Nuggets vs. Spurs NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds for Jan. 4
The San Antonio Spurs earned a hard-fought 113-110 victory at Ball Arena last night, but the Denver Nuggets will look to even the season series at Frost Bank Center during the second leg of a back-to-back set tonight. The Nuggets enter sitting sixth in the NBA championship odds.
We’re now looking at superstar bigs Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama to cash the Over on their combo props during the Western Conference showdown.
We’ll also be going back to the well with Michael Porter Jr.’s scoring prop when the Nuggets and Spurs tip off at 8 p.m. ET from Frost Bank Center in San Antonio.
Nuggets vs. Spurs player prop picks today
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites and subject to change.
- Michael Porter Jr. Over 18.5 points (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Victor Wembanyama Over 43.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Nikola Jokic Over 53.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
See our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
Best Nuggets vs. Spurs prop predictions
Michael Porter Jr. prop pick: Over 18.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +100 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 50.00%
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Porter's line has remained static despite his recent productivity, so we’re happy to dust off this old chestnut yet again. He's averaging a career-high 18.9 points per game this season, meaning an average performance will get us to the Over tonight.
MPJ has scored 18-plus points in seven straight and 20-plus in six of those games. He’s also finished with 19-plus points in 18 of 33 games overall. Yet we can get tremendous value with even-money odds here through FanDuel.
Aaron Gordon is unlikely to take the court tonight, and Porter is averaging 19.8 points with him on the sideline compared to just 18 when he's playing. Porter has hit the Over in 10 of 16 with Gordon out, including a 22-point performance against the Spurs on Friday.
We’re hammering the Over here.
Victor Wembanyama prop pick: Over 43.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%
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This is a lofty line for Wemby, who’s PRAs line moved from 41.5 before Friday’s matchup with Denver to 43.5 after another stellar performance. Wemby posted a 35/18/4 line against the Nuggets on Friday, and he’ll look to build on that solid outing tonight.
Wemby is averaging 44.7 PRAs while hitting the Over here four times across his last 10 outings. He racked up three more games with at least 40 PRAs.
Wemby averaged 40.1 PRAs in four games against the Nuggets last season, hitting the Over on this line twice. Denver has allowed 45.4 PRAs to opposing centers over its last seven matchups, as the team regularly gets cooked on the glass and gives up plenty of points.
We’ll bet on Wemby shining against Jokic for a second straight night.
Nikola Jokic prop pick: Over 53.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 53.49%
Wemby’s PRAs line is huge, but Jokic’s is monstrous, and that’s a testament to how well the big man has been playing this season. He’s averaging 53.9 PRAs, and 56.1 on the road.
Jokic, who's the NBA MVP odds favorite, delivered a huge 41/18/9 line against the Spurs last night, and he averaged 51.8 PRAs in four matchups when facing them last season. Joker hit the Over twice in those four contests, and he’s done it in three of five clashes with Wembanyama.
The Spurs have allowed the ninth-most assists to centers and the seventh-most points. Jokic has cashed the Over on this one in 60% of his games this season, and we’ll gladly take him to do it again at -115 odds.
Nuggets vs. Spurs live odds & info
- When: Saturday, Jan. 4
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio)
- How to watch: Altitude Sports Network
- Favorite: Nuggets -3.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
Nuggets vs. Spurs injuries
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