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Broncos vs. Bills Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction: NFL Wild Card Weekend

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: January 12, 2025 11:58 AM EST • 3 min 27 sec read.

Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton following a reception against the Kansas City Chiefs, and we offer our best Broncos vs. Bills player prop picks for Wild Card Weekend.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton following a reception against the Kansas City Chiefs. Photo by Ron Chenoy via Imagn Images.

The Buffalo Bills host the Denver Broncos as -8.5 favorites in what profiles as one of the most lopsided games of Wild Card Weekend. But we can still find value on player props for the underdogs.

Can Bo Nix and the Broncos march into Highmark Stadium before pulling off the impossible and taking down the Bills at 1 p.m. ET (CBS) on Sunday?

Our best sports betting sites certainly aren't giving them much of a chance. Thankfully, we're more concerned with certain players performing in this matchup for our Broncos vs. Bills player prop picks.

Broncos vs. Bills NFL player prop picks: Sunday

Odds as of Friday and subject to change.

  • Courtland Sutton touchdown prediction: Anytime TD (+160 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
  • James Cook Over 55.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Audric Estime Over 20.5 rushing yards (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Broncos vs. Bills touchdown prediction

Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +160 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 38.46%

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One of the main reasons Nix was so successful as a rookie this season is Sutton being an absolute beast. He produced a season that reminded fans of his 2019 campaign, before injuries and poor quarterback play robbed him of four potentially quality years.

However, with Nix under center, Sutton topped 1,000 receiving yards for the second time in his career. He finished as the WR13 in half-PPR fantasy football formats thanks to that yardage total and - more importantly for this pick - eight touchdowns.

Sutton scored in three of his last four games, and he's getting a solid 0.36 TD projection for Sunday afternoon's affair. Though it doesn't appear we're getting a huge edge on this price through that projection, it's important to remember there are some elements of playoff football that I don't believe can be quantified.

In a game like this, I expect a rookie quarterback to throw to his alpha receiver more than these numbers suggest, and Sutton is projected for 5.49 catches. Increasing that number would theoretically make a touchdown more probable, which is why there's value to be found on a Sutton anytime TD.

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Best Broncos vs. Bills prop picks

James Cook Over 55.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

I find it pretty funny when people try to boost Josh Allen's NFL MVP odds campaign by claiming he was given the least to work with offensively among the contenders. Those people fail to mention he benefits from one of the best offensive lines in football, and an elite running back to take pressure off him.

Cook is underrated really just because everyone is too busy rating Allen. Cook finished tied for the seventh-most rushing yards after contact among starting running backs, just behind Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson.

Additionally, despite finishing 20th in rushing attempts, he was 16th in rushing yards and tied for first with 16 rushing touchdowns. The former is why I'm particularly interested in Cook's Over rushing yards for this game.

Cook didn't receive a ton of rushing volume throughout the season, finishing with just 56 attempts across his last five games. If he averaged those 11 carries across the entire season, the tailback would be in line with backs who missed time due to injury.

That means Cook should be fresh for this game. And if the Bills go up early as expected, they'll likely lean on their talented running back to slow down the game and grind out the clock.

We're expecting a close Bills win in our NFL playoff bracket predictions, so Cook will be relied upon heavily if that's the case.

Audric Estime Over 20.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Editor's note: Estime is inactive for Sunday's game.

Broncos vs. Bills expert picks

Broncos vs. Bills game info

  • When: Sunday, Jan. 12
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, N.Y.)
  • How to watch: CBS/Paramount+
  • Weather: 30 degrees, 65% chance of precipitation, wind 8-mph WSW
  • Favorite: Bills -8.5 (-110 via Caesars)

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.