time Minnesota’s secondary has allowed big numbers this season. In fact, Minny has yielded at least 250 passing yards in each of its last four games. One of the Vikes’ top cornerbacks, Stephon Gilmore, is also listed as questionable to suit up.
In a bounce-back spot for Williams and the Bears, the 215.5 total at BetMGM looks far too low. By comparison, FanDuel had this number at 223.5 as of Sunday night.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Caleb Williams Over 20.5 Completions (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
When Williams has actually had time to throw, he’s shown decent accuracy for a rookie quarterback, ranking 18th among NFL passers in completion percentage.
After getting sacked 12 times over the past two weeks and facing a Minnesota pass rush that has recorded the fourth-most sacks in the league, expect Williams to try to get rid of the ball quicker with short passes and checkdowns.
Again, Minnesota’s secondary has not been a shutdown unit of late, allowing an average of nearly 29 completions per game over its last three. On the year, Vikings’ opponents have completed at least 22 passes in 10 of 13 contests.
DraftKings priced the Over 20.5 in the -125 range, but you should also be able to find Over 21.5 at plus-money if you shop around our best NFL betting sites.
Best odds: -125 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 55.56%
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Caleb Williams Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (+182) ⭐⭐
Touchdown passes have come in bunches this year for Williams, who has racked up seven in his last three games after going four games without one. On the season, he’s thrown for two-plus touchdowns in six of Chicago’s 13 games.
One of those multiple-touchdown performances came a few weeks ago vs. Minnesota - which has also allowed Jordan Love, Aaron Rodgers, Jared Goff, and Matthew Stafford to throw for multiple TDs this season.
FanDuel stood out for offering the best price in this market, paying nearly 2:1 odds on Williams to have a repeat performance. By comparison, the rest of our best sportsbooks have this prop listed between +155 and +165.
Best odds: +182 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 35.46%
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