College Football Projected Win Totals & Over/Under Wins Odds 2024: Georgia, Ohio State Top the Board

The college football season is nearly here and the four top-ranked teams in the AP Top 25 poll have the highest college football projected win totals in the Power Four across our best college football betting sites.

Georgia, Ohio State, Oregon, and Texas are all set at 10.5 wins, which should come as no surprise with those four leading the college football championship odds.

However, with the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff, there will be more on the line deep into the regular season than ever before. Could we see a few teams with lower projected win totals shock the country and rise by the College Football Playoff odds?

With several programs yet to make the CFP led by Heisman Trophy odds contenders, it'll be a tight race for a handful of teams to reach the postseason and hit the Over on their projected win totals.

College football win total odds

College football win totals as of Aug. 14.

Top ACC win total odds

The most wide open of the Power Four conferences, the ACC has no strong playoff favorite. While Florida State went undefeated in the conference last season, the Seminoles lost a lot to the NFL draft and head coach Mike Norvell will be starting transfer DJ Uiagalelei at QB. 

Florida State definitely has the talent to win 10 games, but will the roster mesh quick enough? Luckily, the Seminoles don't play Clemson or Miami until October. The Tigers and Hurricanes are both ACC Championship odds contenders on paper for different reasons. Dabo Swinney brings a lot of continuity back with QB Cade Klubnik and a ferocious defense. Will his refusal to use the transfer portal hurt the Tigers?

Meanwhile, Mario Cristobal has built Miami's roster up purely through the portal. Washington State transfer Cam Ward is set to start at QB while the Hurricanes just added Oregon State RB Damien Martinez to bolster the offense. However, Miami has won 10 or more games just once since 2004.

Beyond the big three, Louisville lost most of its key contributors from Jeff Brohm's first season at the helm, but he's quickly become one of the best at utilizing the portal. NC State will similarly be leaning on transfers, led by QB Grayson McCall. Virginia Tech might be the most interesting of all, as the Hokies have the most returning production in the country.

Top Big 12 win total odds

With both the Big 12's blue bloods, Texas and Oklahoma, off to the SEC, this conference will look a lot different. Utah opened as the Big 12 Championship odds favorite in its first season in the conference, which is a testament to head coach Kyle Whittingham's consistency.

The Utes had a down season last year, but QB Cameron Rising is healthy and will be ready to roll. He'll be supported on offense by TE Brant Kuithe, WRs Money Parks and Dorian Singer, and RB Micah Bernard. Defensively, Utah looks even better with several veterans back, including LB Karene Reid.

Utah certainly has the experience and Whittingham has the track record for the Utes to win 10 games. They also don't have Kansas or Kansas State on their schedule. Both Kansas schools look scary with their running games and mobile QBs. The Jayhawks might be the one to back, though, as Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal form one of the most dynamic QB-RB duos in the country.

For as great as Arizona was last season, it's hard to gauge where the Wildcats will be at with a new coach in Brent Brennan. Can he keep the good times rolling with QB Noah Fifita and WR Tetairoa McMillan? Oklahoma State and Iowa State are two teams that could seriously push for the title. The Cowboys return several key starters, including All-American Ollie Gordon II, while the Cyclones are second in the country in returning production.

Top Big Ten win total odds

The Ohio State-Oregon game on Oct. 12 will tell us a lot about both programs. The Buckeyes and Ducks sit atop the Big Ten Championship odds, and there's a chance their matchup will be the only regular-season loss for whomever comes up short. These are two of the most talented rosters in the country, and both reloaded in the portal.

What makes Ohio State so scary is the amount of players that declined to enter the NFL draft to return this season. The Buckeyes brought back more than a half dozen players who could have been top-150 picks. Then, Ryan Day went and got two of the best players in the portal in RB Quinshon Judkins and DB Caleb Downs. Of course, it'll all be for not if Kansas State transfer Will Howard doesn't work out at QB.

Oregon also went the portal route to fill its QB need. Dan Lanning replaced Bo Nix with Oklahoma transfer Dillon Gabriel, one of the most decorated QBs in the country. The Ducks didn't stop there, landing WR Evan Stewart and CBs Jabbar Muhammad and Kam Alexander via the portal. Those players add to an already terrifying Ducks team that returns Josh Conerly Jr., Jordan Burch, and Tez Johnson.

What could stop one of, or both, Ohio State and Oregon from reaching 11 wins is Michigan. The defending champions are dealing with a lot of turnover in head coach Sherrone Moore's first season but return top NFL prospects like Colston Loveland, Mason Graham, and Will Johnson. However, they also have Texas on their schedule. 

That leaves Iowa and USC. The Hawkeyes always seem to win games, but never have a competent offense and likely still won't in 2024. But they did finally fire Brian Ferentz. While USC lost Caleb Williams as Lincoln Riley tries to lead the Trojans to success in their new conference.

Top SEC win total odds

A conference so loaded with talent and playoff contenders that its slogan is "it just means more," the SEC got even tougher this offseason. The addition of Oklahoma and Texas expands the conference footprint and gives it at least one new SEC Championship odds contender. The Longhorns are right there with Georgia, Ohio State, and Oregon for the highest win total in the country at 10.5. 

Texas appears to be back under Steve Sarkisian after making the playoff last year, but the SEC jump is a large one. The Longhorns lost their top four receivers, leading rusher, and four of their best defenders to the NFL. Still, the team returns QB Quinn Ewers, a contender to go No. 1 by the 2025 NFL Draft odds. Sarkisian also brings back a strong O-line and added a few potential stars in the portal. Will it be enough in the SEC?

Texas not only has Michigan on its schedule, but it plays Georgia on Oct. 19. The Bulldogs are as arguably the most talented team in the country. Carson Beck is maybe the best QB in college football and is supported by several talented pass-catchers and Florida transfer Trevor Etienne at RB. And Kirby Smart's defense is always one of the best and has several All-American candidates. If the Bulldogs slip up, it's because they have an incredibly tough schedule with Clemson, Texas, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Alabama.

The Crimson Tide no longer have Nick Saban, but new head coach Kalen DeBoer did lead Washington to the playoff last year. He inherits QB Jalen Milroe, a physical O-line, and a veteran defense. DeBoer's squad will need to beat one of Georgia, Missouri, and LSU to hit the Over on 9.5 wins. Both LSU and Missouri are polarizing.

Brian Kelly's Tigers lose Heisman winner Jayden Daniels and star WRs Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. from an LSU team that only won nine regular-season games last year. How much better can they be? Eliah Drinkwitz's Tigers lost three star defenders and All-American RB Cody Schrader to the NFL, but Missouri still looks strong on paper. The team returns QB Brady Cook and WR Luther Burden III and added several interesting portal pieces.

Notre Dame win total odds

There are only three independents left in college football, and the other two combined to win fewer games than Notre Dame last season (UConn and UMass went 6-18). The Fighting Irish have improved in each of Marcus Freeman's two seasons as the bench boss, and they're expected to reach the 12-team playoff this season.

After winning nine regular-season games last year, can Freeman guide Notre Dame to two more wins this season? It'll be tough after losing several pieces to the NFL, but Notre Dame's schedule isn't all that scary. The team opens with Texas A&M at Kyle Field, but the Aggies have a new head coach in Mike Elko. Other tough games include Louisville and Florida State at home and USC on the road.

While QB Sam Hartman graduated, the Irish may have upgraded with Duke transfer Riley Leonard. And the defense is the real showstopper. Freeman brings back stars Benjamin Morrison, Xavier Watts, and Howard Cross III. He also added Leonard's old teammate, RJ Oben, to fortify the pass rush. 

How to bet college football Over/Under win totals

Our sites with the best sportsbook promos set a projected win total for each team, and you’re betting on whether a team will win more (Over) or fewer (Under) games than a projected total.

But remember, betting on college football win totals can be tricky with how much roster attrition there is each year between graduation, NFL declarations, and the transfer portal. The best way to bet on win totals is to focus on just a few programs and familiarize yourself with how they played last season and who they return.

Two great metrics for that are SP+ from after last year's bowl season and returning production. It also helps to take a look at where some of the top players in the transfer portal are headed for the upcoming season and if certain teams have been impacted by the coaching carousel. 

Once you've narrowed down a few teams, take a look at their schedule. While the bulk of a college football schedule is made up of conference games, some programs will play top teams in their non-conference games (like Texas and Michigan this season). And just because two teams are in the same conference doesn't mean they play each other every year.

Team win totals are futures bets and won't pay out until the regular season concludes. Consider the cost of that time when placing a bet in this market.

Final College Football Playoff ranking last year

College football win total FAQs

What teams have the highest projected win total? 

The Georgia Bulldogs are tied atop the oddsboard at 10.5 wins with Liberty, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oregon, and Texas.

Which teams won the most games last season? 

Florida State, Michigan, and Washington all won 13 games in the regular season, including their respective conference championship victories.

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