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Rory McIlroy Masters Odds and Expert Pick: Rory Tries (Again) for Career Grand Slam

Esten McLaren

Last Updated: April 10, 2024 9:06 PM EDT • 2 min 51 sec read.

Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland walks across the 13th green as we look at the 2024 Masters odds and our expert pick for Rory McIlroy.
Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland walks across the 13th green during a practice round prior to the 2024 Masters Tournament. Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images via AFP.

In a tradition unlike any other, Rory McIlroy returns to Augusta National Golf Course to attempt to complete the career grand slam yet again as we look at the 2024 Masters odds and our expert pick for the Northern Irishman.

Just when I thought I was out, (he) pulls me back in!

Rory McIlroy endured a disappointing 2023 Masters as he missed the cut in a tough outing. Despite that setback, he started the following April with the third-shortest 2024 Masters odds. Those have risen slightly higher, as the No. 2 golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) has just one PGA Tour victory since October 2022.

If you're considering Rory McIlroy for your Masters picks, it's wise to proceed cautiously. However, we're here to assist with our analysis of the 2024 Masters odds and our expert insights into this perennially favored player.

Rory McIlroy Masters history

McIlroy debuted in the Masters with a T-20 finish in 2009. That came two years after a T-42 finish as the low amateur in the 2007 Open Championship. He then missed the cut in 2010.

After three straight finishes between T-15 and T-40, McIlroy recorded five straight top-10 finishes at Augusta National from 2014-18. A T-5 finish in 2020 was followed by a missed cut in 2021, and then he'd backdoor his way to a runner-up finish during Scottie Scheffler's runaway victory in 2022. That was followed by last year's missed cut.

McIlroy matched the low final-round score record in Masters history with his 64 on Sunday in 2022. Can he return to that form after failing to advance to the weekend just a year ago?

2024 Masters odds: Rory McIlroy

Outright winner

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Odds+1100+1100+1100+1000+1000
Implied probability8.33%8.33%8.33%9.09%9.09%

McIlroy entered Masters week ranked second to Scheffler in this field in strokes gained: off-the-tee across everyone's last 20 measured rounds. That metric was bolstered with his strong third place finish during last week's Valero Texas Open as his best result in North America in 2024.

Across 54 career rounds played at ANGC, his 1.99 true strokes gained on the field per round rank eighth in this field among everyone with at least 10 rounds played.

See our favorite Masters outright picks here.

First-round leader

Here are the odds and implied probabilities for McIlroy to be the 18-hole leader. This market will be paid out following the conclusion of the first round for everyone in the field, which may be Friday in the event of a weather delay.

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Odds+1800+1800+1600+1800+1800
Implied probality5.26%5.26%5.88%5.26%5.26%

Masters props: Rory McIlroy

Here's a sample of the other Masters prop bets centered around the World No. 2.

MarketOdds (DraftKings)
Top European+330
Wire-to-wire winner+6000
To lead after Round 1 and win+4500
To be in the final group of Round 4+650

Will Rory McIlroy make the cut in the Masters?

McIlroy shares the third-shortest odds to make the cut in the Masters with Xander Schauffele. bet365's odds of -1200 for "Yes" represent an implied win probability of 92.31% after McIlroy missed the weekend a year ago. His odds of missing the cut again this year are set at +600, with a 14.29% win probability.

Best Masters pick for Rory McIlroy

Winner without Scottie Scheffler

McIlroy is a +160 underdog in a 72-hole tournament matchup line against Scheffler (-200) at BetMGM. That's enough to deter me from backing the Northern Irishman in any market, including the No. 1 golfer in the world.

So, we'll dodge the consensus Masters favorite and back McIlroy in this "winner without" market, which is available at all of our best sports betting apps. BetMGM offers the best odds, with other sites offering +850. A winning $10 wager at BetMGM would return an extra $5 in profit.

Best odds: +900 via BetMGM

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Written By:
Esten McLaren
Esten is the Senior Publishing Editor for SportsbookReview.com. He previously spent time as the Managing Editor of SportsbookWire.com, and he has done freelance work in sports betting for TheLines, PlayPicks, and BettingPros. He's well versed in the NFL, NHL, MLB, and NBA, but his true passion is with the PGA Tour. Esten's always happy to chase a long shot and will never shy away from a futures bet, but he'll never stop backing Rory McIlroy in majors. He's also a recovering Ottawa Senators and Atlanta Falcons fan. Always bet against the Toronto Maple Leafs at plus money.