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Memphis Grizzlies forward Jaren Jackson Jr. reacts after a dunk during the second quarter against the Houston Rockets as we look at our Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions.
Pictured: Memphis Grizzlies forward Jaren Jackson Jr. reacts after a dunk during the second quarter against the Houston Rockets. Photo by Petre Thomas/Imagn Images.

Two teams that don’t often get the national spotlight will face off on TNT during an NBA national TV tripleheader on Martin Luther King Jr. Day. 

The Memphis Grizzlies (27-15) will host the Minnesota Timberwolves (22-20) at 2:30 p.m. ET on Monday at FedEx Forum.

The Grizzlies are 5.5-point favorites after winning consecutive games over the San Antonio Spurs. The Timberwolves are coming off a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Let's dive into our Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions, with both teams long shots in the NBA championship odds.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites.

  • Game pick: Grizzlies to win (-225 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. player prop pick: Over 1.5 3-pointers (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jaylen Wells player prop pick: Under 3.5 rebounds (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Mike Conley player prop pick: Under 9.5 points (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies player prop picks today

See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Best Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies prop predictions

Jaren Jackson Jr. prop pick: Over 1.5 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Memphis center Jaren Jackson Jr. loves to fire up trailing 3-pointers in transition, but I expect more attempts against Minnesota’s drop coverage. Jackson averages 1.8 makes on 5.2 attempts from long range this season.

The forward enters this game with some momentum from deep. He's hit five triples over his last two outings and multiple 3-pointers in three of his past four games. More importantly, Jackson has attempted 16 shots from distance in the previous two contests.

I’ll bet on that kind of volume in this matchup.

Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%

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Jaylen Wells prop pick: Under 3.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐

In a volatile NBA Rookie of the Year odds race, Memphis’ Jaylen Wells might have established himself as the favorite on Friday. He scored 22 points on 8-of-11 shooting over 35 minutes against the Spurs.

But Wells only finished with three rebounds during that performance. It marked his fifth consecutive game with three or fewer rebounds. I don’t expect that trend to end against a lineup that boasts as much length as the Timberwolves.

I project Wells to finish below three boards, showing an edge on this Under at FanDuel. This ticket costs as much as -125 at DraftKings.

Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%

Mike Conley prop pick: Under 9.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Veteran point guard Mike Conley averaged 24 minutes in Minnesota’s back-to-back set over the weekend. That’s down from his season average of 26 minutes per contest, despite the Wolves missing Donte DiVincenzo for those two games.

DiVincenzo remains out, but I’m not sure that’s good for Conley. He’s scored 22 points over the previous two contests, largely due to some efficient shooting from deep (6-for-11). But Conley has reached double figures in only two of his 10 games this month.

I’d be surprised if Conley does much damage against this Memphis defense. This line is as high as -135 at some of our best NBA betting sites, indicating the discount at DraftKings.

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies odds

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies injuries

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies game info

  • When: Monday, Jan. 20
  • Tipoff: 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: FedEx Forum (Memphis)
  • How to watch: TNT
  • Favorite: Grizzlies -5.5 (-115 via BetMGM)

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