US Election Odds: ChatGPT Predicts a Kamala Harris Victory

ChatGPT has predicted the winner of the U.S. presidential election – and Democrats will undoubtedly be delighted at the result.

Despite the latest presidential election odds listing former president Donald Trump as a modest favorite with just two days remaining until Election day, the world's most renowned conversational AI program gives current vice president Kamala Harris a narrow edge in the race to become the next U.S. head of state.

United States presidential election betting odds

(Presidential election odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada. U.S. residents interested in betting on the election can visit the social sportsbook BetRivers.net, which is available in most U.S. states)

(Odds updated Nov. 3 at 9 p.m. ET)

ChatGPT was initially asked to "predict the outcome of the U.S. presidential election", a query to which it responded: "Sorry, I don't have information about the results of that election."

The next query asked for a prediction based on the latest polling data, which also favor the Republicans and have played at least some part in the vast improvement in Donald Trump odds (and the subsequent negative regression in the Kamala Harris odds). ChatGPT offered a lengthy response that provided the latest polling updates from the New York Times, Vox and New York Magazine, but again failed to provide a prediction.

A third query – this one simply stating "that's not a prediction" – yielded a list of key factors to consider when predicting the outcome, along with this milquetoast reply: "Overall, the polling data leans slightly toward Harris, but the outcome is uncertain due to the volatility of key states and potential polling errors similar to those seen in 2016 and 2020."

Finally, responding with "So, no actual prediction?" brought about a final response from ChatGPT:

"All right, let’s go bold: based on current polling and trends, Kamala Harris has a very slight edge.

"However, given the narrow margins, the Electoral College could still swing to Donald Trump, especially if the polling misses a specific demographic’s turnout, as seen in 2016 and 2020. So, while Harris is the tentative front-runner in this prediction, Trump’s chances remain very real and within reach.

"Final call: 51% Harris, 49% Trump. But honestly, it’s a coin flip!"

This won't spur any of the top political betting sites to alter their odds, and ChatGPT might very well give a different answer once updated polling results are in. But for now, at least, AI is on Harris's side.