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New England Patriots former head coach Bill Belichick at a press conference as we look at UNC's 2025 win total Over/Under.
New England Patriots former head coach Bill Belichick holds a press conference at Gillette Stadium to announce his exit from the team. Photo by Eric Canha-Imagn Images.

It's not often that the University of North Carolina is the first team to have a win total Over/Under posted by our best college football betting sites, but that's what'll happen when you finalize a deal with Bill Belichick to be your next head coach.

As UNC reportedly finalized a deal with Belichick to take over for the fired Mack Brown, FanDuel opened the Tar Heels' 2025 win total at 6.5, with equal -113 odds on the Over and Under. Belichick takes over a UNC program that went 6-6 this season, good enough to secure a berth in the Fenway Bowl on December 28.

North Carolina win total 2025

Over 6.5Under 6.5
-113-113

North Carolina went 6-6 this regular season. That was its worst record since the same mark in 2021, also under Brown. The Tar Heels haven't had a 10-win campaign since going 11-3 in 2015 under then-head coach Larry Fedora before losing 49-38 in the Russell Athletic Bowl.

UNC hasn't won a bowl game since the 2019 Military Bowl against Temple (55-13).

The -113 odds on both the Over and Under would return a profit of $8.85 on a winning $10 bet.

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How many games will North Carolina win?

Prediction: Over 6.5 (-113)

Belichick was hired early in the transfer portal process, and more and more names will flood the portal as more players opt out of their bowl games. North Carolina is a 3-point favorite in the Fenway Bowl against UConn by the latest bowl game odds.

With UNC going 6-6 this season and with Belichick expected to have plenty of pull in the transfer portal, Over 6.5 is an easy early pick. I'd expect this total to rise by the start of the 2025 college football season.

What to know about Bill Belichick

Bill Belichick, 72, is a six-time Super Bowl winner - all with the New England Patriots and QB Tom Brady - while appearing in two others. He was head coach of the Patriots from 2000-2023 and was named the AP NFL Coach of the Year three times.

His father was an assistant coach with UNC in the 1950s.

What is Belichick's UNC salary?

According to Ralph D. Russo of The Athletic, Belichick's contract with North Carolina is for $50 million over five years. 

When is Belichick's first game with UNC?

North Carolina will begin its 2025 season against TCU on August 30.

North Carolina football history

Year (Coach)Conference recordOverall recordBowl
20243-56-6Fenway Bowl
20234-48-5Lost Duke's Mayo Bowl
20226-29-5Lost Holiday Bowl
20213-56-7Lost Duke's Mayo Bowl
20207-38-4Lost Orange Bowl
2019 (Mack Brown)4-47-6Won Military Bowl
20181-72-9-
20171-73-9-
20165-38-5Lost Sun Bowl
20158-011-3Lost Russell Athletic Bowl
20144-46-7Lost Quick Lane Bowl
20134-47-6Won Belk Bowl
2012 (Larry Fedora)5-38-4Ineligible
2011 (Everett Withers)3-57-6Lost Independence Bowl
2010 (Butch Davis)4-48-5Won Music City Bowl

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