Our Best NBA Player Prop Bets Tonight: Expert Picks & Predictions for Feb. 21
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Nine games are spread across the NBA tonight. Several award leaders, including NBA MVP odds favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, will be in action.
Our best NBA player props today are backing SGA to erupt for the NBA championship odds-leading Oklahoma City Thunder. We're also focusing on three big men, including two rookies.
💰 Best NBA player prop bets & odds tonight: Feb. 21
Here are my best NBA player prop bets and odds tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
- Zach Edey player prop pick: Under 14.5 points and rebounds (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Alex Sarr player prop pick: Under 21.5 points, rebounds, and assists (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop pick: Over 39.5 points and assists (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Domantas Sabonis player prop pick: Over 14.5 rebounds (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Best NBA player prop predictions & expert picks today
Here's a breakdown of my best NBA player prop predictions and expert picks today. Check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.
🏀 Zach Edey (Grizzlies) Under 14.5 points + rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $9.09)
The two-time Wooden Award winner has had an up-and-down rookie campaign after being a popular player to back in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds race. The 7-foot-4, 305-pound Edey has played more than 23 minutes just five times in his last 21 games as head coach Taylor Jenkins tries to keep the Godzilla-sized Canadian fresh.
As a result, the 22-year-old has put up fewer than 14.5 points and rebounds in three of his last four games and now has a tough matchup with the Orlando Magic. Orlando is holding centers to the seventh-fewest PPG (20.43) and fewest RPG (13.15) in the NBA.
📊 Zach Edey player prop odds vs. Magic
🏀 Alex Sarr (Wizards) Under 21.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -120 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $8.33)
Another rookie center with plenty of hype not long ago, Alex Sarr, has fallen far down the Rookie of the Year oddsboard after being the favorite a few weeks ago. The No. 2 pick in the draft had been dealing with an ankle injury, and in his first game back, he combined for just 19 points, rebounds, and assists in over 31 minutes.
The Frenchman has failed to go Over 21.5 PRA in five of his last six games and he's averaging just 20.2 combined on the season. Against a Milwaukee Bucks defense that's holding centers to the fifth-fewest PPG (20.37) and APG (3.87), Sarr might have trouble getting into a rhythm.
📊 Alex Sarr player prop odds vs. Bucks
🏀 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) Over 39.5 points and assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -102 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.80)
The best player on the NBA's best team, Gilgeous-Alexander has been unstoppable this season. He's the only player in the league averaging 30-plus PPG and six-plus APG, and has managed 24 games of Over 39.5 points and assists, including combining for 59 the last time he played the Utah Jazz.
Utah's defense is one of the worst in the league - 29th in rating (119.6) and 27th in points allowed per game (119.4) - and has allowed the second-most PPG (25.93) and APG (10.14) to point guards. SGA has averaged 40.4 points and assists since the start of 2025, and that should continue against the Jazz.
📊 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop odds vs. Jazz
🏀 Domantas Sabonis (Kings) Over 14.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -105 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $9.52)
One of the greatest rebounders in recent memory, Domantas Sabonis made a statement heading into the All-Star break, after being snubbed yet again, by pulling down 28 boards. Yes, you read that right ... 28 rebounds in one game. Nobody owns the glass like Arvydas' son.
Sabonis leads the league in RPG (14.6) and has been averaging 16 RPG since the beginning of January - he's gone Over 14.5 in four straight games. That dominance should continue against a Golden State Warriors team that's allowing the sixth-most RPG to centers this season (15.96).
📊 Domantas Sabonis player prop odds vs. Warriors
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
Looking to bet on NBA player props tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.
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- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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