Texas vs. Arizona State Early Picks, Predictions & Odds: CFP Peach Bowl
Despite earning a College Football Playoff bye, Arizona State is the biggest Cinderella of the postseason and will look to continue writing its story against Texas in the Peach Bowl from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Jan. 1 at 1 p.m. ET (ESPN).
- Our Texas vs. Arizona State early picks and odds think this could be a defensive rock fight between two of the feistiest teams in the country
- After beating Clemson by 14 in the first round of the CFP, the Longhorns are now the college football championship odds favorite
- The Texas vs. Arizona State opening odds have the Sun Devils as nearly two-touchdown underdogs
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My early Texas vs. Arizona State prediction: CFP Peach Bowl
College football picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Prediction: Under 52.5
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
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The biggest underdog of the CFP quarterfinals, Kenny Dillingham has his work cut out for him against this Texas defense. The Longhorns have completely shut down passing attacks this season, allowing the second-fewest passing yards per game in the country (156.9) and ASU is down star receiver Jordyn Tyson.
That's going to make it nearly impossible for the Sun Devils offense to get much done through the air against the No. 2 defense in EPA per dropback. And that will only further Texas' likely game plan of trying to stop star running back Cam Skattebo.
But it won't just be ASU that struggles to score. Texas is dealing with injuries on its offense, namely go-to receiver Isaiah Bond, offensive tackle Cam Williams, and center Jake Majors. It can only help ASU's No. 23 ranked defense in EPA per dropback if those three play banged up, or not at all.
Texas has hit the Under in four of its last five games thanks to a defense that allows the second-fewest points per game in the country (13.3). If the Sun Devils can do enough to slow Quinn Ewers and Co., a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit.
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Texas vs. Arizona State live odds
See the college football odds from our best college football betting sites for every college football bowl game.
Moneyline
- Texas best odds: -550 via bet365 | Implied probability: 84.62%
- Arizona State best odds: +450 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.18%
Our best sports betting sites think Arizona State has next to no chance of winning this game with the longest ML odds for Texas paying just a $1.82 profit on a $10 winning bet.
That's why those backing Arizona State to win should hold off because the line keeps getting longer. FanDuel has the best price - paying a $45 profit on a $10 bet - while its -630 ML odds for Texas imply an 86.3% probability the Longhorns win.
Spread
- Texas best odds: -13.5 (-110) via bet365
- Arizona State best odds: +13.5 (-102) via FanDuel
If you're betting on Texas to cover, I wouldn't wait much longer. The public is going to be all over Steve Sarkisian's team thanks to its brand name and the fact that it's the favorite to win the title. But if you're planning on taking ASU to cover, it's worth waiting. This line is continuing to move in Texas' direction, and the Sun Devils could be closer to +15.5 by Jan. 1.
Over/Under
- Over best odds: 52 (-110) via Caesars
- Under best odds: 52.5 (-115) via BetMGM
This game total could drop a few points, frankly, I'm shocked it's this high with the way Texas' defense has shut down most opponents this season. If the Longhorns are a two-touchdown favorite, that implies that ASU is going to be playing from behind and not able to lean on Skattebo, by far its best player.
With that in mind, and our best sports betting apps all hovering around 52 for now, I would think this Over/Under dips down closer to 49.5 in the coming days.
Texas vs. Arizona State injuries to watch
How to watch the CFP Peach Bowl
- When: Wednesday, Jan. 1
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Texas -13.5 (-115 via DraftKings)
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