Best 2025 Ambetter Health 400 Prop Bets at Atlanta: NASCAR Expert Picks & Predictions
After a thrilling Daytona 500 that saw us cash a +1200 ticket on John Hunter Nemechek to finish in the top five, we’re onto the 2025 Ambetter Health 400 props market ahead of Sunday's race at 3 p.m. ET (FOX) at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
With Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney atop the odds board, let’s dive into the best NASCAR bets and expert picks for this weekend's race.
Who is favored to win the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta?
So who is favored to win this year’s Ambetter Health 400? Ryan Blaney (+900) and Joey Logano (+1000), teammates at Team Penske, are the favorites to end up in Victory Lane. Their third teammate, Austin Cindric (+1200), isn’t far behind.
We highlighted Logano and Cindric as two of our best bets for this weekend in our Ambetter Health 400 predictions.
🥇 Ambetter Health 400 odds & favorites 🥇
Here are the latest Ambetter Health 400 odds and favorites at BetMGM to win Sunday's race at 3 p.m. ET. Be sure to follow the rest of our NASCAR picks ahead of the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
- Ryan Blaney, +900 ($10 to win $90)
- Joey Logano, +1000 ($10 to win $100)
- Kyle Busch, +1200 ($10 to win $120)
- Austin Cindric, +1200 ($10 to win $120)
- Brad Keselowski, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- Denny Hamlin, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- Kyle Larson, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- Chase Elliott, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- William Byron, +1700 ($10 to win $170)
- Christopher Bell, +1700 ($10 to win $170)
- Bubba Wallace, +1800 ($10 to win $180)
- Chris Buescher, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
- Daniel Suarez, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
- Ross Chastain, +2200 ($10 to win $220)
- Alex Bowman, +2500 ($10 to win $250)
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Best Ambetter Health 400 prop bets & NASCAR picks for Atlanta
After a Daytona 500 full of wrecks, Ford’s continued dominance at superspeedways may have gotten lost in the narrative. That just creates more value for us to exploit on the betting markets with our best Ambetter Health 400 props and NASCAR bets for Sunday's race at Atlanta.
🏎️ Ford to win the race (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🏎️ Chris Buescher vs. Christopher Bell (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🏎️ Josh Berry top-10 finish (+240 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
💰 Ford to win the race (+150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
As I mentioned last week in my Daytona 500 prop bets, Ford has led the majority of all laps on superspeedways since 2022. They just struggle to lead the last one. After leading 143 of 201 laps at the Daytona 500, they’re now up to 51.7% since 2022 and 65% since 2023.
Logano clearly had the best car last weekend - Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin, among others, said as much after the race. The Fords were fast in qualifying, too. Only Chase Briscoe, who failed post-race inspection due to a spoiler issue, was faster.
Starting up front matters, and I expect Ford to do well in qualifying. They were +150 at bet365 before qualifying started, which implies a 40% win rate, and I would buy this prop down to +120. Let’s hope they can manage to lead the last lap this time.
We also highlighted this as our best prop bet in our Ambetter Health 400 predictions.
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💰 Chris Buescher vs. Christopher Bell (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Caesars is setting up a battle of the Christophers this weekend, and they’re favoring the wrong one. Bell (-120) has an undeserved edge over Buescher (-110). Bell struggled in the draft at Daytona, and while the team should be able to sort things out for Atlanta, Buescher has an equipment advantage as he is behind the wheel of a Ford.
Buescher may not be a great superspeedway driver, but he is good. He won at Daytona two years ago, and he finished a solid P10 there in the 500 last week. Bell isn’t as bad at these tracks as fellow dirt superstar Kyle Larson, but if last week is any indication, there are real reasons to be concerned about Joe Gibbs Racing’s superspeedway program
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💰 Josh Berry top-10 finish (+240) ⭐⭐⭐
Look, Berry’s debut for Wood Brothers Racing wasn’t spectacular. He struggled in the Duel races then finished 37th (DNF) in the Great American Race. That said, his car was fast - he ran fifth in time trial qualifying before the Duels. His quasi teammates at Team Penske were fast, too.
The No. 21 Ford that Berry takes over is no stranger to the top 10, as Harrison Burton tallied three top-10s behind the wheel last year - all at drafting tracks like Atlanta. While that isn’t exactly an efficient clip across 38 starts, Berry is an upgrade, and I like taking him to post a top-10 down at these +240 odds via FanDuel. I'd even play this down to +200.
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My best Ambetter Health 400 long shot bet at Atlanta
If you’re looking to throw a dart - which is always a good idea when we’re at a drafting track - no driver stands out more than Zane Smith, who profiles as my best Ambetter Health 400 long-shot bet.
🏎️ Zane Smith top-5 finish (+1900 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Zane Smith top-5 finish (+1900) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The odds for this prop bet are simply too long. Smith checks in at +800 for a top-five at BetMGM and +1200 at DraftKings - yet we’re currently getting him at +1900 at FanDuel. I’m cool with this bet down to around +1500.
Smith is a two-time winner at Daytona in the Truck Series. He wasn’t quite as good at Talladega, but he posted a top-five finish in Atlanta right after the repave. With him now behind the wheel of a Front Row Racing Ford, he should in contention this year.
Last year, FRR led the most laps at this track. Todd Gilliland ran the show until midway through, bringing the No. 38 Ford that Smith now pilots home in 26th. While I expect all three FRR drivers will be near the front on Sunday, Smith owns the best odds by a wide margin.
💡 How to bet on NASCAR prop bets
If you haven’t placed a bet on NASCAR (or even just NASCAR props) before, you’ve been missing out! You can check out my broader tips on how to bet on NASCAR and develop a solid NASCAR betting strategy over on my Substack, but here are my key insights for wagering on Ambetter Health 400 props:
🏁 Do the math! Understanding the raw probability of an outcome helps you determine whether a particular betting line offers value. The 2025 Ambetter Health 400 features a 39-car field. That means the baseline odds of any single driver winning are 2.5%. Likewise, the chances of finishing in the top 10 sit at 25.63%.
🏁 Avoid overpaying for favorites. The Ambetter Health 400 - and superspeedway racing in general - is unpredictable. Even if a driver excels at this style of track, that doesn’t necessarily mean they’re worth betting on at the odds being offered.
🏁 Sprinkle in some long shots. While Atlanta hasn’t produced a true long-shot winner, Todd Gilliland almost won this race last year, and superspeedways can always produce wild results.
🏁 Don’t wager so much that you can’t enjoy the race. Betting should enhance your experience, not ruin it. Superspeedway racing is thrilling and fun to watch, but if you’ve put so much of your bankroll on the line that you can’t relax and enjoy the action, you’re approaching it the wrong way.
🏁 At the core of my NASCAR betting philosophy is a simple message: Know what you’re getting into and bet responsibly. If you fail to do those two things, you’ll end up losing more than you win.
📺 How to watch the 2025 Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta
📅 Race date: Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025
🕒 Start time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Atlanta Motor Speedway (Atlanta)
📺 TV: FOX | Streaming: FOX Sports App
❓ Ambetter Health 400 FAQs
Who is favored to win the Ambetter Health 400?
Ryan Blaney is the betting favorite to win the Ambetter Health 400 with +900 odds, which would turn a $10 bet into a $90 profit. Those odds imply a 10% chance that Blaney wins his second career race at Atlanta after finishing second in last year's race.
What are the odds for the Ambetter Health 400?
The latest Ambetter Health 400 odds have Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano as the betting favorites to win the race ahead of fellow contenders Kyle Busch and Austin Cindric.
What time is the 2025 Ambetter Health 400?
The 2025 Ambetter Health 400 starts at 3 p.m. ET (FOX) on Sunday, Feb. 23, from Atlanta Motor Speedway.
How to watch the 2025 Ambetter Health 400
You can watch the Ambetter Health 400 on FOX or stream it via the FOX Sports App.
Who won the Ambetter Health 400 last year?
Daniel Suarez won the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 after opening with +3000 odds.
🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta
Looking to bet on the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway? Here are our top-rated NASCAR best sports betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Sunday's race at 3 p.m. ET.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
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