Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 16: Sunday's Best TD Odds & Picks
Week 16 games are spread out across four days, but that doesn't mean Sunday is lacking excitement - or, more importantly, betting value. In this case, we're hunting for the best anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
I was able to start Week 16 with a bang by hitting on a Gus Edwards anytime touchdown, but don't worry, we have plenty of picks still to come.
We're featuring a quartet of star receivers this week, somehow getting plus-money odds on a group you could argue all belong in the top-10 wideouts conversation. We'll gladly accept those odds from our best sports betting sites.
As usual, we have two touchdown scorer predictions from the 1 p.m. ET window, one from the afternoon docket, and one from Sunday Night Football, all part of our NFL Week 16 predictions.
Anytime touchdown scorer picks Week 16
Our NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the latest odds among the legal sportsbooks in your region on each of these picks.
Lions vs. Bears anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 46.51%
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It's safe to say St. Brown returned to form last week after a trio of relatively slow games. If you read last week's article, you would have seen us predict as much.
St. Brown drew 18 targets in the loss, turning them into 14 catches for 193 yards and a score. He's projected to have another big game Sunday against the Chicago Bears.
Though the Lions lost, it wasn't due to a lack of scoring, and with running back David Montgomery sidelined, Detroit will need to lean on its superstar receiver once again.
St. Brown is projected for 0.55 touchdowns in Week 16, the fourth-highest total among receivers. Additionally, even after last week's explosion, we're getting only slightly worse odds than we bet last week when St. Brown was trading at +123 to score.
At the height of his scoring streak, St. Brown was regularly listed at minus money, so let's take advantage of these generous prices while they last.
Rams vs. Jets anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Davante Adams, Jets, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +130 via bet365 | Implied probability: 43.48%
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Adams is averaging just over 10 targets per game since joining his old buddy, Aaron Rodgers, in New York. He's scored in three straight games and has the third-highest receiving TD projection in Week 16. And yet, we're getting tasty +130 odds on him to score again at bet365.
The talented wideout gets a good matchup this week against a Los Angeles Rams team that had allowed touchdowns to wide receivers in seven straight games before last week's bizarre Thursday night affair. Overall, the Rams have allowed TDs to wide receivers in all but three games this year.
The implied probability associated with these odds is just 43.48%, and Adams' TD projection suggests this is much better than even a coin flip.
Vikings vs. Seahawks anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Justin Jefferson, Vikings, WR ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +135 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 42.55%
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It wasn't quite a vintage performance for Jefferson against the Bears, as he had an uncharacteristic drop and turned 14 targets into just seven catches for 73 yards. However, he did find the end zone for the eighth time this season.
Jefferson's TD projection on Sunday is just slightly below what I'd usually like to play at just 0.45. Therefore, based on these odds, the edge is small, and that's why this is only a three-star bet.
However, when targeting a specific slate of games, you can never go wrong betting on the most talented player at plus-money odds.
The Seattle Seahawks' secondary was cooked in Week 15 by the Green Bay Packers in a very limited number of pass attempts by Jordan Love. Christian Watson found separation over the top, and if he can manage that, Jefferson should have a field day on Sunday.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday Night Football
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Mike Evans, Buccaneers, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +105 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 48.78%
Speaking of vintage, Evans just ages like a fine wine. Sure, he missed some time with a hamstring injury earlier this season, but he's very much back on pace for yet another 1,000-yard season after his nine-catch, 159-yard, two-touchdown explosion in Week 15.
Now, Evans and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers head indoors to take on the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. This was the site of the Monday Night Football affair two weeks ago, when Ja'Marr Chase exploded for 177 yards and a score against this Cowboys team.
Now, Evans isn't quite on Chase's level (very few are), but he still serves as one of the most dangerous red-zone threats in the NFL, and he showed last week that he can get loose for a long one still.
Evans' TD projection is an absurd 0.68 this week, behind only Chase's 0.73. Therefore, even at these relatively short odds, we're still getting a massive edge.
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