Sanderson Farms Championship Expert Picks: Everyone's a Long Shot!
Our Sanderson Farms Championship expert picks zero in on the best golf odds this week. We're looking for the best finishes for the PGA Tour stop at The Country Club of Jackson in Jackson, Miss.
Luke List is back to defend his fall of 2023 victory in this tournament. Mackenzie Hughes returns after winning here in 2022, as he comes off an International team loss in the Presidents Cup.
While Hughes is the favorite at several of our best golf betting sites, no one has odds lower than +2200 in the 132-man Sanderson Farms Championship field. Those odds imply a win probability of just 4.35%.
This is the perfect chance to back a long shot and cash a big outright ticket. Five of the past 10 champions of this event had odds of at least +5000, while three others were listed as part of the Field in the betting market.
Sanderson Farms Championship odds
Procore Championship odds from our best sports betting sites.
| Name | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Mitchell 🇺🇸 | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Mackenzie Hughes 🇨🇦 | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Maverick McNealy 🇺🇸 | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Seamus Power 🇮🇪 | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Nick Dunlap 🇺🇸 | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Patrick Fishburn 🇺🇸 | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| J.J. Spaun 🇺🇸 | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Ben Griffin 🇺🇸 | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Chan Kim 🇺🇸 | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Jhonattan Vegas 🇻🇪 | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
Sanderson Farms Championship expert picks
Odds from our best golf betting sites (confidence rating based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
- Austin Smotherman top 20 finish (+450 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Mac Meissner top 5 finish (+750 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Matt Kuchar Top 10 finish (+550 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Sanderson Farms Championship key stats
- Putting
- Accuracy
- Ball striking
The Country Club of Jackson is not a challenging course. The only metric that ranks in the top 20 of the toughest regular courses the PGA plays is fairway width and accuracy. Even with a watered-down field, the scores will be low and the course will provide little resistance.
Hot putters usually make noise at these events, finding the fairway on these thin fairways and finding the putting surface are about all you can ask for to get into contention.
Sanderson Farms Championship predictions
Austin Smotherman top 20 finish ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +450 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 18.18%
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The only reason I am not higher on Smotherman than a top-20 finish is his putting. Every other metric over his last 20 measured rounds is outstanding, taking in massive gains from tee to green, ball striking, and off the tee - another quality metric at the Country Club of Jackson.
Smotherman has made the cut in all four of his last PGA Tour events, including a seventh-place finish a few weeks ago at the Procore Championship to kick off the fall swing.
Mac Meissner top 5 finish ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +750 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 11.76%
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Meisnner had an outstanding season on Tour, including three top-10 finishes. A plus putter, especially in this field, with elite accuracy relative to the field, Meissner should find himself consistently in the short grass and using his above-average ball striking to give himself plenty of scoring opportunities.
This year's three top 10 finishes lend comfort in knowing that he knows what it takes to get into position and stay there.
Matt Kuchar top 10 finish ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +550 via bet365 | Implied probability: 15.38%
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Kuchar is a seasoned veteran who has finished 13th, 12th, and third in his last three events in fields relatively similar, maybe even stronger, than this current iteration for the Sanderson Farms Championship.
Kuchar is third in the field in accuracy and 25th in the field in putting. His experienced game and need for continued strong finishes to bolster his FedEx points standing (currently 102nd) should lead to not taking his foot off the gas.
Sanderson Farms Championship picks: My first click
Pick made by Esten McLaren on Monday.
Nick Dunlap to win
Best odds: +3700 via bet365 | Implied probability: 2.63%
Dunlap's +3700 odds from bet365 highlight the need to shop across our best sports betting sites and emphasize the value outside this week's betting favorites. A winning $10 bet would return a $370 profit.
Dunlap claimed his first two PGA Tour wins in 2024 and enters the week 34th in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) after advancing to the BMW Championship (T-31) during his first appearance in the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Dunlap is among the leaders in this field in driving distance, and he gained strokes in all key metrics across his final 20 rounds of the 2024 season.
Sanderson Farms Championship info
- Where: The Country Club of Jackson, Jackson, Miss.
- When: Thursday, Oct. 3 - Sunday, Oct. 6
- Field: 132
- Favorite: Mackenzie Hughes (+2200 via FanDuel)
- 2023 champion: Luke List (-18)
- Purse: $7.6 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
Country Club of Jackson course profile
- Par: 72
- Length: 7,461 yards
- Greens: Bermuda
- Architect: Tom Bendelow (John Fought redesign)
Past Sanderson Farms Championship winners, odds & scores
| Year | Winner | Pre-tournament odds | Score to par |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Luke List | +5000 | -18 (playoff) |
| 2022 | Mackenzie Hughes | +10000 | -17 (playoff) |
| 2021 | Sam Burns | +1600 | -22 |
| 2020 | Sergio Garcia | +5000 | -19 |
| 2019 | Sebastian Munoz | +6000 | -18 (playoff) |
| 2018 | Cameron Champ | +4000 | -21 |
| 2017 | Ryan Armour | Filed (+175) | -19 |
| 2016 | Cody Gribble | +8000 | -20 |
| 2015 | Peter Malnati | Field (+200) | -18 |
| 2014 | Nick Taylor | Field (+175) | -16 |
Historical odds via golfodds.com
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