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Luis Arraez of the Miami Marlins reacts after hitting an RBI double during the sixth inning against the Colorado Rockies, and we offer our look at the top odds and predictions to lead MLB in hits based on the best MLB odds.
Luis Arraez of the Miami Marlins reacts after hitting an RBI double during the sixth inning against the Colorado Rockies. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images via AFP.

We look at whether Atlanta Braves superstar Ronald Acuna will repeat as the league leader in hits or if perennial favorite Luiz Arraez can dethrone the reigning champ with our look at the 2024 MLB hits leader based on the best MLB odds.

The MLB statistical leader markets are some of the most intriguing to attack as spring training is in full swing. There's plenty of data from previous years to reference, and narratives won't play any role in whether we win or lose our bet.

A few star players are showing plenty of early value when looking at who will lead MLB in hits during 2024.

Here's a look at the best odds for the 2024 MLB hits leader.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds

(MLB hits leader odds as of March 6)

PlayerDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Luis Arraez+750+800+750+650 ❄️+800 
Ronald Acuna Jr.+850+750+900+550 ❄️+900
Freddie Freeman+950+1000+900 ❄️+950 +1000
Bo Bichette+1100+1000+1100+1100 +1000
Corey Seager+1400+1800+1300 ❄️+2800 🔥+2000
Bobby Witt Jr.+1500 +1800+2000 🔥+1100 ❄️+1600
Trea Turner+1900 🔥+1800+1800+1700 ❄️+1800 
Kyle Tucker+2000+3000 🔥+2000+2000 +2500
Jose Ramirez+2000+2100+2000+3500 🔥+2200
Mookie Betts+2200+2100+2200+3000 🔥+2500

MLB 2024 hits leader favorite

Freddie Freeman (+1000 via bet365)

Arraez is the odds-on favorite and Acuna is the reigning king, but Freeman gets my vote as the true favorite in this market for the 2024 season.

Freeman finished just six hits behind Acuna last year and now gets added protection in the heart of the Los Angeles Dodgers' lineup courtesy of the arriving Shohei Ohtani. However, what we'll need to track in the coming months is how the Dodgers plan to structure their order.

Los Angeles' first baseman gets a big boost in this market if the Dodgers plan to slot him into the No. 2 spot, as pitchers would be more likely to attack him with Ohtani hitting behind. However, if Freeman is set to hit third, we may turn our attention to Acuna as our favorite.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds: Contender

Corey Seager (+2800 via Caesars)

Seager finished with 156 hits in just 119 games during the 2023 season, and he owned the league's fifth-best batting average and fourth-best expected batting average, according to Statcast.

If Seager can remain healthy in 2024, he'll be a contender for multiple awards and statistics-based markets.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds: Long shot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+8000 via bet365)

The best way to target long-shot bets in these markets is to find players due for positive regression. And Vladimir Guerrero Jr. certainly fits that bill.

The Toronto Blue Jays first baseman finished just outside the top 30 in hits, though his .264 batting average was more than 30 points lower than his expected mark of .295. That was the biggest discrepancy between the two numbers among everyday players. Guerrero will be a real contender to lead the league in hits if he can get more batted-ball luck in 2024.

The outlier price on Vlad through bet365 is also appealing. The +8000 on him through that shop is far longer than the +5000 at Caesars.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds movement

All of our best sports betting sites are posting this market for now. Caesars is all over the map while offering prices that are often way off the rest of the market in either direction.

There's been some movement since spring training began, with Freddie Freeman's odds shortening, as well as Bobby Witt's.

Additionally, as has been the case with other major futures markets, Ronald Acuna's odds didn't shift at all despite the reigning NL MVP dealing with a bit of a knee issue during spring training.

Recent MLB hits leaders

YearPlayerTeamClosing Odds
2023Ronald AcunaAtlanta Braves+4000
2022Freddie FreemanLos Angeles Dodgers+1400
2021Trea TurnerWashington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers+900
2020Trea TurnerWashington Nationals+2000
2019Whit MerrifieldKansas City Royals+700
2018Whit MerrifieldKansas City Royals+10000
2017Charlie BlackmonColorado Rockies+2200
2016Jose AltuveHouston Astros+350
2015Dee GordonMiami Marlins+1800

Hits leader FAQs

Who's the favorite to lead MLB in hits during 2024?

Luis Arraez of the Miami Marlins and Ronald Acuna Jr. of the Atlanta Braves are the favorites with odds as short as +650 and +550, respectively.

Who led MLB in hits during 2023?

Atlanta Braves outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. led MLB in hits during 2023, finishing with 217.

When will the 2024 MLB hits leader be decided?

Whoever leads MLB in hits at the conclusion of the regular season will win this market. The 2024 season ends on Sept. 29.

MLB betting odds pages

Here are our best MLB betting sites:

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