Kamala Harris 2024 Odds to Win Next U.S. Presidential Election: Trump Keeps Pulling Away From Harris

For the first time in a while, one candidate has jumped out to a sizable lead in the 2024 U.S. presidential election odds. And it's not Kamala Harris.

Harris held a lead of note for a while after her resoundingly successful debate performance on Sept. 10. However, her post-debate odds only became as short as -138 through our best political betting sites (outside the U.S.). Now the Kamala Harris odds show her at +110 and even as short as +120, and the Donald Trump odds reveal a far heavier favorite.

The Democratic nominee now faces an opponent who's mostly sitting around -140. However, there's still no seismic flip in the polls, with Harris holding a 2.4% lead in the national average, according to FiveThirtyEight. And more critically, the swing states remain pivotal tossups.

We're firmly in the home stretch now, with three weeks until election day on Nov. 5 and early voting well underway in many areas. Harris needs to make up ground fast, though as we've seen repeatedly during a roller-coaster election, a whole lot can change in a hurry.

Kamala Harris presidential election odds 2024

(Kamala Harris odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada. U.S. residents interested in betting on the election can visit the social sportsbook BetRivers.net, which is available in most U.S. states | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

• Trump shifted from sitting around -120 late last week to now being listed at about -140 through our best Ontario sports betting sites
• Trump is even listed as short as -150 through BetVictor
• Meanwhile, Harris still sits a little above even money, though Caesars is the exception while offering her at +120.
• It's been a steady decline for Harris by the odds, as she was featured as short as -138 shortly after the debate

Kamala Harris fast facts

Kamala Harris presidential election odds 2024 analysis

The presidential debate helped to push Harris' campaign forward. Harris stalled briefly before the verbal squareoff, but that performance propelled her back up.

She fell from -125 after the Democratic National Convention in August to +110. However, Harris then moved back to around -120 overnight after the debate. At one point she was even listed as short as -138.

Daniel Dale, CNN's lead fact-checker, counted 33 falsehoods from Trump that night. He called it a staggering number even for Trump, adding that many of his claims weren't "tethered in reality." Harris often induced those statements while baiting Trump.

But as expected, the post-debate bump for Harris wasn't going to last forever in the odds. She's gradually fallen back, and now Harris has become the scrappy underdog in the waning days of the campaign.

As always though, the true gauge of the campaign lies in the seven key swing states.

For Harris and any Democrat, holding the key blue wall states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania is a must. Harris maintains leads in those areas, according to The New York Times, but she's sitting on painfully close margins of 1% in each state.

Meanwhile, Trump has pulled ahead in North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia, the latter two of which went for Joe Biden in 2020.

Taylor Swift's Harris endorsement

There are celebrity endorsements, and then there's Taylor Swift. The former comes in waves every election, but Swift and her dedicated fans form one of the most tapped-in demographics in America. When she speaks on anything, millions listen and follow every word, or even hint.

It's an endorsement the Democrats were waiting and hoping for heading into the fall, and it capped a highly successful debate evening in Sept. 10.

The surge of energy Swift will surely bring comes on the heels of a sudden fundraising push, which reflects voter enthusiasm. The Harris campaign revealed that a staggering $81 million was raised over the first 24 hours of the Vice President's candidacy, according to The Guardian, with much of that coming from first-time donors.

The warp-speed fundraising pace continued throughout August, with the campaign raising over $300 million during the month, according to NBC News. That's more than double the Trump campaign's output during the same period.

The question of age has now been flipped, too, with the Democrats moving from the fading 81-year-old Joe Biden to the 59-year-old Harris. Trump just turned 78 years old and would therefore be 82 when his next term ends should he win another one. He's now the oldest presidential nominee in U.S. election history.

But going against Harris could be the harsh and unfortunate realities of being a Black woman while trying to win over an electorate that's never put a woman into the highest position in office. Also, Trump will continue to highlight issues with the U.S.-Mexico border under her watch.

Every candidate comes with flaws, though, and Trump's have been starting to surface recently. Even amid the historically unique situation she faced after Biden dropped out and the tough fight in battleground states, Harris' favorability rating keeps looking positive, showing her sudden popularity. It's gone up steadily since late July to now sit at 47.0%.

Kamala Harris presidential election odds 2024 FAQ

What are Kamala Harris' 2024 presidential election odds?

Kamala Harris is getting odds as short as +120 to win the presidency in 2024. That translates to an implied probability of 45.45%.

What were Kamala Harris' odds to be the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee?

Kamala Harris closed at -10000 odds to be the 2024 Democratic nominee. That carries an implied probability of 99.01%.

Who is the favorite for the 2024 U.S. election?

Kamala Harris is tied with Donald Trump in the odds to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election at all of our top Ontario sportsbooks.

Who won the last U.S. presidential election?

Joe Biden assumed office as the 46th President of the United States following his victory over incumbent Donald J. Trump in the 2020 election.

When will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

The 2024 United States presidential election is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024.

Where will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

Candidates will campaign across various cities and states leading up to November 2024, culminating in voters casting their ballots at polling booths nationwide to determine the next President of the United States.

How to watch the U.S. presidential election

Every major news outlet will cover the 2024 United States presidential election extensively.

2024 presidential election betting odds pages

Here are our best political betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS
• FanDuel Promo Code
• DraftKings Promo Code
• Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
• Fanatics Sportsbook Promo Code

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Related pages

• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)