College Football Projected Win Totals & Over/Under Wins Odds 2025: Ohio State, Oregon Top Board
The college football season wrapped up with Ohio State defeating Notre Dame to win the CFP National Championship in the first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff.
As a result, the Buckeyes lead the college football projected win totals for the 2025-26 season with the line set at 10.5 at our best college football betting sites. Oregon is the only other team with a win total set that high, while several SEC programs are set at 9.5.
The five teams with the highest projected win totals also lead the college football championship odds, but maybe the most interesting team to track is North Carolina with Bill Belichick leading the charge.
College football win totals 2025
(College football win totals via FanDuel as of Jan. 21)
Top ACC win totals
| Team (record last year) | Odds (Over/Under) |
|---|---|
| Clemson (9-3) | 9.5 (+126/-162) |
| Miami (10-2) | 8.5 (-125/-102) |
| Louisville (8-4) | 8.5 (-174/+136) |
| North Carolina (6-6) | 7.5 (-130/-102) |
Heading into last season, Miami had the shortest College Football Playoff odds in the conference and Clemson was the team that actually won the ACC. However, North Carolina is going to be the most talked-about team in the ACC this season thanks to Belichick.
It's too early to gauge how good the Tar Heels will be, but it's worth noting they won Over 7.5 games as recently as two seasons ago. Belichick has also bolstered North Carolina's talent with the third-best transfer portal class in the conference.
Miami is the team with the best portal class in the ACC, though, thanks in part to Georgia transfer Carson Beck heading to the Hurricanes to take over for 2025 NFL Draft odds favorite Cam Ward. The Hurricanes look like a CFP contender on paper again if Beck can return to form.
Yet the team in the ACC that looks like the best value in this market is Clemson. Dabo Swinney is bringing back many of his most important stars, including QB Cade Klubnik, wide receivers Antonio Williams and Bryant Wesco Jr., defensive end T.J. Parker, and defensive tackle Peter Woods.
Top Big 12 win totals
| Team (record last year) | Odds (Over/Under) |
|---|---|
| Kansas (5-7) | 7.5 (-148/+116) |
| Iowa State (10-2) | 7.5 (+108/-138) |
| Colorado (9-3) | 6.5 (-130/+102) |
Despite winning the Big 12, Arizona State's win totals for the upcoming season are not yet available. The Sun Devils are set to lose Cam Skattebo but bring back many key contributors as well as coaching hot-shot Kenny Dillingham.
The team ASU beat to win the conference and reach the CFP was Iowa State, which looks like a good value with the Over on its win total (7.5) dealing at plus-money. Bringing back QB Rocco Becht will help the Cyclones deal with the losses of star receivers Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel.
Meanwhile, Kansas was arguably the most disappointing Big 12 team from last year but has the shortest odds to hit the Over on its win total in the conference. That's due to the return of QB Jalon Daniels.
It's a different story for Colorado as it looks to replace both QB Shedeur Sanders and Heisman Trophy odds winner Travis Hunter. Deion Sanders has already begun that process by adding Liberty QB Kaidon Salter, who's part of the Buffaloes second-ranked Big 12 portal class.
Top Big Ten win totals
| Team (record last year) | Odds (Over/Under) |
|---|---|
| Ohio State (10-2) | 10.5 (-170/+132) |
| Oregon (12-0) | 10.5 (-113/-113) |
| Penn State (11-1) | 9.5 (-250/+190) |
| Michigan (7-5) | 8.5 (-136/+106) |
| Indiana (11-1) | 8.5 (-120/-106) |
| USC (6-6) | 7.5 (-106/-120) |
| Iowa (8-4) | 6.5 (-146/+114) |
It's funny that there's an implied probability of 62.96% that Ohio State will win 11-plus regular-season games. The Buckeyes didn't accomplish that feat during their national championship winning season and now could have as many as 16 players drafted, which would break Georgia's record.
Replacing that many starters won't be easy, so I'd stay away from the Over there with the odds so short. Oregon has the same win total at a more digestible price but also needs to replace QB Dillon Gabriel, along with several potential top-150 draft picks.
While I love Penn State to hit the Over on 9.5 wins with Drew Allar among the many stars set to return to Happy Valley, the -250 odds pay only a $4 profit on a $10 winning bet. Instead, Michigan might be the best value of the blue bloods in the Big Ten.
The Wolverines finished last season on a high note and have two better QBs on the roster than any of the quarterbacks who took snaps last year. Fresno State transfer Mikey Keene and No. 1 recruit Bryce Underwood should have Michigan in good shape to win nine games.
Top SEC win totals
| Team (record last year) | Odds (Over/Under) |
|---|---|
| Georgia (10-2) | 9.5 (-205/+158) |
| Texas (11-1) | 9.5 (-200/+154) |
| Tennessee (10-2) | 9.5 (-106/-120) |
| Alabama (9-3) | 8.5 (-186/+144) |
| LSU (8-4) | 8.5 (-120/-106) |
| Florida (7-5) | 6.5 (-138/+108) |
Perhaps Georgia and Texas should both have their win totals bumped up to 10.5, like Ohio State and Oregon. Both programs' odds imply a better than 66% probability they'll hit the Over, and both are in similar situations to the Ducks and Buckeyes with so many players off to the NFL and new QBs under center.
In fact, the Longhorns seem to be in the best shape at the QB position of those four with Arch Manning being both experienced and successful as a starter. Of course, he'll be put to the test immediately with Texas opening the season against Ohio State on Aug. 30 in Columbus.
Unlike the Bulldogs and Longhorns, Tennessee returns its starting QB, but it's also losing so much of the talent around Nico Iamaleava on both sides of the ball. Luckily, the Volunteers have a relatively relaxed SEC schedule and don't have to play Texas or LSU.
They do have to play Alabama, though, but the Crimson Tide were borderline unwatchable down the stretch last season and now lose Jalen Milroe to the NFL. I don't know that I trust Kalen DeBoer enough at these short odds (-186). I'd rather back Brian Kelly and LSU (-120).
The Tigers bring back one of the top passers in the country in Garrett Nussmeier as well as key defenders like Harold Perkins Jr. and Whit Weeks. Kelly's also been cooking in the portal with the No. 1 class led by Patrick Payton and Nic Anderson.
How to bet college football Over/Under win totals
Our sites with the best sportsbook promos set a projected win total for each team, and you’re betting on whether a team will win more (Over) or fewer (Under) games than a projected total.
But remember, betting on college football win totals can be tricky with how much roster attrition there is each year between graduation, NFL declarations, and the transfer portal. The best way to bet on win totals is to focus on just a few programs and familiarize yourself with how they played last season and who they return.
Two great metrics for that are SP+ from after last year's bowl season and returning production. It also helps to take a look at where some of the top players in the transfer portal are headed for the upcoming season and if certain teams have been impacted by the coaching carousel.
Once you've narrowed down a few teams, take a look at their schedule. While the bulk of a college football schedule is made up of conference games, some programs will play top teams in their non-conference games (like Texas and Michigan this season). And just because two teams are in the same conference doesn't mean they play each other every year.
Team win totals are futures bets and won't pay out until the regular season concludes. Consider the cost of that time when placing a bet in this market.
Final AP Top 25 Poll last season
| Ranking | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | 14-2 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | 14-2 |
| 3 | Oregon | 13-1 |
| 4 | Texas | 13-3 |
| 5 | Penn State | 13-3 |
| 6 | Georgia | 11-3 |
| 7 | Arizona State | 11-3 |
| 8 | Boise State | 12-2 |
| 9 | Tennessee | 10-3 |
| 10 | Indiana | 11-2 |
| 11 | Ole Miss | 10-3 |
| 12 | SMU | 11-3 |
| 13 | BYU | 11-2 |
| 14 | Clemson | 10-4 |
| 15 | Iowa State | 11-3 |
| 16 | Illinois | 10-3 |
| 17 | Alabama | 9-4 |
| 18 | Miami | 10-3 |
| 19 | South Carolina | 9-4 |
| 20 | Syracuse | 10-3 |
| 21 | Army | 12-2 |
| 22 | Missouri | 10-3 |
| 23 | UNLV | 11-3 |
| 24 | Memphis | 11-2 |
| 25 | Colorado | 9-4 |
College football win total FAQs
What teams have the highest projected win total?
The Ohio State and Oregon have the highest projected win totals with the line set at 10.5. Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, Clemson, and Penn State are all set at 9.5.
Which team won the most games last season?
In the regular season, Oregon won the most games by going 12-0.
College football odds pages
| CFP National Championship Odds | SEC Odds | Big 12 Odds | Bowl Season Odds & Info |
| Heisman Trophy Odds | Big Ten Odds | Pac-12 Odds | |
| College Football Playoff Odds | Mountain West Odds | ACC Odds |
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