Dodgers vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds Today: Will Yankees Claw Back With Game 3 Win?
The New York Yankees failed to take either game in Los Angeles, but they have a chance to make the World Series more interesting as the action shifts to the Bronx with the Dodgers up 2-0.
After winning both games at Dodger Stadium, L.A. is the massive favorite by the World Series odds. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts owns a 10-3 series record when his team wins Game 1, which is bad news for the Yankees if that trend continues.
On top of that, the team that's won both Game 1 and 2 under this 2-3-2 format has won the series 80% of the time (a 45-11 record).
First pitch for this contest is set for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX) from Yankee Stadium on Monday, and Clarke Schmidt will take the mound for the home team. Our Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction includes a Schmidt prop, while our Dodgers vs. Yankees prop bets focuses on his counterpart, Walker Buehler.
World Series MVP odds favorite Freddie Freeman looks to add to his already incredible first two games, but can the Yankees slow down this powerhouse lineup and get back in the win column?
Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions: Game 3
- Moneyline pick: Yankees (-150 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Clarke Schmidt Under 4.5 strikeouts (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Aaron Judge prop bet: Over 0.5 RBIs (+120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Shohei Ohtani prop bet: Under 0.5 hits (+160 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Who will win Dodgers vs. Yankees?
First pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET, Yankee Stadium
Yankees to win ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Dodgers have only been underdogs once this postseason when they beat the Padres as +119 underdogs, 8-0, in Game 4 of the Division Series.
However, New York is 3-1 at home this postseason averaging nearly five runs per game, and I expect it to make this a competitive series given that it won an MLB-best 55 games against teams over .500 this season.
Outside of one terrible inning where he allowed six runs against the Padres, Walker Buehler has held opponents scoreless in the other eight innings this postseason. But he's also coming off his worst regular season where he allowed his highest xBA (.226) and xERA (4.68) of his career, and his worst wOBA (.370) and barrel percentage (6.9%) since his rookie year in 2017.
Our top sports betting sites are relatively aligned, with DraftKings and bet365 on the high end with New York as -155 moneyline favorites. But the best price is at BetMGM, where a $10 wager if the Yankees win would pay a $6.67 profit.
Best odds: -150 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 60%
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My Dodgers vs. Yankees best bet
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Prediction: Clarke Schmidt Under 4.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -105 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.22%
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My analysis
Clarke Schmidt’s 9.8 K/9 rate in the regular season was worse than Carlos Rodon’s 10.0 and slightly better than Gerrit Cole’s 9.4, but those two starters combined for just seven strikeouts in the first two games.
Schmidt has not recorded 15 outs in either of his first two postseason starts and has topped out at four strikeouts.
This would be a more confident five-star play if this were not the first of three straight games, which could make Aaron Boone more cautious about how he deploys his bullpen.
Aaron Judge prop bet
Prediction: Over 0.5 RBIs ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +120 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 45.45%
My analysis
To say that Aaron Judge has struggled this series, and this postseason, is putting it lightly.
Judge is 1-for-9 with six strikeouts through the first two games, and is slashing .150/.280/.325 with 19 strikeouts in 40 postseason at-bats. However, if Gleyber Torres and Juan Soto keep getting on base at a high clip (.389 and .460 on-base percentage this postseason, respectively), Judge should run into an RBI at some point.
Judge has a 48.78% implied probability based on DraftKings’ +105 odds to go over 1.5 total bases, which makes for good value for his RBI chances.
Shohei Ohtani prop bet
Prediction: Under 0.5 hits ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +160 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 38.46%
My analysis
If there was ever a time to cash in on Ohtani to go hitless, it would be after he left Game 2 with an injured left shoulder.
Ohtani had been batting .350 with two home runs and five RBIs during a five-game postseason hitting streak prior to Saturday’s Game 2, but he snapped that with an 0-for-3 performance.
I would need to be convinced that Ohtani’s injury is not more serious before I back him to do damage for the remainder of the series.
BetMGM’s +160 odds for this wager offer a better return than the +150 found at DraftKings.
Dodgers vs. Yankees odds
Dodgers vs. Yankees live odds: Game 3
Game 3 opening odds
Odds via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Dodgers +120 | Yankees -143
- Run line: Dodgers +1.5 -182 | Yankees -1.5 +150
- Over/Under: Over 8 (+100) | Under 8 (-120)
Game 3 odds movement
The Yankees' moneyline odds have shortened at most of our best sports betting sites since opening. Only FanDuel has held firm with -146 odds on the Yankees.
Meanwhile, DraftKings has moved the Dodgers all the way to +130 from an opening number of +124. It's the only one of our best sports betting apps offering Los Angeles at that price.
The total has also jumped half a run from an opening number of 8, and the Over is now juiced to -120 nearly across the board. This is likely because the total opened when there were question marks surrounding Ohtani's Game 3 status. However, Roberts said Ohtani will play Monday, likely causing this movement.
Latest World Series odds
- Dodgers: -425 via DraftKings
- Yankees: +330 via DraftKings
World Series Game 3 game info
- When: Monday, Oct. 28
- First pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, N.Y.)
- Weather: 54 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph SE
- How to watch: FOX
- Favorite: Yankees (-150 via BetMGM)
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