Jake Paul vs. Logan Paul Odds: Early Betting Lines for March 27 Bout Between Brothers

Well, at least one of them will lose.

That's the prevailing thought on social media and in group chats following the announcement of a March 27 boxing match between brothers as we break down the Jake Paul vs. Logan Paul odds. The fight will be broadcast by HBO Max.

Jake will return to the boxing ring for the first time since "beating" Mike Tyson in mid-November. Logan, who recently declared himself as a participant in the Royal Rumble odds, will don the boxing gloves for the first time since taking on Dillon Danis (and winning via disqualification) a year and a half ago.

Editor's note: ESPN's Mike Coppinger reports Tuesday's announcement was for a reality series rather than a boxing match. Odds remain available at some sportsbooks.

Jake Paul vs. Logan Paul odds

Here are the latest Jake Paul vs. Logan Paul odds as of Tuesday, Jan. 28.

Jake Paul, who has more recently appeared in a boxing ring (and his bout against Tyson was sanctioned in Texas), is a commanding betting favorite. It would take a $65 bet at the -650 odds to return a profit of $10.

A $10 bet on the underdog brother would return a $40 profit with a 20% implied win probability.

Jake Paul vs. Logan Paul prediction

Best pick: Logan Paul (+400)

The -650 odds on Jake are far too prohibitive to warrant a bet of any kind on the favorite. A 4x return with a win by Logan is worthy of at least a sprinkle.

The legitimacy of these "fights" featuring either Jake or Logan Paul must also be kept in mind. While Jake's fight with Tyson was sanctioned, few who watched the glitchy Netflix stream would be willing to testify to that.

All that said, the marketing savvy of these two added together is nearly unrivaled in even boxing or WWE. And who doesn't love a trilogy fight?

Jake Paul vs. Logan Paul fight info

• When: Thursday, March 27
• Where: TBA
• How to watch: HBO Max
• Favorite: Jake Paul (-650; bet $65 to win $10)

How to bet on boxing

1. Moneyline bets (straight up winner)

The most straightforward bet in boxing is a moneyline bet, which is just picking who you think will win the fight. In this type of bet, the odds will indicate which fighter is the favorite and which one is the underdog. The favorite will have negative odds (like -150), meaning you have to bet more to win a smaller amount, while the underdog will have positive odds (like +200), meaning you can win more relative to your bet if they pull off an upset.

• Example: Let’s say Fighter A is listed at -150, and Fighter B is listed at +200. If you bet $150 on Fighter A and they win, you’d make $100. But if you bet $100 on Fighter B and they win, you’d make $200.

2. Over/Under (total rounds)

Another popular bet is the over/under on the number of rounds in the fight. Oddsmakers will set a line, typically between 7 and 10 rounds, and you’ll bet whether the fight will last more or fewer rounds than that. If you think a fight will end quickly, you’d bet the under, and if you think it’ll be a back-and-forth slugfest, you’d bet the over.

• Example: If the Over/Under is set at 8.5 rounds, and you bet the Over, the fight must last 9 rounds or longer for your bet to win. If it’s stopped before 9 rounds, the Under wins.

3. Method of victory

With this bet, you’re wagering on how the fight will end, not just who will win. There are a few typical outcomes you can bet on: a KO/TKO, decision (the fight goes the distance and is decided by the judges), or a draw.

• Example: You could bet on Fighter A to win by knockout at +300, meaning a $100 bet would win $300 if Fighter A knocks out their opponent. Or, if you think the fight will go the distance and be decided by judges' scorecards, you could bet on Fighter A to win by decision at +150.

4. Round betting

For a more precise bet, you can wager on which round the fight will end in. This bet is a little trickier but can offer a higher payout because you're predicting a more specific outcome. If you’re confident in a fighter's ability to end the fight early or think they’ll tire out and win later, this can be a fun way to bet.

• Example: You could bet that Fighter A wins in round 3 at odds of +800. If the fight ends in round 3, you’ll win your bet and collect the higher payout.

5. Parlay betting

If you’re feeling confident in multiple outcomes, you can combine several boxing bets into a parlay. A parlay lets you bet on multiple fighters, methods of victory, or even fights on the same card. All your selections must win for you to cash in, but the potential payout increases with each additional leg in the parlay.

• Example: You could parlay Fighter A to win with Fighter B to win by knockout. If both bets hit, you’ll get a bigger payout than if you had placed each bet individually.

6. Prop bets

Boxing also offers a variety of prop bets, which are unique and sometimes very specific to the fight. These bets can cover anything from how many punches a fighter will throw to whether the fight will end in a particular round or whether there will be a knockdown.

• Example: A prop bet might be “Will Fighter A score a knockdown in round 2?” at odds of +500. If Fighter A does score a knockdown in that round, you’ll win the bet.

7. Live betting

Once the fight begins, many sportsbooks offer live betting. This allows you to place bets on the fight as it progresses, adjusting your wagers based on what’s happening in real time. For example, if a fighter you bet on is getting knocked around early but you still think they have a chance to turn it around, you can place a bet on them at more favorable odds as the fight unfolds.

Tips for betting on boxing:

• Know the fighters: The more you know about the boxers - things like their fighting style, history, and physical condition - the better your chances of making a smart bet. Are they knockout artists? Do they struggle with endurance? These are important factors to consider.
• Look at recent form: A fighter’s recent performance is often a better indicator of future success than their overall record. If a fighter’s been on a hot streak or has recently struggled with injuries, that might affect how they perform.
• Consider the fight’s venue: Some boxers perform better in certain locations or under certain conditions (e.g., altitude, temperature, home crowd). This could give one fighter an edge over the other.

Here are our best boxing betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

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• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)