2025 Ambetter Health 400 Predictions at Atlanta: Best NASCAR Bets, Expert Picks & Odds
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Last year's Ambetter Health 400 produced one of the best finishes in NASCAR history. What will this year's race have in store Sunday at 3 p.m. ET (FOX) from Atlanta Motor Speedway?
Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano are the betting favorites by the latest 2025 Ambetter Health 400 odds, and we're backing one of those two - and their teammate - as part of our Ambetter Health 400 predictions, expert picks, and best bets for Sunday's race.
2025 Ambetter Health 400 odds & favorites at Atlanta
Here are the latest Ambetter Health 400 odds and favorites at BetMGM ahead of Saturday's qualifying. We'll update these odds as the race approaches.
🥇 Ambetter Health 400 betting favorites 🥇
- Ryan Blaney, +900 ($10 to win $90)
- Joey Logano, +1000 ($10 to win $100)
- Kyle Busch, +1200 ($10 to win $120)
- Austin Cindric, +1200 ($10 to win $120)
- Brad Keselowski, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- Denny Hamlin, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- Kyle Larson, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- Chase Elliott, +1600 ($10 to win $160)
- William Byron, +1700 ($10 to win $170)
- Christopher Bell, +1700 ($10 to win $170)
- Bubba Wallace, +1800 ($10 to win $180)
- Chris Buescher, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
- Daniel Suarez, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
- Ross Chastain, +2200 ($10 to win $220)
- Alex Bowman, +2500 ($10 to win $250)
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Ambetter Health 400 predictions, expert picks & best bets at Atlanta
While not a 2.5-mile long superspeedway like Daytona or Talladega, Atlanta Motor Speedway features the same type of high-banking corners and drafting-style racing that produce blistering speeds - and the potential for big wrecks, too.
Since the repave ahead of the 2022 season, this track has produced electric results with similar speeds but less fuel saving than other superspeedways. Handling is an even greater factor on this track, which can help separate the stars from the rest of the pack.
That's why, once again, I predict Joey Logano will win the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta.
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🏆 Pick to win Ambetter Health 400: Joey Logano (+1000 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While the scorecard shows a 35th-place finish for Logano last week at Daytona, he was clearly the fastest car on the track - twice working his way from the very back to the front of the pack before Ricky Stenhouse's bold block with 15 laps to go spelled the end for the No. 22.
With fuel saving likely playing a lesser role at this track, I expect Logano to have more room to operate and showcase the incredible pace that Team Penske put on display last week. I have to imagine he'll be a little more patient this week, too, after forcing the issue for what should have been his second Daytona 500 win.
Frankly, I'm a bit surprised Logano isn't the outright favorite after winning two of the last four races at this track - including the last race in Atlanta in September. If he wins again, a $10 bet at Caesars would return a $100 profit on Sunday.
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💎 Best value bet to win Ambetter Health 400: Austin Cindric (+1300 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Sense a theme here? We highlighted Cindric as our best value bet last week in our Daytona 500 predictions, and he led a race-high 59 laps and held the lead when the white flag waved before Cole Custer wrecked half the field on the final lap.
Denny Hamlin, who was battling for the lead before that massive pile-up, has called Cindric the best superspeedway driver in NASCAR. It's hard to argue with that: he's led at least 13 laps in six straight races at Daytona and Talladega, and he's finished in the top 12 in five straight races at Atlanta while leading a race-high 92 laps his last time out.
Cindric has posted an average finish of eighth across those five races, leading the field after Stage 2 in three of them. He finished fourth in this race last year, and barring an early wreck, I'll be shocked if he isn't in the mix in the final 20 laps. That's why Cindric is my best value bet with a $10 wager at FanDuel returning a $130 profit if he wins.
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🎯 Best long shot to win Ambetter Health 400: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+4000 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Whether you love him or hate him, you have to respect Stenhouse's ability to navigate his way around a drafting-style track. He's won four such races in his career, and he was trending toward another top-five finish last week before spinning out.
Stenhouse's aggressive style on high-speed tracks makes him a risky bet to even finish the race, but when he does, he's got a real shot to compete for the win. He's finished each of his last four races at Atlanta and posted an average finish of 11.8 with two top-10s, which includes a sixth-place finish in last year's Ambetter Health 400.
The No. 47 is dealing as short as +3000 via DraftKings, but a $10 bet at these +4000 odds via bet365 would return a $400 profit if he takes the checkered flag on Sunday.
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Best Ambetter Health 400 prop bets & picks at Atlanta
Our NASCAR expert Isaiah Sirois will be offering his best Ambetter Health 400 prop bets ahead of Saturday's qualifying session, so keep your eyes out for that. In the meantime, I'm targeting Ford to win (+150) as my best NASCAR prop bet for Sunday's race.
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💰 Best prop bet for Ambetter Health 400: Ford to win (+150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I know that Chevrolet won this race last year and won the Daytona 500 last week. But I'm frankly shocked that Ford isn't the favored manufacturer to win this weekend in Atlanta.
The blue ovals have been dominant at this track over the last two years, leading 710 of a possible 971 laps (73.1%) with Logano winning two of those four races. Ford led the way last week, too, pacing the field in 143 of 201 laps (71.1%) before the late wrecks opened the door for Chevrolet to steal yet another checkered flag.
Of course, that could happen again this week, but I'm having a hard time staying away from these market-best +150 odds, which imply just a 40% chance that Ford wins the race. Given its dominance at Atlanta and drafting-style tracks in general, I'll gladly bet those odds to turn a $10 bet into a $15 profit.
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🏆 Past Ambetter Health 400 winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Ambetter Health 400 winners entering Sunday's race.
Year | Driver | Team | Manufacturer |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Daniel Suarez | Trackhouse Racing | Chevrolet |
2023 | Joey Logano | Team Penske | Ford |
2022 | William Byron | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
2021 | Ryan Blaney | Team Penske | Ford |
2020 | Kevin Harvick | Stewart-Haas Racing | Ford |
2019 | Brad Keselowski | Team Penske | Ford |
2018 | Kevin Harvick | Stewart-Haas Racing | Ford |
2017 | Brad Keselowski | Team Penske | Ford |
2016 | Jimmie Johnson | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
2015 | Jimmie Johnson | Hendrick Motorsports | Chevrolet |
📈 Ambetter Health 400 trends & Atlanta Motor Speedway history
Here are a few Ambetter Health 400 trends to consider before betting on Sunday's race:
🏎️ Chevrolet has won the Ambetter Health 400 more than any other manufacturer (25), though Ford is close behind with 22 wins of its own. Hendrick Motorsports' 10 wins are the most by any racing team with its most recent win coming in 2022.
🏎️ Ford has won the pole in each of the last four races at Atlanta, including the last two Ambetter Health 400s. The pole-sitter has won at Atlanta 16 times (13.22%), which is tied with the No. 5 spot as the best starting position historically at this track.
🏎️ Four active drivers have won multiple races at Atlanta, all with two wins apiece: Joey Logano, William Byron, Brad Keselowski, and Kyle Busch.
📺 How to watch the 2025 Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta
📅 Race date: Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025
🕒 Start time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Atlanta Motor Speedway (Atlanta)
📺 TV: FOX | Streaming: FOX Sports App
❓ Ambetter Health 400 FAQs
Who is favored to win the Ambetter Health 400?
Ryan Blaney is the betting favorite to win the Ambetter Health 400 with +900 odds, which would turn a $10 bet into a $90 profit. Those odds imply a 10% chance that Blaney wins his second career race at Atlanta after finishing second in last year's race.
What are the odds for the Ambetter Health 400?
The latest Ambetter Health 400 odds have Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano as the betting favorites to win the race ahead of fellow contenders Kyle Busch and Austin Cindric.
What time is the 2025 Ambetter Health 400?
The 2025 Ambetter Health 400 starts at 3 p.m. ET (FOX) on Sunday, Feb. 23, from Atlanta Motor Speedway.
How to watch the 2025 Ambetter Health 400
You can watch the Ambetter Health 400 on FOX or stream it via the FOX Sports App.
Who won the Ambetter Health 400 last year?
Daniel Suarez won the 2024 Ambetter Health 400 after opening with +3000 odds.
🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta
Looking to bet on the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway? Here are our top-rated NASCAR best sports betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Sunday's race at 3 p.m. ET.
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