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Michigan vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds Tonight

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: December 18, 2024 3:37 PM EST • 2 min 39 sec read.

Oklahoma Sooners guard Jeremiah Fears reacts after scoring during the second half against the Arizona Wildcats as we look at our Michigan vs. Oklahoma prediction.
Oklahoma Sooners guard Jeremiah Fears reacts after scoring during the second half against the Arizona Wildcats. Photo by Kevin Jairaj/Imagn Images.

The No. 14 Oklahoma Sooners (10-0) will put their flawless record on the line while clashing with the also surging Michigan Wolverines (8-2) at 9 p.m. ET Wednesday from Spectrum Center on ESPN. The Wolverines are a mid-tier contender in the Final Four odds.

Oklahoma is still a 3.5-point underdog, even with the perfect record. That's largely due to what's seen as a softer schedule so far. Meanwhile, Michigan is coming off a tight 89-87 road defeat to Arkansas.

Our Michigan vs. Oklahoma prediction tees up tonight's key matchup.

Tonight's best Michigan vs. Oklahoma picks

College basketball picks based on the odds from our best March Madness betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: Oklahoma +3.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Michigan ⭐⭐⭐
  • My best pick: Jeremiah Fears Over 3.5 assists (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Michigan vs. Oklahoma ATS prediction

Oklahoma to cover the spread: +3.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Now that the spread has moved from 2.5 to more than a full possession, I’m interested in taking the points with the Sooners. They may simply be the better team.

Oklahoma’s schedule hasn’t been the most difficult, but this squad has been passing every challenge thus far. The Sooners dismantled the Oklahoma State Cowboys (80-65) last time, and they also defeated Arizona and Louisville earlier this year.

OU is excellent at forcing turnovers, with the team ranking 19th in defensive turnover rate (22.4%) and fifth in steal rate (14.8%). Meanwhile, Michigan is 335th with an offensive turnover rate of 21.4%.

Oklahoma can dictate the style of play in this matchup, so I’d take the points at +3.5 or better. EvanMiya’s model projects a 2.4-point margin in favor of Michigan.

Michigan vs. Oklahoma best pick

Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Jeremiah Fears Over 3.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

OU freshman guard Jeremiah Fears has been making an immediate impact during what might be his only season at the collegiate level before jumping to the NBA. Fears is 50th in the nation in assist rate (32.9%) while averaging 4.7 dimes per contest.

He's recorded at least four dimes in seven of his 10 games this season. Fears averaged 24.3 minutes per contest in the three games when he didn’t clear this mark compared to his season average of 28.3 minutes.

The standout registered 33 minutes against Oklahoma State. I like his chances of recording four assists if he’s on the floor that much against Michigan, especially at this -105 price from BetMGM.

Michigan vs. Oklahoma odds movement

The spread hasn't moved much since sitting at -3.5 in favor of Michigan. But the game total fell from 150 to 148.5 before rebounding a little to 149.0.

Live Michigan vs. Oklahoma odds

See all of this week's college basketball odds and NCAAB scores.

Michigan vs. Oklahoma opening odds

  • Spread: Michigan -2.5 (-105) | Oklahoma +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: Over 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Michigan -143 | Oklahoma +120

Michigan vs. Oklahoma injuries

Michigan vs. Oklahoma game info

  • When: Wednesday, Dec. 18
  • Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, NC)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Favorite: Michigan -3.5 (-110)

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.