Best Timberwolves vs. Rockets Odds, NBA Player Props & Score Predictions Tonight: Feb. 21
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets meet again Friday night, but this time the setting shifts to Toyota Center in Houston, where tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Minnesota claimed a 13-point victory in their last matchup, but the Rockets will look to flip the script on their home court.
Our Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction and player props back Houston to cover in what should be a competitive battle between two Western Conference contenders. We’re also fading one of Minnesota’s big men while backing two Rockets starters to exceed their scoring totals in a game with NBA championship odds implications.
💰 Best Timberwolves vs. Rockets predictions & NBA player props tonight: Feb. 21
Here are my best Timberwolves vs. Rockets predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with a guide for how to bet on the NBA.
- Game pick: Rockets to cover -3 (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Naz Reid player prop pick: Under 19.5 points (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Alperen Sengun player prop pick: Over 18.5 points (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jabari Smith player prop pick: Over 9.5 points (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
📊 Timberwolves vs. Rockets pick & odds: Who will win tonight's NBA matchup?
As of Friday afternoon, the Rockets are favored by 3 or 3.5 points to beat the Timberwolves in tonight's NBA matchup at 9:30 p.m. from Toyota Center in Houston.
I'm predicting the Rockets will beat the Timberwolves and cover the spread (-3).
🔢 Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds & betting lines
Here are the latest Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.
🎯 Timberwolves vs. Rockets score prediction: Rockets 115, Timberwolves 110
Let's first look at the total for this game to get a general idea of how many points we can expect. It sits at 220 now after opening around 217, and into the afternoon it continues to move to the Over. Let's get ahead of that movement and land on a total of 225.
Then we have to determine the margin of victory for the winning team. We're taking the Rockets to cover at home, and the spread is -3 or -3.5.
I'm going to land on the Rockets as 5-point winners, and I therefore predict the Rockets will beat the Timberwolves by a final score of 115-110.
Best bet: Rockets -3 (-115 via bet365)
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💰 Best Timberwolves vs. Rockets player prop bet odds & expert picks: Feb. 21
Here are my best Timberwolves vs. Rockets player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🏀 Best Naz Reid prop pick: Under 19.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -125 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8)
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This one is a slam dunk, and I expect few of those from Naz Reid on Friday night.
Reid has done much more scoring since being moved back into a starting role following Julius Randle's injury. But he's averaging only 19.6 points per game.
Despite Reid clearing this mark in four of his last five games, his projection for Friday doesn't look especially promising for those hoping he'll continue to score at that rate.
He's projected for only 15.2 points. Based on that projection, Under 19.5 points should be trading closer to roughly -300.
Therefore, you could play the Under 18.5, too. ESPN BET offers the best price on that prop at -105, which is the higher EV play as it stands right now. But I prefer to get the extra point of cushion.
For further context, these -125 odds would be the break-even price for Under 15.5 points. This bet offers incredible value.
📊 Best Naz Reid prop bet odds
🏀 Best Alperen Sengun prop pick: Over 18.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)
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While we're fading Reid, let's back the opposing big man.
Alperen Sengun has been struggling somewhat with his shooting efficiency compared to last year, but he's still averaging 18.8 points per game this season.
Now Sengun is projected to score 20.6 points on Friday. We're getting roughly 12% +EV on this bet then through BetMGM's -110 odds based on that.
It isn't quite the edge we received on Reid's points total, but the break-even price (or what you'd deem "fair") on this Over is -145. So I'd act quickly before BetMGM - and ESPN BET, which is also posting -110 odds - moves closer to DraftKings' number of -125.
You're not getting much value on this bet at that point. Anything shorter than that should be left alone.
📊 Best Alperen Sengun prop bet odds
🏀 Best Jabari Smith prop pick: Over 9.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -106 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.43)
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Jabari Smith has been out since Jan. 1, so it seems our best sports betting sites forgot he was averaging 11.9 points per game before then. It's our job to take advantage of that mistake.
Smith is forecasted for just more than 11 points in his return to action, and that's based on a projection of 27.81 minutes.
This therefore profiles as another strong +EV bet due to that projection, especially at these -106 odds.
The break-even point on this Over is -152, which is likely why DraftKings is already at -120. I won't be surprised to see FanDuel and any others sitting at -110 shorten the odds being featured ahead of this game.
📊 Best Jabari Smith prop bet odds
🚑 Timberwolves vs. Rockets injuries
Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Timberwolves vs. Rockets matchup, which will update in real time.
📺 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Rockets tonight
📅 Date: Friday, Feb. 21
🕗 Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: Fubo
❓ Timberwolves vs. Rockets FAQs
Who is favored to win Timberwolves vs. Rockets?
The Rockets are as short as -165 on the moneyline, which means they're getting an implied probability of 62.26%.
What are the odds for Timberwolves vs. Rockets?
Houston serves as a 3-point favorite, and the total for this game is hovering around 220.
What time is Timberwolves vs. Rockets tonight?
The game is expected to begin around 9:30 p.m. ET.
How to watch Timberwolves vs. Rockets
The game will be televised on ESPN, and streaming is available on Fubo (depending on location).
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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