US Open Odds 2025: Sinner, Alcaraz, and Sabalenka Open as Favorites

There are no surprises atop the 2025 US Open odds as defending champions Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka lead the way on either side of the draw. 

Carlos Alcaraz's odds are in lockstep with Sinner's as the pair continue to carry the torch on the men's side. Novak Djokovic is, as always, in the mix, trading just behind the pair of youngsters. 

Sinner and Alcaraz have split the last four Grand Slam titles, while Sabalenka has won the previous three US and Australian Opens, and she's also the 2025 Australian Open odds favorite. 

Odds to win US Open men's singles

Odds from our best sports betting apps | 🔥 = best available odds | ❄️ = worst available odds

Men's US Open favorite

Jannik Sinner (+200)

Sinner, the in-form player on tour, made an emphatic statement by winning the 2024 US Open. 

The world no. 1 won two Grand Slam titles in 2024, equaling Carlos Alcaraz. Sinner also won the 2024 Australian Open, while Alcaraz triumphed at the French Open and Wimbledon. 

Sinner was cleared of any wrongdoing after failing two drug tests, creating backlash from fellow competitors. 

Nick Kyrgios, who suggested the Italian should have received a two-year ban, believes the Italian's surname directly reflects his off-court conduct. 

Sinner's odds are too short at the moment for my liking.

It's worth waiting to see what happens in the coming weeks and months before deciding to pull the trigger on backing Sinner. 

Best odds: +200 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 33.33%

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My 2025 US Open men's player to watch

Alexander Zverev (+1000)

If you've been following our Australian Open odds, you might think I have a man crush on Alexander Zverev. While I can assure you I don't, I am a massive proponent of the man's skill set on hard court.

His recent form has shown he's overdue for an elusive Grand Slam title. 

Zverev reached at least the quarterfinals in six of his last nine majors. In his last three appearances at Flushing Meadows, he reached the quarterfinals twice and semifinals at the US Open. 

If he stays healthy and remains on the current trajectory, I'm backing Zverev to win his first at the Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. 

If that happens, I will develop a man crush for the world no. 4. 

Best odds: +1000 via Caesars | Implied probability: 9.09%

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Odds to win US Open women's singles

Odds from our best sportsbooks | 🔥 = best available odds | ❄️ = worst available odd

Women's US Open favorite

Aryna Sabalenka (+225)

Sabalenka is playing like a Category-5 hurricane that cannot be stopped. In 2023 and 2024, she made it to at least the semifinals in six of the seven Grand Slams. 

The Belarusian won back-to-back Australian Opens (2023 and 2024) and triumphed at the 2024 US Open. 

Since the shoulder injury that kept her out of Wimbledon 2024, Sabalenka swatted aside all comers. Her skill set is perfectly suited for the hard court, and I expect her to dominate at the US Open and Australian Open for years to come. 

Her odds won't get much longer, so don't worry about waiting. Then again, there's no rush to lock her in as your 2025 US Open winner, as time won't significantly impact these odds. 

When you're ready, jump on the Sabalenka train. You won't regret it. 

Best odds: +225 via bet365 | Implied probability: 30.77%

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My 2025 US Open women's player to watch

Jessica Pegula (+1600)

I'm confident backing Jessica Pegula in any match on hard court unless she's forced to face Sabalenka. 

Pegula lost to Sabalenka at the 2024 US Open final and Cincinnati Open final. While she's one of the best hard-court players on tour, Pegula isn't in the same stratosphere as Sabalenka.  

That said, Pegula is the second-hottest commodity on the women's tour, at least on hard court. 

It's hard to predict whether her odds will shorten or lengthen in the coming months.

You might want to see how she fares at the 2025 Australian Open before locking her in as your 2025 US Open futures pick. 

Best odds: +1600 via Caesars | Implied probability: 5.88%

Past US Open winners

Odds prior to the start of Round 1.

How to bet on tennis

Types of bets

• Match betting: Bet on the winner of a match.
• Example: Betting on Novak Djokovic to win his first-round match.
• Set betting: Bet on the exact score in sets.
• Example: Predicting Coco Gauff will win 2-1 in sets.
• Handicap betting: One player gets a handicap.
• Example: Betting Carlos Alcaraz to win with a -2.5 set handicap.
• Over/Under bets: Bet on total sets or games.
• Example: Betting that a match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev will have over 3.5 sets.
• Outright winner Bets: Bet on the tournament winner.
• Example: Placing a bet on Iga Świątek to win the women's singles.
• Prop bets: Specific events within a match.
• Example: Betting on a tiebreak in a match between Nick Kyrgios and Dominic Thiem.

Steps to betting

1. Research players and patches
2. Consider surface and conditions
3. Check head-to-head records
4. Monitor injuries and fitness
5. Analyze draws and potential matchups
6. Watch for live betting opportunities

US Open FAQs

Who are the 2025 US Open favorites?

Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are the men's and women's 2025 US Open favorites. Sinner has +200 odds while Sabalenka is pegged at +225, representing 33.33% and 30.77% win probabilities, respectively. 

Who won the US Open last year?

Jannik Sinner won the 2024 US Open on the men's side, and Aryna Sabalenka was the women's champion. Both are first-time winners. 

When does the US Open start? 

The first round of the 2025 US Open starts on Aug. 26.  

When will the US Open be decided?

The 2025 US Open 2025 runs from Aug. 26 through Sept. 7.

Where will the US Open be played?

The US Open will be played at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Queens, N.Y.

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