Donald Trump Odds to Win U.S. Presidential Election 2024: Trump is No Longer the Clear Favorite

The Donald Trump U.S. presidential election odds for 2024 feature him as the narrow favorite at some of our best sports betting sites (outside the U.S.) prior to November's election.

Donald Trump is shifting positions in many ways lately. From full-time candidate to part-time courtroom dweller. And from oddsboard dominator to chaser.

Trump has fallen fast over a short time in politics, and for the first time in a long while he's now listed behind Joe Biden at one of our best sportsbooks in the 2024 U.S. presidential odds. That's been the case for two weeks now, and his lead where Trump does hold one is incredibly narrow.

It's all coming with the Stormy Daniels hush-money trial ongoing. Biden's once deep hole has turned into a dead heat. Is it all a sign of more stumbling to come from Trump due to his legal matters? Or will he rally his always-strong base to recover quickly?

To complement our 2024 U.S. presidential election odds, here is our look at the top Donald Trump presidential election odds for 2024 from our best sportsbooks (odds available only from Ontario sports betting sites).

Donald Trump presidential election odds 2024

(Donald Trump odds as of April 30)

Donald Trump presidential election odds 2024 analysis

The colossal shift in the odds at our best sports betting sites took place recently, and Trump keeps gradually losing ground.

He's now tumbled so much that Trump is behind Biden for the first time in a long while at one book, with BetVictor listing the incumbent ahead. Trump's lead at Sports Interaction, BetMGM, and bet365 is nearly as slim as possible. Only Caesars is posting a rogue number while still heavily favoring Trump, but even that book's price has shortened notably over the past week while going from -160 to -145.

The former president is suddenly needing to get scrappy, which is how he thrives. But he's handcuffed to some degree short term, as Trump needs to be present in New York with the Daniels hush-money still chugging along.

So he could keep falling back in the odds, or at minimum stay stagnant at our best live betting sites. Biden was listed as long as +240 a short time ago, and now he's commonly down to around +110.

It's even more concerning for Trump when looking at the polls. A recent Marist College poll showed Biden holding a three-point lead. Then a Reuters/Ipsos poll in late April revealed a dead heat and Biden holding a slimmer one-point advantage. But that's still a significant shift from the deficit Biden faced late in the winter when concern was growing about the state of his campaign.

However, both candidates come with their warts. Age is the primary one for Biden, and legal issues are the problem following Trump. But there may be a broader and deeper challenge for both, as a YouGov poll showed that 48% of respondents hold negative feelings about a 2020 rematch.

Trump might also be feeling the impact of the negative headlines tied to his legal entanglements. His Daniels hush-money trial is now underway and is expected to last about two months. He's now officially the first former president to face criminal charges.

But Biden's unpopularity could still be an advantage for Trump no matter how much time he spends in a courtroom. The current president is still struggling in that regard. His approval rating bottomed out at 37.6% and has since rebounded slightly, but it still sits at a lowly 39.5%.

Donald Trump Republican presidential nominee odds 2024

Editor's note: Odds were pulled on March 6 after Nikki Haley announced she was suspending her campaign.

Donald Trump Republican presidential nominee odds analysis 2024

Trump didn't face a real challenge in the Republican field. His odds to become the nominee shortened dramatically just prior to Super Tuesday, going from -2500 to -5000 at bet365. He then officially secured the nomination and enough delegates days later.

Ron DeSantis was once thought to be Trump's top competition, but his campaign fizzled fast before the Florida governor dropped out just before the New Hampshire primary, endorsing Trump in the process. That endorsement contributed to Trump's Republican odds spiking even further.

Nikki Haley was repeatedly thumped too before finally ending her campaign the morning after Super Tuesday. However, she stopped short of endorsing Trump, instead saying she wishes him well, and that the former president now needs to "earn the votes in our party and beyond it who did not support him."

Trump did receive a critical endorsement from Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader and one of the most powerful Republicans. The two had once sparred, but now McConnell says he's eager to work with Trump again. 

"I look forward to the opportunity of switching from playing defense against the terrible policies the Biden administration has pursued to a sustained offense geared toward making a real difference in improving the lives of the American people,” McConnell said in a statement.

Republican vice presidential candidate odds

Currently, two of our best live betting sites are featuring odds for who Trump will pick as his running mate. Mike Pence served as the vice president during Trump's first term.

Donald Trump presidential election odds 2024 FAQ

Who is the favorite for the 2024 U.S. election?

Former president Trump is the favorite (+120) to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Who won the last U.S. presidential election?

Joe Biden assumed office as the 46th President of the United States following his victory over incumbent Donald J. Trump in the 2020 election.

When will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

The 2024 United States presidential election is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024.

Where will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

Candidates will campaign across various cities and states leading up to November 2024, culminating in voters casting their ballots at polling booths nationwide to determine the next President of the United States.

How to watch the U.S. presidential election

Every major news outlet will cover the 2024 United States presidential election extensively.

2024 presidential election betting odds pages

Here are our best political betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages

• Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)