Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul Expert Picks: Does the Fight Game Believe in 'Iron Mike?"
It's fight night! Jake Paul faces his biggest test in boxing when he takes on one of the sport's most iconic fighters, Mike Tyson.
This spectacle finally comes to its conclusion on Nov. 15. Will Paul make quick work of the 58-year-old? Or will the former knockout artist remind him to be careful what he wishes for?
The Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul odds are beginning to normalize at our best boxing betting sites just days out from the fight, with most sportsbooks pricing the outspoken Vine/YouTube sensation as a -200 favorite.
This fight was previously canceled a couple of months beforehand because Tyson was dealing with a health issue related to an ulcer.
However, it appears to be all systems go this time around. The two are set to fight on Friday from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. It will be streamed live on Netflix, and many of the fight game's biggest names are taking interest.
We're rounding up their takes on the fight with our Tyson vs. Paul expert picks, and we also delivered our own Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul prediction and Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul prop bets.
We also looked at the other big fight on this card with our Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano prediction.
Who do the sportsbooks expect to win Tyson vs. Paul?
It's quite clear our best sports betting sites expected Paul to win this fight comfortably when the odds for this clash opened. Though he's still trading at roughly -200, there's been a ton of support for Tyson.
For those seeking the best price on Paul, BetMGM is offering him to win at -175. Paul is looking for his 11th professional victory, with his last fight being a TKO win over former UFC fighter Mike Perry.
Meanwhile, the 58-year-old Tyson last fought professionally in June 2005. He went up against Roy Jones Jr. in an exhibition bout during 2020, though that was pretty much a mockery of the sport (whether this will be any different remains to be seen) and resulted in a draw.
The best odds on the underdog are at Caesars, as he's trading at +180.
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Who do we think will win?
This will probably play out exactly as Paul's fight did with Anderson Silva.
Unlike when he fights former NBA players, ex-UFC fighters who engage in trash talk and have something to prove, or actual boxers, no one is going to take any serious damage in this fight.
I wouldn't go as far as to say anyone is getting paid off (since that would be illegal considering this is a professional fight with real ramifications). But I wouldn't doubt if there's some sort of "gentlemen's agreement" that the two will go the full eight rounds - two minutes each - and throw their punches at less than 100%.
In that case, my best bet is for the fight to go the distance, which is trading at +150 through FanDuel.
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Tyson vs. Paul odds
(Tyson vs. Paul odds from our best sports betting apps as of Nov. 15 | 🔥 = best available odds | ❄️ = worst available odds)
| Fighter | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | -200 | -205 | -175 🔥 | -240 ❄️ |
| Mike Tyson | +160 ❄️ | +164 | +175 | +180 🔥 |
Tyson vs. Paul expert picks
| Expert | Role | Tyson vs. Paul pick |
|---|---|---|
| Teddy Atlas | ESPN boxing analyst | Tyson |
| Joe Rogan | UFC commentator | Tyson |
| Roy Jones Jr. | Former four-division boxing champion | Tyson |
| Tyson Fury | Former undisputed heavyweight boxing champion | Tyson |
| Anthony Joshua | Former unified heavyweight boxing champion | Paul |
| Tyron Woodley | Former UFC welterweight champion | Tyson |
| Oscar De La Hoya | Former six-division boxing champion | Tyson/Paul |
| Lennox Lewis | Former undisputed heavyweight boxing champion | Tyson |
| Evander Holyfield | Former undisputed cruiserweight and heavyweight boxing champion | Tyson |
| Sean O'Malley | Former UFC bantamweight champion | Paul |
Well, as you can see, most people within the industry are supporting Tyson.
My best guess for why we're seeing this is that people are scared to look silly after saying Paul will win in case the fighter who should win smokes him. However, some still don't want to go out on a limb and predict a Tyson victory in case he looks like the nearly 60-year-old man he is and loses to a YouTube boxer.
Top Tyson vs. Paul predictions
Teddy Atlas - Tyson
Atlas came fairly close to actually picking a winner, which you'd expect from the only real boxing analyst listed.
"(Paul) is fighting a legendary, iconic fighter. ... Yeah, he's 58 years old. Yeah, the end of his career wasn't too good. But, one of the last things that goes with a fighter is his power. I think this is a very dangerous fight for Paul."
Roy Jones Jr. - Tyson
Jones fought Tyson in an exhibition bout during 2020, and this is what he said after a historic 76-fight boxing career of his own.
"Mike Tyson is still the strongest puncher that I've ever been in the ring with. ... First time he hit me in my chest, it felt like a mule had kicked me in my chest. So, if he hits anybody on the chin with a shot like that, they going either out or they going down, especially guys that are not used to being hit like that. ... Jake Paul, I don't think he'll be able to take that if Mike hits him on the chin."
However, Jones did note that Paul being 230 lbs could "make it interesting." An extremely bold take in this environment.
Tyson Fury - Tyson
Another former heavyweight is backing "Iron Mike," as it becomes increasingly clear those in the fight game are supporting the veteran.
"If Mike Tyson hits anybody, I don’t care if he’s 90, he’s going to knock them out cold isn’t he? He’s 'Iron Mike' Tyson, the baddest man on the planet. Jake Paul is very experienced now and he's had a lot of fights but obviously, I have to back Mike Tyson for the knockout as he always backs me."
Anthony Joshua - Paul
Naturally, Joshua disagrees with Fury.
"[Mike Tyson] is older now ... I pray that he comes out healthy. I think Jake Paul because of youth - that’s the only thing.”
I'm not sure whether the 35-year-old Joshua really believes that, or if that's just what he tells himself at night after getting knocked out by 27-year-old Daniel Dubois.
Tyron Woodley - Tyson
Woodley knows all too well the threat that Paul possesses as a two-time victim of the "Problem Child." However, he's also siding with the legend.
"Mike Tyson right now, off muscle memory alone, he can have a flashback, he can step on the wrong eggshell and let off a combination that could kill most people. He has the power and ability to shift organs on your body if he hits you with the right force. So I think he forgot more technique than Jake has ever learned in his life."
Then what, exactly, does that say about Woodley?
Sean O'Malley - Paul
Finally, we find someone supporting Paul. Unfortunately, O'Malley is probably doing so simply so we mention him in these type of articles. Nevertheless, this is what he had to say:
"I just feel like Jake is too locked in, been in it too long, in the last five years who’s been in it more? I think that matters. He’s what, 30 years younger? I just don’t see this ending well for Uncle Mike."
Ah, yes, Paul has been in it "too long" when compared to Tyson, who has squints more than 50 professional fights.
Oscar De La Hoya - Tyson/Paul
De La Hoya broke the fight down into halves, giving the advantage to one fighter over the other in each.
"If it's before three, four rounds, I have to go with Tyson by knockout, that one punch knockout. ... If it goes past four rounds, I have to worry about Tyson's conditioning, and where Jake Paul's youth can take over.
"I've seen Jake Paul's videos, he looks big, he looks huge."
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