Time for VCU to Start Playing Up to Potential vs. Dayton

Charles Stark

Friday, January 12, 2018 3:34 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 12, 2018 3:34 PM UTC

Virginia Commonwealth will see a familiar face when plays at Dayton on Friday night, and the visitors might be the team with the best betting value in these NCAAB picks.

Friday College Basketball: VCU vs. Dayton

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Free NCAAB Pick: VCU +130 (ML)Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

This should be a very interesting matchup as Dayton Head Coach Anthony Grant facing his former team. Dayton opened as a very small -1.5-point favorite on the NCAAB odds board, but for my NCAAB pick I will take Virginia Commonwealth in a straight-up victory. VCU has not played up to their potential this season but they have won six of their last seven games, and I like how they match up with Dayton. VCU is shooting a respectable 45.6 percent from the floor this season and ranks among the best in the nation in field goals made per game. What has been shocking, though, is the fact they have played little defense; they are allowing opponents to shoot 44.4 percent from the floor and 33.6 percent from distance. These numbers are not horrible, however, and are actually a little bit better than Dayton’s, and that could be the difference tonight. Offensively, Dayton has been good overall shooting 47 percent, but they are not a very good team from distance, hitting just 33 percent from beyond the arc. Ultimately I like VCU, which has had the tougher schedule, to win this game outright.

Friday College Basketball: Marquette vs. Butler

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Free NCAAB Pick: Marquette +4Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

Butler was made a -4 favorite on the NCAAB odds board, but I’m going to back Marquette with my NCAAB pick. Marquette is averaging 83.9 points per game and is shooting at a 47-percent clip. This is what we can expect to see from a Marquette team that really likes to get up and down the floor, averaging 61.1 attempts per game and knocking down 28.8 of those, good for 36th in the country. On the other side of the ball they have been less than stellar, ranking outside the top half of all NCAA teams in most defensive statistics. However, they allow opponents to shoot just 33 percent from distance, which will be crucial against a Butler team that can score from all over. Butler has not been very good on the defensive end either, ranking outside the top 200 NCAA teams in opponent shooting efficiency. Ultimately I think there is value in grabbing the points here because both teams like to get up-tempo, and Marquette does it just about as well as anybody. Look for this game to go down to the wire.

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